BetMGM All-Weather Championships Mile Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:40

BetMGM All-Weather Championships Mile Handicap

Date 2024-03-29

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £77,310

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Dear My Friend Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	141	—	00-111	113	120	82	28d	—	—	+2	21.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Produced a smart handicap performance in the Mile Trial, taking AW record to 4-4
6 (3)	Fantastic Fox Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Roger Varian	J:Oisin Murphy T:Roger Varian	125	—	114-31	97	118	95	69d	—	—	+3	15.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Ties in with several of these rivals; won at Lingfield last time; not ruled out
5 (5)	Symbol Of Light Brown J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	126	—	453-22	98	123	89	51d	—	—	+4	15.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Firmly knocking at the door; shade unlucky at Kempton most recently; big player
3 (12)	Kingdom Come Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	131	—	03-231	103	119	96	20d	—	—	+6	15.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Narrowly beat Final Voyage at Wolverhampton last time, taking AW record to 4-6
2 (6)	Fast Raaj Bay J:Alexis Pouchin T:Y Barberot	J:Alexis Pouchin T:Y Barberot	138	t	815-21	110	117	99	21d	—	—	+10	16.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Very useful performer; 7-12 on AW; French yard had a winner on this card in 2022
9 (10)	King's Code Bay J:Cam Hardie T:David Evans	J:Cam Hardie T:David Evans	121	—	-63114	93	120	98	20d	—	—	+20	25	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ties in with several of these opponents on 2024 form; frame possibilities
11 (9)	Greatgadian Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	120	p	2-3622	92	120	101	16d	—	—	+10	15.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Close second twice here this month, taking Newcastle form figures to 1222
12 (8)	Tropez Power Bay J:James Sullivan T:John & Sean Quinn	J:James Sullivan T:John & Sean Quinn	117	p	26-954	89	118	92	24d	—	—	+7	11	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Steadily finding his form this year but faces a stiffer task in this field
8 (11)	Final Voyage Bay J:David Probert T:J P Murtagh	J:David Probert T:J P Murtagh	122	—	89-512	94	119	91	20d	—	—	+8	12.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Beaten only narrowly by Kingdom Come on latest run, producing a career-best RPR
14 (13)	McLean House Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	116	—	1-9112	88	119	93	28d	—	—	+14	17.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Strike-rate is 5-9; ran creditably behind Dear My Friend in the Mile Trial
7 (7)	Talis Evolvere Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	122	—	12-120	94	119	94	28d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+9	11.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Form dipped sharply last time and is therefore hard to support with confidence
4 (2)	Tempus Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	130	—	572-45	102	119	101	47d	—	—	+11	13.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
The oldest contestant and losing spell goes back to summer 2022
10 (14)	Zealot Bay J:David Egan T:Michael Appleby	J:David Egan T:Michael Appleby	120	p	11-600	92	114	82	20d	—	—	+9	11.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Did extremely well in winter 2022-23; form has dipped sharply this year
13 (1)	Master Zoffany Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Richard Fahey	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Richard Fahey	117	—	41-607	89	117	103	41d	—	—	+9	10	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Ended his 2023 campaign with a Newcastle win; not in same form this year

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Dear My Friend	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Fantastic Fox	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Symbol Of Light	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Kingdom Come	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Fast Raaj	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
King's Code	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Greatgadian	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Tropez Power	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Final Voyage	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
McLean House	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Talis Evolvere	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Tempus	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Zealot	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Master Zoffany	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

King's Code

OR: 10.8 Form: 12.9 Odds: 1.4

14/1

2nd

Dear My Friend

21.5

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

3/1

3rd

McLean House

17.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1

20/1

Fast Raaj

16.9

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Kingdom Come

15.9

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Fantastic Fox

15.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Greatgadian

15.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Symbol Of Light

15.3

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Tempus

13.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Final Voyage

12.1

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Talis Evolvere

11.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Zealot

11.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Tropez Power

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Master Zoffany

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dear My Friend	113	120	82
Fast Raaj	110	117	99
Kingdom Come	103	119	96
Tempus	102	119	101
Symbol Of Light	98	123	89
Fantastic Fox	97	118	95
Final Voyage	94	119	91
Talis Evolvere	94	119	94
King's Code	93	120	98
Greatgadian	92	120	101
Zealot	92	114	82
Tropez Power	89	118	92
Master Zoffany	89	117	103
McLean House	88	119	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Greatgadian	16d ago	Fit
Kingdom Come	20d ago	Fit
King's Code	20d ago	Fit
Final Voyage	20d ago	Fit
Zealot	20d ago	Fit
Fast Raaj	21d ago	Fit
Tropez Power	24d ago	Fit
Dear My Friend	28d ago	Fit
McLean House	28d ago	Fit
Talis Evolvere	28d ago	Fit
Master Zoffany	41d ago	Fit
Tempus	47d ago	Fresh
Symbol Of Light	51d ago	Fresh
Fantastic Fox	69d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.