William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

Aintree

13:20

Date 2024-04-13

Distance 3m149y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £42,203

Runners (22)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	West Balboa Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	163	—	1-1086	141	148	136	28d	—	—	+13	37	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Won this 12 months ago and showed clear signs of revival last time; commands major respect
6	Cuthbert Dibble Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	162	—	51-113	140	148	141	30d	—	—	+15	25.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Consistent; fine third when favourite for last month's Pertemps; high on the list again
17	Gwennie May Boy Bay J:Charlie Todd T:Dan Skelton	J:Charlie Todd T:Dan Skelton	148	—	4-1P11	126	145	119	28d	—	—	+10	22.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
2-2 for Dan Skelton; had several of these behind him at Uttoxeter; good claims
14	Black Bamboo Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:John Joseph Murphy	J:Sean Flanagan T:John Joseph Murphy	150	—	351666	128	145	124	31d	—	—	+16	25.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Good sixth in the Coral Cup; this return to 3m should suit; one to take seriously
3	Monmiral Black J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	166	tb	7-7441	144	153	139	30d	—	—	+17	25.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Responded well to first-time blinkers when winning the Pertemps Final; leading contender
9	Johnnywho Brown J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	158	t	1-1448	136	146	126	29d	—	—	+23	30.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two underwhelming runs this year, including when upped to 3m last time; needs a revival
2	Bold Endeavour Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	166	p	235264	144	147	141	30d	—	—	+22	28.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Goes well in big-field handicaps; fourth in Pertemps at Cheltenham; could make frame again
12	Fine Margin Bay J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	152	—	429-2P	130	145	139	70d	—	—	+16	21.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Disappointing last time but has good claims on previous second in strong race at Haydock
5	Chantry House Brown J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	163	b	F-3740	141	149	139	30d	—	—	+18	24.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Has underperformed since an encouraging reappearance but too well treated to be dismissed
19	Lord Snootie Chestnut J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	147	—	-76P2P	125	152	138	28d	—	—	+17	21.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Can't be trusted after very poor last run but is a threat judged on previous second
11	Johnson's Blue Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	154	—	161-U1	132	144	105	52d	—	—	+18	21.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Career best when winning at Doncaster; genuine and consistent but this is tougher
16	Ramo Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	149	—	-18232	127	147	127	83d	—	—	+29	31.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Reliable; good second at Lingfield; likely to give running but is creeping up the weights
21	Seefin Bay J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	143	—	21121P	121	152	133	28d	—	—	+29	31.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Poor effort at Uttoxeter brought progressive run of form to an abrupt end
1	Red Risk Bay J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Paul Nicholls	168	p	0-6284	146	151	113	56d	—	—	+22	24.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Down the field twice since good Wetherby run; headgear needs to make a difference
13	J'Ai Froid Bay J:John Kington T:L J Morgan	J:John Kington T:L J Morgan	151	v	P81214	129	148	129	56d	—	—	+30	33	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Successful twice this term but well held by Cuthbert Dibble at Haydock last time
7	Landrake Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	159	—	F2-54P	137	149	-	84d	—	—	+20	22.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Useful hurdler last season but has since cut little ice over fences; new stable; risky
18	Classic Concorde Bay J:Connor Brace T:David Brace	J:Connor Brace T:David Brace	147	p	41101P	125	148	130	28d	—	—	+28	29.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Admirable veteran but bled from the nose last time and this looks a hot race
22	Russian Ruler b/br J:Brendan Powell T:Nicky Henderson	J:Brendan Powell T:Nicky Henderson	142	p	-4PP5P	120	150	108	29d	—	—	+16	17.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Pulled up in the Martin Pipe last time; stamina for 3m is unproven; difficult to recommend
8	Ailie Rose Bay J:J J Slevin T:S R B Crawford	J:J J Slevin T:S R B Crawford	158	—	10-41P	136	147	115	70d	—	—	+20	21.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Faced only three opponents when scoring at Ayr; needs personal best off career-high mark
10	Floueur Bay J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	155	t	P-5P25	133	145	110	28d	—	—	+19	21.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Went down narrowly at Doncaster in March but well beaten otherwise this term; unconvincing
20	Storm Nelson Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Olly Williams	J:Charlie Hammond T:Olly Williams	144	—	0-P693	122	145	110	52d	—	—	+17	18.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Doesn't look quite the force of old and would be a surprise winner
NR	Honor Grey Bay J:TBC T:Ben Pauling	J: T:Ben Pauling	150	b	1/31-1	128	145	128	56d	—	—	—	34.5	—	—
Shrugged off 482-day absence when winning at Ascot; may take another step forward

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
West Balboa	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4
Cuthbert Dibble	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Gwennie May Boy	6/1	6/1	15/2	6/1	6/1
Black Bamboo	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2	7/1
Monmiral	12/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Johnnywho	11/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Bold Endeavour	20/1	12/1	14/1	11/1	12/1
Fine Margin	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Chantry House	18/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Lord Snootie	22/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Johnson's Blue	33/1	22/1	28/1	22/1	20/1
Ramo	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Seefin	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Red Risk	40/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
J'Ai Froid	50/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Landrake	66/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	25/1
Classic Concorde	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Russian Ruler	80/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
Ailie Rose	80/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	66/1
Floueur	80/1	40/1	66/1	40/1	33/1
Storm Nelson	250/1	100/1	125/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

West Balboa

OR: 22.8 Form: 7 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Honor Grey

34.5

OR: 19.5 Form: 15 Odds: 0

—

3rd

J'Ai Froid

OR: 19.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ramo

31.6

OR: 19.3 Form: 11.6 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Seefin

31.5

OR: 17.8 Form: 13 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Johnnywho

30.6

OR: 21.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Classic Concorde

29.7

OR: 18.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Bold Endeavour

28.3

OR: 23.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.7

20/1

Monmiral

25.9

OR: 23.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Cuthbert Dibble

25.4

OR: 22.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Black Bamboo

25.2

OR: 19.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Red Risk

24.7

OR: 24 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Chantry House

24.5

OR: 22.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Gwennie May Boy

22.6

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Landrake

22.5

OR: 21.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Ailie Rose

21.9

OR: 21.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Johnson's Blue

21.5

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Fine Margin

21.4

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Floueur

21.3

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Lord Snootie

21.1

OR: 18.8 Form: 1.3 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Storm Nelson

18.2

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Russian Ruler

17.9

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Red Risk	146	151	113
Monmiral	144	153	139
Bold Endeavour	144	147	141
West Balboa	141	148	136
Chantry House	141	149	139
Cuthbert Dibble	140	148	141
Landrake	137	149	—
Johnnywho	136	146	126
Ailie Rose	136	147	115
Floueur	133	145	110
Johnson's Blue	132	144	105
Fine Margin	130	145	139
J'Ai Froid	129	148	129
Black Bamboo	128	145	124
Honor Grey	128	145	128
Ramo	127	147	127
Gwennie May Boy	126	145	119
Lord Snootie	125	152	138
Classic Concorde	125	148	130
Storm Nelson	122	145	110
Seefin	121	152	133
Russian Ruler	120	150	108

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
West Balboa	28d ago	Fit
Gwennie May Boy	28d ago	Fit
Lord Snootie	28d ago	Fit
Seefin	28d ago	Fit
Classic Concorde	28d ago	Fit
Floueur	28d ago	Fit
Johnnywho	29d ago	Fit
Russian Ruler	29d ago	Fit
Cuthbert Dibble	30d ago	Fit
Monmiral	30d ago	Fit
Bold Endeavour	30d ago	Fit
Chantry House	30d ago	Fit
Black Bamboo	31d ago	Fit
Johnson's Blue	52d ago	Fresh
Storm Nelson	52d ago	Fresh
Red Risk	56d ago	Fresh
J'Ai Froid	56d ago	Fresh
Honor Grey	56d ago	Fresh
Fine Margin	70d ago	Fresh
Ailie Rose	70d ago	Fresh
Ramo	83d ago	Fresh
Landrake	84d ago	Fresh