Visit Irish P2P Sales With ITM Handicap Hurdle – Chepstow

Chepstow

16:55

Visit Irish P2P Sales With ITM Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-04-01

Distance 2m3f100y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,330

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11	Il Va De Soi Grey J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Harry Derham	J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Harry Derham	159	p	4-4472	106	123	108	31d	—	—	-10	25.4	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Unexposed 6yo; clear second in new cheekpieces at Newbury last month; major player here
8	One Eye On Vegas Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	161	p	775113	108	113	97	16d	—	—	+17	34.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
A big improver since cheekpieces were fitted in January, winning twice before a good third
7	Florencethemachine Bay J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Paul Nicholls	164	—	1-2317	111	116	60	30d	—	—	+14	25.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Maiden winner; flopped badly on handicap debut but still has potential
5	Herakles Westwood Bay J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	167	—	-71114	114	112	103	40d	—	—	+23	34.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Below form last time but is 3-5 in handicaps and further progress remains possible
13	Monbari Bay J:Ben Jones T:Rebecca Curtis	J:Ben Jones T:Rebecca Curtis	154	p	2-498P	101	115	102	60d	—	—	+10	18.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Pulled up on handicap debut; drops back from 3m with cheekpieces tried
9	Current Mood Chestnut J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	161	—	4-P643	108	114	70	22d	—	—	+9	16.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ran quite well in a chase last month but well below her best over hurdles this season
14	Lyla Garrity Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Henrietta C Knight	J:Jack Tudor T:Henrietta C Knight	142	—	08-570	89	110	62	77d	—	—	+3	12.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-12 over hurdles in Ireland, signing off with down-the-field run in January; stable debut
12	Heure De Gloire Bay J:Gearoid Harney(7) T:David Pipe	J:Gearoid Harney(7) T:David Pipe	159	tb	641735	106	121	114	24d	—	—	+15	20.8	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Heavy-ground winner in early February but not in same form since; too unreliable
6	Mr Muldoon Chestnut J:Cillin Leonard(3) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Cillin Leonard(3) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	166	p	5-38P4	113	123	98	93d	—	—	+13	17	5.00/1	20/1 5%
On very good mark but ended 2023 in poor form; needs 93-day break to have done him good
3	Art Approval Bay J:Jack Hogan(3) T:Ralph J Smith	J:Jack Hogan(3) T:Ralph J Smith	168	—	3328-P	115	-	-	144d	—	—	+14	17	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Pulled up when 66-1 for seasonal/stable debut in November and has not raced again since
1	Jac Jumper Bay J:Chris Ward(3) T:Deborah Cole	J:Chris Ward(3) T:Deborah Cole	168	t	1835-P	115	-	-	83d	—	—	+14	17	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Ex-French 5yo; pulled up on British debut in January; had wind op soon afterwards
10	Sobegrand Bay J:Connor Brace T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Connor Brace T:John & Rhys Flint	160	p	531P3	107	113	84	207d	—	—	+21	22.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Left Olly Murphy after two poor runs last summer; best watched on stable/handicap debut
NR	Inoui Machin Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	168	p	-33241	115	115	99	23d	—	—	—	30.3	—	—
Back in a handicap after winning Hereford maiden last month; open to further improvement
NR	In From The Cold Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:Grace Harris	J:NON-RUNNER T:Grace Harris	167	—	664653	114	115	100	27d	—	—	—	19	—	—
First two stable runs were very respectable but two heavy defeats have followed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Il Va De Soi	5/4	6/4	5/4	11/8	11/8
One Eye On Vegas	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1
Florencethemachine	7/1	7/1	15/2	13/2	7/1
Herakles Westwood	8/1	8/1	17/2	15/2	15/2
Monbari	12/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Current Mood	12/1	11/1	12/1	10/1	10/1
Lyla Garrity	12/1	16/1	12/1	16/1	15/2
Heure De Gloire	16/1	14/1	18/1	12/1	12/1
Mr Muldoon	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	16/1
Art Approval	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1
Jac Jumper	80/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	33/1
Sobegrand	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

One Eye On Vegas

34.7

OR: 14.5 Form: 15 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Herakles Westwood

34.1

OR: 16 Form: 15 Odds: 3.1

17/2

3rd

Inoui Machin

30.3

OR: 16.3 Form: 14 Odds: 0

—

Florencethemachine

25.6

OR: 15.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Il Va De Soi

25.4

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

6/4

Sobegrand

22.6

OR: 14.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Heure De Gloire

20.8

OR: 14 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.7

18/1

In From The Cold

OR: 16 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Monbari

18.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

12/1

Mr Muldoon

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Art Approval

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Jac Jumper

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

80/1

Current Mood

16.7

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Lyla Garrity

12.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Art Approval	115	—	—
Jac Jumper	115	—	—
Inoui Machin	115	115	99
Herakles Westwood	114	112	103
In From The Cold	114	115	100
Mr Muldoon	113	123	98
Florencethemachine	111	116	60
One Eye On Vegas	108	113	97
Current Mood	108	114	70
Sobegrand	107	113	84
Il Va De Soi	106	123	108
Heure De Gloire	106	121	114
Monbari	101	115	102
Lyla Garrity	89	110	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
One Eye On Vegas	16d ago	Fit
Current Mood	22d ago	Fit
Inoui Machin	23d ago	Fit
Heure De Gloire	24d ago	Fit
In From The Cold	27d ago	Fit
Florencethemachine	30d ago	Fit
Il Va De Soi	31d ago	Fit
Herakles Westwood	40d ago	Fit
Monbari	60d ago	Fresh
Lyla Garrity	77d ago	Fresh
Jac Jumper	83d ago	Fresh
Mr Muldoon	93d ago	Long break
Art Approval	144d ago	Long break
Sobegrand	207d ago	Long break