At The Races App Form Study Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:00

At The Races App Form Study Handicap

Date 2024-04-08

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 2m 32.68s (slow by 4.88s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Publicity (GB) Paddy Bradley · John Butler	17/2	Won
2nd	Compton Bay (GB) William Carson · Michael Madgwick	12/1	0.3
3rd	Something To Do (GB) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	5/1	1.5
4th	Rubio De Oro (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	7/1	0.1
5th	Jailbird (IRE) Liam Wright · George Scott	4/1	.5
6th	Elforleather (GB) Charles Bishop · Jack Channon	5/4F	2.5
7th	Mary Chesnut (IRE) Sean Levey · Tom Ward	100/1	38

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Elforleather Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	136	—	998-3	56	67	49	9d	—	—	-24	18.7	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Bumped into a pair miles ahead of their marks on h'cap debut (well backed); leading claims
1 (6)	Jailbird Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:George Scott	J:Liam Wright(7) T:George Scott	137	—	050-44	57	58	38	17d	—	—	-9	6.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two fair handicap runs so far; improvement needed for new, longer trip but it's possible
3 (1)	Something To Do Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	136	p	217225	56	62	50	23d	—	—	-1	13.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
1m2f win here in Feb; expensive to follow since and it was a laboured effort last time
5 (5)	Publicity Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:John Butler	J:Paddy Bradley T:John Butler	134	p	803-73	54	61	48	23d	—	—	-6	3.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Placed in a couple of minor handicaps this winter; new trip needs to have positive effect
7 (7)	Rubio De Oro Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	130	tb	0-8333	50	62	46	50d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Beaten in four handicaps this year and remains vulnerable to anything progressive
4 (4)	Compton Bay Chestnut J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	134	h	25-544	54	61	49	32d	—	—	-3	2.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-11; fair 4th over 1m2f here last time but this trip isn't sure to suit; often too free
6 (2)	Mary Chesnut Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	132	t	785	52	58	-	26d	—	—	-1	0.9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Poor form in three runs at up to 1m4f; tongue tied for handicap debut; far from solid

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Elforleather	evn	evn	11/10	evn	evn
Jailbird	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Something To Do	5/1	11/2	9/2	5/1	5/1
Publicity	8/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Rubio De Oro	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Compton Bay	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Mary Chesnut	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Elforleather

18.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Something To Do

13.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 8 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Jailbird

6.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Publicity

3.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Compton Bay

2.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Rubio De Oro

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Mary Chesnut

0.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jailbird	57	58	38
Elforleather	56	67	49
Something To Do	56	62	50
Publicity	54	61	48
Compton Bay	54	61	49
Mary Chesnut	52	58	—
Rubio De Oro	50	62	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Elforleather	9d ago	Quick return
Jailbird	17d ago	Fit
Something To Do	23d ago	Fit
Publicity	23d ago	Fit
Mary Chesnut	26d ago	Fit
Compton Bay	32d ago	Fit
Rubio De Oro	50d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m4f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.