Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:30

Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap

Date 2024-04-16

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (4)	Brother Dave Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	129	—	022311	54	73	65	16d	—	—	+8	27.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Bids for a hat-trick after two wins at Southwell; high on the list in his current mood
8 (7)	Rockin Rosa Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	129	p	1985-3	54	74	58	26d	—	—	-8	9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D winner last summer and a close third on last month's Southwell return; each-way claims
11 (14)	Angel Of Antrim Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	127	p	354143	52	72	65	4d	—	—	0	11.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Running well lately, but not sure the drop in trip is ideal for him
3 (12)	Headabovetherest Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	133	t	7209-6	58	74	59	59d	—	—	-7	5.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
0-9; second over 6f here last summer; pulled hard on stable debut last time; tongue-tie on
4 (10)	Angel Amadea Grey J:David Nolan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:David Nolan T:Rebecca Menzies	133	t	-85253	58	75	55	22d	—	—	0	10.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Placed off higher marks in two of her last three starts over C&D; that makes her a player
10 (6)	Jems Bond Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Alan Brown	J:Connor Beasley T:Alan Brown	127	p	636430	52	75	60	16d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Losing run is up to 13; well behind Brother Dave last time; others preferred
13 (11)	Fircombe Hall Chestnut J:Billy Garritty T:Philip Kirby	J:Billy Garritty T:Philip Kirby	126	p	-09213	51	71	57	24d	—	—	+8	14.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Four-time course winner over 6f, but has won over 7f; may find this level a bit warm
12 (5)	Wallaroo Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	127	—	159-53	52	72	60	12d	—	—	-4	2.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Often a front-runner for whom this drop in trip could be a good move
7 (9)	Absolute Dream Chestnut J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	130	p	703812	55	74	60	22d	—	—	+10	15.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Going well lately; no problem with the return to this trip and holds each-way claims.
5 (2)	Glory Call Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	133	—	51963-	58	71	58	154d	—	—	+5	9.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Just 1lb above his last winning mark, but he may need this after five months off
2 (3)	Going To The Moon Bay J:David Allan T:David Thompson	J:David Allan T:David Thompson	134	—	40593-	59	68	24	274d	—	—	+2	6.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
0-8 and makes stable debut after nine months off; plenty to prove down in trip
NR (13)	Keep Me Stable Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	135	—	6-6800	60	73	54	18d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
3lb lower than for the latest of two C&D wins in November, but in no sort of form lately
NR (8)	Tillybob Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	131	—	48/0-5	56	72	48	25d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Ran better than it looked when fifth on stable debut/return last month; still unexposed
NR (1)	Broxi Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ivan Furtado	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ivan Furtado	126	b	040719	51	-	-	33d	—	—	—	7.3	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Brother Dave	10/3	7/2	3/1	3/1	3/1
Rockin Rosa	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Angel Of Antrim	7/1	7/1	13/2	11/2	13/2
Headabovetherest	6/1	6/1	11/2	5/1	11/2
Angel Amadea	8/1	15/2	15/2	13/2	7/1
Jems Bond	9/1	10/1	10/1	17/2	10/1
Fircombe Hall	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Wallaroo	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Absolute Dream	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Glory Call	28/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Going To The Moon	25/1	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brother Dave

27.7

OR: 1 Form: 21 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Absolute Dream

15.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 12.9 Odds: 1.7

14/1

3rd

Fircombe Hall

14.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Angel Of Antrim

11.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 8 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Angel Amadea

10.4

OR: 2 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Glory Call

9.1

OR: 2 Form: 6 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Rockin Rosa

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 5

4/1

Broxi

7.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Going To The Moon

6.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Headabovetherest

5.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Jems Bond

5.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.7 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Keep Me Stable

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Wallaroo

2.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Tillybob

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Keep Me Stable	60	73	54
Going To The Moon	59	68	24
Headabovetherest	58	74	59
Angel Amadea	58	75	55
Glory Call	58	71	58
Tillybob	56	72	48
Absolute Dream	55	74	60
Brother Dave	54	73	65
Rockin Rosa	54	74	58
Angel Of Antrim	52	72	65
Jems Bond	52	75	60
Wallaroo	52	72	60
Fircombe Hall	51	71	57
Broxi	51	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Angel Of Antrim	4d ago	Quick return
Wallaroo	12d ago	Quick return
Brother Dave	16d ago	Fit
Jems Bond	16d ago	Fit
Keep Me Stable	18d ago	Fit
Angel Amadea	22d ago	Fit
Absolute Dream	22d ago	Fit
Fircombe Hall	24d ago	Fit
Tillybob	25d ago	Fit
Rockin Rosa	26d ago	Fit
Broxi	33d ago	Fit
Headabovetherest	59d ago	Fresh
Glory Call	154d ago	Long break
Going To The Moon	274d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.