Grand National Lucky Dip At BetVictor Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

17:05

Grand National Lucky Dip At BetVictor Handicap

Date 2024-04-12

Distance 5f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Theriverrunsdeep Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Seamus G O'Donnell	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Seamus G O'Donnell	141	b	481452	63	71	60	7d	—	—	-10	20.6	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Generally consistent at this venue over the winter, winning twice too; should run her race
11 (7)	My Girl Sioux Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	129	—	-74223	51	71	62	21d	—	—	-3	14.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
A maiden after 23 starts but good runs here last four times; should run her race again
9 (3)	Phil's Dream Brown J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	131	tv	013032	53	73	62	21d	—	—	0	15.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Hammered by Pro Bono Alexander two runs ago but second here last night
5 (11)	No Speed Limit Bay J:W J Lee T:Patrick J McKenna	J:W J Lee T:Patrick J McKenna	138	v	64-267	60	72	62	58d	—	—	-4	5.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Four-time course winner but bit to find on recent form
10 (1)	American In Paris Bay J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	130	b	0-0630	52	71	61	28d	—	—	-5	2.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won over 6f here a year ago then won on turf since; has a chance on C&D 3rd two starts ago
12 (13)	Sosallycanwait Grey Roan J:Colin Keane T:Leanne Breen	J:Colin Keane T:Leanne Breen	129	—	63660-	51	72	-	223d	—	—	-3	2.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
A maiden after 26 starts but placed several times; a chance if at her best after absence
3 (14)	Shoebox King Bay J:Calum Hogan(7) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Calum Hogan(7) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	139	—	76030-	61	71	-	191d	—	—	+1	6.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Record of 2-28, both at this trip; only one run on AW; enough questions on return
4 (12)	Make Clear Bay J:Shane Foley T:Peter McCreery	J:Shane Foley T:Peter McCreery	138	p	4-7212	60	68	62	63d	—	—	-2	4.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Off the mark at Lingfield and then 2nd at Chelmsford; chance if holding form for new yard
1 (6)	Spirit Of Eagles Bay J:Jack Cleary(7) T:Thomas Dowling	J:Jack Cleary(7) T:Thomas Dowling	142	t	16309-	64	72	-	177d	—	—	+4	8.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
This her optimum trip on turf; last on AW debut here for new yard last night
8 (2)	Comein Comein Bay J:Manoel Marques T:Michael J Browne	J:Manoel Marques T:Michael J Browne	131	—	7380-0	64	70	43	13d	—	—	0	4.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Went close in Down Royal maiden last year but unsuited by soft last twice; player at best
13 (5)	Silver Nemo Grey J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Lee Smyth	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Lee Smyth	125	tb	59-000	47	70	52	7d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Is just 2-40 but often runs well; disappointing lately and others preferred
7 (10)	Reinforce Chestnut J:Ronan Whelan T:Miss Katy Brown	J:Ronan Whelan T:Miss Katy Brown	132	—	05-760	54	71	60	21d	—	—	-2	2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Maiden after 17 starts; disappointing last time but has a chance on some earlier runs
14 (9)	Are You In Or Out Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Paul Stafford	J:James Ryan(5) T:Paul Stafford	124	—	0084-8	57	70	39	7d	—	—	0	2.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Below best when unplaced on return last week; loads more needed down in trip
NR (8)	Navalny Bay J:TBC T:C W J Farrell	J: T:C W J Farrell	137	t	55000-	59	71	-	156d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
Showed promise as a 2yo but regressed last year; questions after his absence

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Theriverrunsdeep	9/4	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1
My Girl Sioux	9/2	7/2	7/2	4/1	4/1
Phil's Dream	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2
No Speed Limit	8/1	7/1	8/1	15/2	7/1
American In Paris	12/1	10/1	12/1	10/1	10/1
Sosallycanwait	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Shoebox King	14/1	12/1	16/1	12/1	12/1
Make Clear	11/1	14/1	11/1	14/1	14/1
Spirit Of Eagles	16/1	18/1	16/1	20/1	20/1
Comein Comein	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Silver Nemo	25/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Reinforce	28/1	25/1	33/1	25/1	25/1
Are You In Or Out	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Theriverrunsdeep

20.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 8 Odds: 9.4

9/4

2nd

Phil's Dream

15.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

My Girl Sioux

14.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 9 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Spirit Of Eagles

8.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Shoebox King

6.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

No Speed Limit

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Comein Comein

4.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Make Clear

4.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Sosallycanwait

2.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

American In Paris

2.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Are You In Or Out

2.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Navalny

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Reinforce

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Silver Nemo

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spirit Of Eagles	64	72	—
Comein Comein	64	70	43
Theriverrunsdeep	63	71	60
Shoebox King	61	71	—
No Speed Limit	60	72	62
Make Clear	60	68	62
Navalny	59	71	—
Are You In Or Out	57	70	39
Reinforce	54	71	60
Phil's Dream	53	73	62
American In Paris	52	71	61
My Girl Sioux	51	71	62
Sosallycanwait	51	72	—
Silver Nemo	47	70	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Theriverrunsdeep	7d ago	Quick return
Silver Nemo	7d ago	Quick return
Are You In Or Out	7d ago	Quick return
Comein Comein	13d ago	Quick return
My Girl Sioux	21d ago	Fit
Phil's Dream	21d ago	Fit
Reinforce	21d ago	Fit
American In Paris	28d ago	Fit
No Speed Limit	58d ago	Fresh
Make Clear	63d ago	Fresh
Navalny	156d ago	Long break
Spirit Of Eagles	177d ago	Long break
Shoebox King	191d ago	Long break
Sosallycanwait	223d ago	Long break