My Pension Expert Maghull Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree

17:00

Date 2024-04-13

Distance 1m7f176y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £67,524

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Found A Fifty Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	-12122	155	166	150	32d	—	—	+20	53.9	0.34/1	11/8 42%
No match for Gaelic Warrior in the Arkle but there's nothing of his calibre to fret about
4	Hercule Du Seuil Brown J:Mark Walsh T:W P Mullins	J:Mark Walsh T:W P Mullins	161	ht	211111	153	165	129	185d	—	—	+40	55.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won his last five over fences but this is a step up from Grade 3 level
2	Etalon Brown J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	161	t	14-111	142	155	138	58d	—	—	+17	25.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Something to find on the figures but he's 3-3 chasing and improving at a rate of knots
6	Master Chewy Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Tom Bellamy T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	161	—	12214F	150	157	135	32d	—	—	+26	33.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Improving chaser who still had place hopes when coming down two out in the Arkle
8	Nickle Back Bay J:James Best T:Sarah Humphrey	J:James Best T:Sarah Humphrey	161	h	-11221	150	166	147	70d	—	—	+41	47.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Front-runner whose best run was on good ground over 2m4f; faces competition to lead
7	Matata Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	161	—	6-1224	148	161	137	32d	—	—	+21	25.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Perhaps not good enough but he's a bold-jumping front-runner and this track will suit
1	Djelo Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	161	—	111F23	148	161	145	30d	—	—	+32	36.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won't mind returning to 2m and, with course form, he has each-way claims
9	Quilixios Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	161	—	3/1618	147	151	119	32d	—	—	+23	27.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
2-4 over fences and had excuses for the defeats; lost it at the start in the Arkle
5	Libberty Hunter Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Evan Williams	J:Harry Cobden T:Evan Williams	161	—	5-F112	144	155	131	31d	—	—	+21	24.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Progressive handicapper (2nd in the Grand Annual) and earned his right to a crack at this
10	Silent Approach Bay J:Danny Mullins T:C O'Keeffe	J:Danny Mullins T:C O'Keeffe	154	—	311335	140	156	122	63d	—	—	+30	31.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
2-5 over fences but this is her first crack at a Grade 1 of any kind

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Found A Fifty	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Hercule Du Seuil	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Etalon	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Master Chewy	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Nickle Back	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Matata	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Djelo	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Quilixios	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Libberty Hunter	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Silent Approach	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hercule Du Seuil

55.2

OR: 25.8 Form: 25 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

Found A Fifty

53.9

OR: 26.3 Form: 17 Odds: 10.6

11/8

3rd

Nickle Back

47.7

OR: 25 Form: 21 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Djelo

36.5

OR: 24.5 Form: 10.8 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Master Chewy

33.1

OR: 25 Form: 6 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Silent Approach

31.4

OR: 22.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Quilixios

27.6

OR: 24.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Matata

25.9

OR: 24.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Etalon

25.4

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Libberty Hunter

24.3

OR: 23.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Found A Fifty	155	166	150
Hercule Du Seuil	153	165	129
Master Chewy	150	157	135
Nickle Back	150	166	147
Matata	148	161	137
Djelo	148	161	145
Quilixios	147	151	119
Libberty Hunter	144	155	131
Etalon	142	155	138
Silent Approach	140	156	122

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Djelo	30d ago	Fit
Libberty Hunter	31d ago	Fit
Found A Fifty	32d ago	Fit
Master Chewy	32d ago	Fit
Matata	32d ago	Fit
Quilixios	32d ago	Fit
Etalon	58d ago	Fresh
Silent Approach	63d ago	Fresh
Nickle Back	70d ago	Fresh
Hercule Du Seuil	185d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Nickle Back	Front Runner
Matata	Front Runner

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 10 runners classified.