Follow @bresbet On X Handicap – Yarmouth

Yarmouth

18:00

Follow @bresbet On X Handicap

Date 2024-04-13

Distance 1m3y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,768

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (13)	Berry Clever Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Chris Dwyer	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Chris Dwyer	133	—	6752-6	63	72	23	16d	—	—	-9	8.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Prominent in the market all three runs since handicapping; one to consider in an open race
1 (10)	Cuban Fiesta Grey J:Clifford Lee T:Ed Dunlop	J:Clifford Lee T:Ed Dunlop	137	—	046-3	67	75	54	13d	—	—	-4	11.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Better expected on handicap debut over 1m and his 3rd was more like it; on the shortlist
3 (9)	Notre Dame Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	134	—	632-11	64	73	34	28d	—	—	-6	7.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Needs another step forward up 4lb but has a fair chance of the hat-trick if more amenable
2 (11)	Inappropriate Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	135	—	699-	65	68	43	162d	—	—	-3	6.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Gelded; this is more realistic and he needs a market check
6 (3)	Twenty Bob Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	132	v	3-5365	62	74	73	25d	—	—	-1	7.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not beaten far last time when again looking worth a try over 1m; holds claims
5 (7)	Sir Bolton Bay J:Harry Davies T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Harry Davies T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	132	t	976-90	62	69	49	25d	—	—	-3	5.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Evidently felt capable but needs to settle in the first-time tongue-tie back up in trip
8 (8)	Shaws Phoenix Grey J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	128	—	30564-	58	70	61	186d	—	—	-2	4.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Twice ran well below market expectations for Rod Millman last year; new yard going well
10 (12)	Ocean Bliss Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Michael Appleby	125	—	374743	55	73	31	22d	—	—	+1	5.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Well-related filly; better last time and is one to consider off the same mark
7 (1)	Magnificent Match Brown J:Kieran Shoemark T:Robert Eddery	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Robert Eddery	129	—	0856-6	59	72	48	94d	—	—	-1	3.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Attracted support latest only to blow the start; interesting to see if there's money again
13 (6)	Priscilla's Joy Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Philip McBride	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Philip McBride	116	—	000-	46	53	-	189d	—	—	-1	0.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Very well related but beaten a long way in three 6f runs as 2yo; handicap debut
9 (4)	Silver Shamrock Grey J:Josephine Gordon T:Julia Feilden	J:Josephine Gordon T:Julia Feilden	127	—	6938-	57	71	38	178d	—	—	+3	4.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Nothing exciting last autumn and Notre Dame is clearly her yard's best chance
11 (5)	Jaunty Dancer Chestnut J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Christine Dunnett	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Christine Dunnett	124	p	4-555	54	70	-	54d	—	—	0	1.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Didn't go on at all for Alice Haynes and was sold for 1,800gns last month
12 (2)	Angel Of Gold Grey J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	118	—	896-80	48	68	-	74d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Big prices all starts on the AW and has continued to struggle since handicapping

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Berry Clever	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Cuban Fiesta	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Notre Dame	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Inappropriate	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Twenty Bob	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Sir Bolton	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Shaws Phoenix	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Ocean Bliss	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Magnificent Match	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Priscilla's Joy	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Silver Shamrock	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Jaunty Dancer	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Angel Of Gold	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cuban Fiesta

11.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

Berry Clever

8.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

3rd

Twenty Bob

7.6

OR: 3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Notre Dame

7.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Inappropriate

6.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Ocean Bliss

5.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Sir Bolton

5.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Shaws Phoenix

4.5

OR: 2 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Silver Shamrock

4.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Magnificent Match

3.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Jaunty Dancer

1.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Priscilla's Joy

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Angel Of Gold

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cuban Fiesta	67	75	54
Inappropriate	65	68	43
Notre Dame	64	73	34
Berry Clever	63	72	23
Twenty Bob	62	74	73
Sir Bolton	62	69	49
Magnificent Match	59	72	48
Shaws Phoenix	58	70	61
Silver Shamrock	57	71	38
Ocean Bliss	55	73	31
Jaunty Dancer	54	70	—
Angel Of Gold	48	68	—
Priscilla's Joy	46	53	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cuban Fiesta	13d ago	Quick return
Berry Clever	16d ago	Fit
Ocean Bliss	22d ago	Fit
Twenty Bob	25d ago	Fit
Sir Bolton	25d ago	Fit
Notre Dame	28d ago	Fit
Jaunty Dancer	54d ago	Fresh
Angel Of Gold	74d ago	Fresh
Magnificent Match	94d ago	Long break
Inappropriate	162d ago	Long break
Silver Shamrock	178d ago	Long break
Shaws Phoenix	186d ago	Long break
Priscilla's Joy	189d ago	Long break