Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-03-28

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,832

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Suspicion Bay J:James Doyle T:Ollie Sangster	J:James Doyle T:Ollie Sangster	136	—	31	-	89	48	29d	—	—	-20	28.5	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Bettered debut third when seeing off 11 rivals over 1m at Kempton last month; big chance
3 (3)	King's Fountain Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	130	—	46-	-	87	-	173d	—	—	-16	6.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Promising debut (7f, soft) before beaten fav at Newmarket (1m, good to firm) last autumn
5 (1)	Vibrato Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	130	—	4	-	82	38	29d	—	—	-7	2.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Faded into 4th having made the running in the race won by Suspicion at Kempton 4 weeks ago
2 (4)	Devoirs Choice Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	130	—	5	-	79	35	29d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Just over 6l behind Suspicion on Kempton debut; not obviously fancied to turn the tables
4 (5)	Liam Swagger Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Owen	J:Neil Callan T:James Owen	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Appeal on pedigree, including for AW, and yard are in great form; check the betting

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Suspicion	4/5	4/5	4/5
King's Fountain	5/2	5/2	5/2
Vibrato	7/1	7/1	7/1
Devoirs Choice	12/1	12/1	12/1
Liam Swagger	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Suspicion

28.5

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 16.4

4/5

2nd

King's Fountain

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

3rd

Vibrato

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Devoirs Choice

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Liam Swagger

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Suspicion	—	89	48
King's Fountain	—	87	—
Vibrato	—	82	38
Devoirs Choice	—	79	35
Liam Swagger	—	—	—

Last Run

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.