Liz And Izzy's HOAP Podcast Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:30

Liz And Izzy's HOAP Podcast Handicap

Date 2024-04-12

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 40.35s (slow by 2.65s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Masham Moor (GB) Paula Muir · Simon West	15/2	Won
2nd	Van Zant (GB) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	11/4F	0.3
3rd	Angel Of Antrim (IRE) Josephine Gordon · Phil McEntee	9/2	.75
4th	Specialist View (GB) Marco Ghiani · Chris Dwyer	3/1	2
5th	Reformed Character (IRE) Grace McEntee · Martin Dunne	17/2	1.25
6th	Urban Champion (GB) Clifford Lee · Richard Phillips	12/1	9.5
7th	Pop Favorite (GB) Elisha Whittington · Scott Dixon	22/1	5
8th	Wee Geordie (GB) Rossa Ryan · Stuart Williams	9/1	22

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (4)	Specialist View Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Chris Dwyer	J:Marco Ghiani T:Chris Dwyer	131	—	90/8-3	49	65	58	17d	—	—	-13	9.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Returned from more than a year off with a close third in a C&D classified race 17 days ago
5 (7)	Van Zant Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	133	p	334421	51	67	55	17d	—	—	0	20.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Second career win when always prominent and rallying gamely over C&D 17 days ago
4 (9)	Angel Of Antrim Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	134	p	935414	52	65	40	8d	—	—	0	11.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Dual 1m winner; close up on last week's stable debut and could have been closer
2 (6)	Wee Geordie Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Stuart Williams	J:Rossa Ryan T:Stuart Williams	135	—	040-7	53	67	44	92d	—	—	-6	3.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Finished last on handicap debut but went off 9-2 and capable of better than that
8 (8)	Reformed Character Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Martin Dunne	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Martin Dunne	129	t	5-5734	47	62	55	32d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Continues to run well at about this distance but now 0-21 and perhaps vulnerable again
7 (3)	Masham Moor Bay J:Paula Muir(3) T:Simon West	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Simon West	131	—	26-553	49	62	46	29d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Came from well off the pace to be close up in a recent C&D classified contest
9 (1)	Urban Champion Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:Richard Phillips	J:Clifford Lee T:Richard Phillips	128	—	5-0004	46	63	46	17d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
None too consistent and was no match for Van Zant here last month; probably placed at best
3 (5)	Pop Favorite Bay J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	134	b	451458	52	65	41	32d	—	—	+1	4.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Best at Newcastle; 0-8 here and placed only once; below par last two runs
NR (2)	Recorwoman Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	135	t	7017-0	53	68	23	45d	—	—	—	0.8	—	—
Has form here over 1m but ran poorly here in February when back from a break

Horse	bet365	Coral
Specialist View	5/2	5/2
Van Zant	11/4	11/4
Angel Of Antrim	6/1	6/1
Wee Geordie	15/2	15/2
Reformed Character	8/1	8/1
Masham Moor	9/1	9/1
Urban Champion	16/1	16/1
Pop Favorite	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Van Zant

20.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 14.1 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Angel Of Antrim

11.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 3.1

6/1

3rd

Specialist View

9.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Pop Favorite

4.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Wee Geordie

3.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.6

15/2

Reformed Character

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Masham Moor

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Urban Champion

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Recorwoman

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wee Geordie	53	67	44
Recorwoman	53	68	23
Angel Of Antrim	52	65	40
Pop Favorite	52	65	41
Van Zant	51	67	55
Specialist View	49	65	58
Masham Moor	49	62	46
Reformed Character	47	62	55
Urban Champion	46	63	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Angel Of Antrim	8d ago	Quick return
Specialist View	17d ago	Fit
Van Zant	17d ago	Fit
Urban Champion	17d ago	Fit
Masham Moor	29d ago	Fit
Reformed Character	32d ago	Fit
Pop Favorite	32d ago	Fit
Recorwoman	45d ago	Fit
Wee Geordie	92d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Van Zant	Prominent
Angel Of Antrim	Prominent
Wee Geordie	Hold Up
Masham Moor	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 9 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.