My Pension Expert Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Haydock

14:05

Date 2024-03-30

Distance 1m7f144y

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £25,720

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Brentford Hope Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	168	t	-61321	140	140	124	14d	—	—	+21	48.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Consistent; latest Newcastle win was a career best; big player once more despite 5lb rise
2	Playful Saint Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	162	t	4213-2	134	139	127	19d	—	—	+11	32.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Rallying neck second to Milldam at Stratford; again has conditions to suit; solid chance
5	The Churchill Lad Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	149	h	721324	121	141	134	28d	—	—	+17	30.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D winner in December and fine fourth in Morebattle at Kelso last time; shortlisted
7	Ballygeary Brown J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Donald McCain	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Donald McCain	146	p	-31257	118	144	135	28d	—	—	+15	26.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Lightly raced 7yo; better than result when seventh in Morebattle; may have more to offer
8	Mr Mackay Chestnut J:Finn Lambert(3) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Finn Lambert(3) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	142	—	154922	114	139	126	26d	—	—	+18	27.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
1-11; good second at Hereford and Plumpton last two starts but this is stronger
6	Salsada Chestnut J:Henry Brooke T:Brian Ellison	J:Henry Brooke T:Brian Ellison	148	—	/25-03	120	143	114	14d	—	—	+13	19.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Below par both starts this season but she's now well handicapped; drying ground would help
10	El Jefe Bay J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Andrew Hamilton	J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Andrew Hamilton	142	ht	143812	114	131	101	7d	—	—	+25	30.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Four wins this term and good second last week, but meets much stronger opposition here
9	Three Cliffs Bay Bay J:James Turner(7) T:Evan Williams	J:James Turner(7) T:Evan Williams	142	—	-61374	114	140	119	35d	—	—	+17	21.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Hasn't built on Ffos Las win; needs a personal best from 4lb out of the handicap
4	Holly Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	150	—	8-8514	122	140	117	26d	—	—	+15	19.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Has an in-and-out profile and might need a personal best even if she's on a going day
NR	Milldam Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:Jamie Snowden	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jamie Snowden	154	ht	-51411	126	139	-	19d	—	—	—	39	—	—
Has won three of last four, edging out Playful Saint at Stratford; another to consider

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Brentford Hope	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4	2/1
Playful Saint	3/1	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3
The Churchill Lad	11/2	11/2	5/1	9/2	9/2
Ballygeary	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Mr Mackay	8/1	8/1	7/1	8/1	15/2
Salsada	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1	11/1
El Jefe	20/1	16/1	20/1	16/1	16/1
Three Cliffs Bay	25/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Holly	25/1	20/1	22/1	25/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brentford Hope

48.9

OR: 22.5 Form: 18 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Milldam

OR: 19 Form: 20 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Playful Saint

32.2

OR: 21 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

7/2

The Churchill Lad

30.8

OR: 17.8 Form: 9 Odds: 4

11/2

El Jefe

30.3

OR: 16 Form: 12.9 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Mr Mackay

27.2

OR: 16 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Ballygeary

26.2

OR: 17 Form: 6.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Three Cliffs Bay

21.7

OR: 16 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Salsada

19.4

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Holly

19.2

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brentford Hope	140	140	124
Playful Saint	134	139	127
Milldam	126	139	—
Holly	122	140	117
The Churchill Lad	121	141	134
Salsada	120	143	114
Ballygeary	118	144	135
Mr Mackay	114	139	126
El Jefe	114	131	101
Three Cliffs Bay	114	140	119

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
El Jefe	7d ago	Quick return
Brentford Hope	14d ago	Fit
Salsada	14d ago	Fit
Playful Saint	19d ago	Fit
Milldam	19d ago	Fit
Mr Mackay	26d ago	Fit
Holly	26d ago	Fit
The Churchill Lad	28d ago	Fit
Ballygeary	28d ago	Fit
Three Cliffs Bay	35d ago	Fit