Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-03-28

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,920

Winning Time 1m 44.24s (slow by 6.54s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lough Leane (IRE) Hayley Turner · David Simcock	6/5F	Won
2nd	Win Win Power (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Michael Appleby	8/1	.75
3rd	Beau Gars (GB) Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	11/1	.5
4th	Soames Forsyte (GB) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	4/1	.75
5th	Light Up Our Stars (IRE) Phil Dennis · Scott Dixon	14/1	0.3
6th	Verona Star (IRE) Neil Callan · Tony Carroll	17/2	.75
7th	Racing Demon (GB) Oisin Murphy · Ed de Giles	12/1	2.25
8th	Queen's Company (GB) Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	33/1	2

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Lough Leane Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	138	—	5-1111	71	85	55	9d	—	—	-22	18.6	—	—
Flourished in 1m handicaps of late and impressive latest; 4lb well in under penalty
3 (6)	Soames Forsyte Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	137	p	-13252	70	82	61	18d	—	—	+4	19.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D winner; in form and place chance but will do well to win if favourite is on song
5 (9)	Win Win Power Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	135	p	-34193	68	82	73	7d	—	—	+7	15.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Went close over 1m4f here latest; previously 3-4 over C&D; needs even bigger effort
7 (4)	Verona Star Bay J:Neil Callan T:Tony Carroll	J:Neil Callan T:Tony Carroll	132	tb	2-6816	65	78	55	16d	—	—	+2	9.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
First win for yard in amateur riders' race (1m); not as good latest; looks up against it
4 (2)	Beau Gars Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	136	—	42-43	69	77	54	39d	—	—	0	6.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Promise in 1m and 7f Kempton maidens; tough start to handicap career on Tapeta debut
9 (1)	Racing Demon Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed de Giles	J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed de Giles	126	—	72238-	59	80	-	165d	—	—	+4	10	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Both wins at 1m on turf; still 5lb higher than the latest of them last June
8 (8)	Light Up Our Stars Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	132	h	629666	65	80	56	19d	—	—	+2	6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Multiple AW winner, including over C&D; recent form suggests he'll do well to get involved
6 (7)	Queen's Company Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	134	—	56184-	67	78	-	164d	—	—	+7	10.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Well held in Polytrack handicaps; best form at 1m2f on turf; Tapeta debut after a break
NR (5)	Nikovo Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	141	—	4000-1	74	83	-	10d	—	1W/1P 1 run	—	16	—	—
Ready winner for new yard at Newcastle (1m); has more to do under a penalty

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Lough Leane	evn	evn	evn	evn	evn
Soames Forsyte	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Win Win Power	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Verona Star	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Beau Gars	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Racing Demon	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Light Up Our Stars	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Queen's Company	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Soames Forsyte

19.8

OR: 5 Form: 10.4 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

Lough Leane

18.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

—

3rd

Nikovo

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Win Win Power

15.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Queen's Company

10.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Racing Demon

OR: 2.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Verona Star

9.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Beau Gars

6.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Light Up Our Stars

OR: 3.8 Form: 1 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nikovo	74	83	—
Lough Leane	71	85	55
Soames Forsyte	70	82	61
Beau Gars	69	77	54
Win Win Power	68	82	73
Queen's Company	67	78	—
Verona Star	65	78	55
Light Up Our Stars	65	80	56
Racing Demon	59	80	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Win Win Power	7d ago	Quick return
Lough Leane	9d ago	Quick return
Nikovo	10d ago	Quick return
Verona Star	16d ago	Fit
Soames Forsyte	18d ago	Fit
Light Up Our Stars	19d ago	Fit
Beau Gars	39d ago	Fit
Queen's Company	164d ago	Long break
Racing Demon	165d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.