Quinnbet Acca Bonus Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Quinnbet Acca Bonus Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-04-16

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Winning Time 1m 39.76s (slow by 2.76s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ten Dimes (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	4/5F	Won
2nd	Radiant Beauty (GB) Daniel Tudhope · K R Burke	4/1	1.5
3rd	Marianglas (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	7/1	2
4th	Sneaky Girl (GB) Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti	16/1	8
5th	Nartaji (GB) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	9/2	0.2
6th	La Sonnambula (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	50/1	4
7th	Carping Caitlin (GB) Billy Loughnane · Ed Dunlop	50/1	3
8th	Liz's Kitten (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	200/1	1.25
9th	Evanwood (IRE) Ben Robinson · David O'Meara	150/1	20

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (7)	Ten Dimes Brown J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	2-	-	88	51	151d	—	—	-27	21.3	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Unlucky loser on her 7f debut here late last year; sets a decent standard on that
8 (3)	Radiant Beauty Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	128	—	3	-	76	47	33d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Debut 3rd at Chelmsford a month ago hasn't worked out but the stiffer test ought to help
7 (2)	Nartaji Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Trainer boasts an unsurprisingly good record with 3yos here; is a likely looking newcomer
6 (6)	Marianglas Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	128	—	5-	-	77	39	151d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Played up before shaping fairly behind Ten Dimes on debut here last November; can improve
9 (1)	Sneaky Girl Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	128	—	7	-	72	26	39d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Only beat one home on her debut here but form boosted since; is worth a look
1 (10)	Carping Caitlin Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	128	—	04-	-	80	-	144d	—	—	-1	0.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has undergone wind surgery and will likely be one for handicaps after tonight
4 (4)	La Sonnambula Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	128	—	0-	-	35	-	243d	—	—	-1	0.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Beaten long way on debut last summer; best watched again unless the market says otherwise
3 (9)	Evanwood Bay J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	128	—	69-	-	76	-	233d	—	—	0	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Needs a good step forward to get involved here; handicaps are probably next on the agenda
5 (8)	Liz's Kitten Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	128	—	89-	-	63	-	209d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well held at big prices in two runs last summer; low-grade handicaps are probably next up
NR (5)	Epidavros Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Loughnane	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Loughnane	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
70,000euros foal who's out of an unraced half-sister to a US Grade 1 winner; market useful

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Ten Dimes	8/11	8/11	8/11	8/11	8/11
Radiant Beauty	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Nartaji	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Marianglas	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Sneaky Girl	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Carping Caitlin	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
La Sonnambula	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Evanwood	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Liz's Kitten	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ten Dimes

21.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 16.3

8/11

2nd

Radiant Beauty

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Nartaji

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Marianglas

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Sneaky Girl

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Carping Caitlin

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

La Sonnambula

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Evanwood

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Liz's Kitten

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Epidavros

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ten Dimes	—	88	51
Radiant Beauty	—	76	47
Nartaji	—	—	—
Marianglas	—	77	39
Sneaky Girl	—	72	26
Carping Caitlin	—	80	—
La Sonnambula	—	35	—
Evanwood	—	76	—
Liz's Kitten	—	63	—
Epidavros	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Radiant Beauty	33d ago	Fit
Sneaky Girl	39d ago	Fit
Carping Caitlin	144d ago	Long break
Ten Dimes	151d ago	Long break
Marianglas	151d ago	Long break
Liz's Kitten	209d ago	Long break
Evanwood	233d ago	Long break
La Sonnambula	243d ago	Long break
Nartaji	—	—
Epidavros	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.