Edie, Linda & Philip Grundy April Birthdays Handicap

Pontefract

16:15

Date 2024-04-02

Distance 1m2f5y

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,780

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Bustaam Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	135	—	5048-1	75	89	44	10d	—	—	-10	28.8	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Up 10lb for his emphatic Doncaster win but could still be on a good mark
3 (1)	Bushfire Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	130	—	31850-	70	85	60	171d	—	—	-4	13.8	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Last season didn't end well but he returns with the yard having winners
1 (6)	Lord Melbourne Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	137	—	32384-	77	85	68	106d	—	—	0	14.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
His profile is not one of a progressive horse and ground this soft is an unknown
4 (7)	Damascus Steel Grey J:Jason Hart T:Ed Dunlop	J:Jason Hart T:Ed Dunlop	130	b	15395-	70	87	77	169d	—	—	+2	11	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two wins last year; form fell away but on a fair mark if getting his act together
5 (5)	Flying Scotsman Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ben Haslam	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ben Haslam	129	—	7600-7	69	88	77	84d	—	—	+1	6.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Useful in Ireland but uncompetitive in six Flat handicaps for Ben Haslam
7 (4)	Vallamorey Grey J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	124	—	0655-9	64	85	75	—	—	—	-1	5.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
1m2f winner on soft ground but poor this year over hurdles and on the Flat
NR (3)	Destinado Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:James Owen	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Owen	128	v	414213	68	86	-	2d	—	—	—	19	—	—
Won going away late on at Doncaster; another good effort at Southwell on Sunday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bustaam	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10
Bushfire	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Lord Melbourne	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Damascus Steel	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Flying Scotsman	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Vallamorey	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bustaam

28.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 10 Odds: 12.5

11/10

2nd

Destinado

OR: 4.5 Form: 14.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Lord Melbourne

14.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 4

9/2

Bushfire

13.8

OR: 5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Damascus Steel

OR: 5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Flying Scotsman

6.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Vallamorey

5.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lord Melbourne	77	85	68
Bustaam	75	89	44
Bushfire	70	85	60
Damascus Steel	70	87	77
Flying Scotsman	69	88	77
Destinado	68	86	—
Vallamorey	64	85	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Destinado	2d ago	Quick return
Bustaam	10d ago	Quick return
Flying Scotsman	84d ago	Fresh
Lord Melbourne	106d ago	Long break
Damascus Steel	169d ago	Long break
Bushfire	171d ago	Long break
Vallamorey	—	—