BetUK All-Weather Vase Apprentice Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:30

BetUK All-Weather Vase Apprentice Handicap

Date 2024-03-29

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £23,193

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
15 (6)	Siempre Arturo Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	130	—	81-21	74	91	48	20d	—	—	-2	9.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Justified favouritism with authority at Wolverhampton and may have more to offer
16 (5)	Optician Bay J:Liam Wright(5) T:Shaun Lycett	J:Liam Wright(5) T:Shaun Lycett	130	t	1-1112	74	89	77	17d	—	—	+4	16.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
In form but raised 4lb for that latest defeat and has prove he can do it on Polytrack
4 (4)	Wrecking Ball Paul Bay J:R M Mulligan(7) T:Paul Mulligan	J:R M Mulligan(7) T:Paul Mulligan	134	t	0-8191	77	89	75	28d	—	—	-1	9.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Clear from an early stage at Dundalk latest (2m) and strolled home by 15l
7 (14)	God Of Thunder Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	134	—	14-257	77	91	80	28d	—	—	0	9.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has shown he can deal with this mark, and 2m would have been too far last time
11 (10)	Sax Appeal Bay J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	128-61	77	90	72	32d	—	—	+1	8.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Made most for a narrow win at Wolverhampton a month ago (1m4f); up just 3lb
12 (2)	Eleanor Cross Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	131	—	3-6223	75	87	53	24d	—	—	+2	10.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Still a maiden but thereabouts in most of her starts; looks handicapped about right
10 (16)	Party Island Chestnut J:George Bass T:Denis Coakley	J:George Bass T:Denis Coakley	133	—	67-867	76	92	61	28d	—	—	-1	9.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Returning to further a plus and he likes it here, but the draw is offputting
14 (15)	It's A Love Thing Bay J:James Ryan(3) T:Sam England	J:James Ryan(3) T:Sam England	130	—	611-22	73	89	66	16d	—	—	-1	8.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Drawn wide but otherwise has plenty in his favour in his current vein of form
6 (3)	Western Stars Bay J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Jim Boyle	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Jim Boyle	134	—	58123-	77	89	79	94d	—	—	+12	20.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Stays 2m and assured stamina could be handy with a strong pace on the cards
1 (12)	Heathen Bay J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	137	—	2-4678	80	92	64	19d	—	—	+8	12.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Up and down since his December win and has something to prove on the Polytrack
8 (9)	Masqool Bay J:Jack Doughty(7) T:James Evans	J:Jack Doughty(7) T:James Evans	134	p	211246	77	88	53	9d	0W/1P 1 run	—	+11	15.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
This looks a bit tougher than usual for him and most of his form is at shorter
13 (1)	Suffrajet Bay J:William Pyle(3) T:Charlie Johnston	J:William Pyle(3) T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	615-44	74	90	73	37d	—	—	+3	7.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Not entirely sure what to expect but she's capable on her day; well drawn
5 (11)	Lexington Knight Chestnut J:Paddy Bradley T:Richard Hannon	J:Paddy Bradley T:Richard Hannon	134	t	87-673	77	89	69	48d	—	—	+4	7.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Close up over this far at Wolverhampton last time but around here others appeal more
9 (13)	Furzig Bay J:William Carver T:Richard Fahey	J:William Carver T:Richard Fahey	134	—	49-293	77	89	75	5d	—	—	+3	8.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Multiple winner who is now exposed and it's been a while since he got his head in front
2 (7)	The Thunderer Bay J:Luke Catton(3) T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton(3) T:Stuart Williams	137	p	55-304	80	91	74	27d	—	—	+4	8.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
This is his trip and the likelihood of a strong pace up front should work in his favour
3 (8)	Enough Already Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Lee Carter	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Lee Carter	134	—	125-28	77	90	71	50d	—	—	+5	7.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
He could be vulnerable over this longer trip with a strong pace on the cards.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Siempre Arturo	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Optician	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1	13/2
Wrecking Ball Paul	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
God Of Thunder	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Sax Appeal	9/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Eleanor Cross	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Party Island	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	13/2
It's A Love Thing	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Western Stars	10/1	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1
Heathen	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	22/1
Masqool	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Suffrajet	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Lexington Knight	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Furzig	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
The Thunderer	22/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Enough Already	33/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Western Stars

20.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

2nd

Optician

16.6

OR: 6 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Masqool

15.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Heathen

12.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Eleanor Cross

10.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Wrecking Ball Paul

9.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Party Island

9.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Siempre Arturo

9.3

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

God Of Thunder

9.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Sax Appeal

8.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

The Thunderer

8.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

It's A Love Thing

8.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Furzig

8.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Lexington Knight

7.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Enough Already

7.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Suffrajet

7.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Heathen	80	92	64
The Thunderer	80	91	74
Wrecking Ball Paul	77	89	75
God Of Thunder	77	91	80
Sax Appeal	77	90	72
Western Stars	77	89	79
Masqool	77	88	53
Lexington Knight	77	89	69
Furzig	77	89	75
Enough Already	77	90	71
Party Island	76	92	61
Eleanor Cross	75	87	53
Siempre Arturo	74	91	48
Optician	74	89	77
Suffrajet	74	90	73
It's A Love Thing	73	89	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Furzig	5d ago	Quick return
Masqool	9d ago	Quick return
It's A Love Thing	16d ago	Fit
Optician	17d ago	Fit
Heathen	19d ago	Fit
Siempre Arturo	20d ago	Fit
Eleanor Cross	24d ago	Fit
The Thunderer	27d ago	Fit
Wrecking Ball Paul	28d ago	Fit
God Of Thunder	28d ago	Fit
Party Island	28d ago	Fit
Sax Appeal	32d ago	Fit
Suffrajet	37d ago	Fit
Lexington Knight	48d ago	Fresh
Enough Already	50d ago	Fresh
Western Stars	94d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Lexington Knight	Prominent
Party Island	Hold Up
Suffrajet	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 16 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m4f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.