Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap (Div I)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

Date 2024-04-16

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 13.97s (slow by 3.57s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Socialise (IRE) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	20/1	Won
2nd	Cuban Storm (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	11/10F	1.5
3rd	Notion In Motion (GB) James Sullivan · John & Sean Quinn	22/1	1.75
4th	Royal City (FR) Andrew Mullen · Tristan Davidson	50/1	.75
5th	Miners Gamble (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	11/2	0.3
6th	Tees Douge (FR) Paddy Mathers · Adrian Nicholls	15/2	.5
7th	Gloves (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	14/1	4.5
8th	Exponential (GB) Andrew Breslin · Bryan Smart	17/2	0.3
9th	Miss Rainbow (IRE) William Pyle · Tracy Waggott	15/2	1.75

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (9)	Cuban Storm Grey J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	130	—	889-	60	73	-	179d	—	—	-21	13.1	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Raw in three turf runs last autumn; worth considering if the market speaks his way
2 (7)	Miners Gamble Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	134	—	848-3	64	77	41	29d	0W/0P 1 run	—	-5	10.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Nothing wrong with comeback C&D third; entitled to come on for that; holds leading claims
5 (6)	Tees Douge Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	130	h	79-364	60	76	65	24d	—	—	-4	5.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Can race keenly and has hung both ways, so wouldn't be one for maximum faith
6 (5)	Miss Rainbow Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Tracy Waggott	J:William Pyle(5) T:Tracy Waggott	127	p	632-53	57	72	54	13d	—	—	-5	4.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Consistent maiden who's being tried in first-time headgear back on Tapeta; each-way shout
3 (4)	Exponential Brown J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	131	—	6-7325	61	73	63	33d	—	—	-2	4.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Hung left more than once; going beyond 5f for the first time may help if more amenable
1 (8)	Gloves Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	136	h	43520-	66	71	65	125d	—	—	+4	10	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Expensive to follow for George Boughey; the tongue-tie comes off and the hood goes back on
7 (3)	Notion In Motion Bay J:James Sullivan T:John & Sean Quinn	J:James Sullivan T:John & Sean Quinn	127	—	666	57	71	29	63d	—	—	-1	3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Half-brother to three-time C&D winner One More Dream; would want to see market interest
8 (2)	Socialise Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	124	—	54447-	54	72	48	179d	—	—	-1	1.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Had plenty of racing last year and regressed; some way down the pecking order on comeback
9 (1)	Royal City Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Tristan Davidson	J:Andrew Mullen T:Tristan Davidson	120	—	050-	50	71	41	129d	—	—	-1	0.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Blew the start in three runs here last backend (6f-7f), is hard to make a case for

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cuban Storm	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Miners Gamble	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Tees Douge	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Miss Rainbow	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Exponential	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Gloves	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Notion In Motion	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Socialise	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Royal City	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cuban Storm

13.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

11/8

2nd

Miners Gamble

10.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Gloves

OR: 4 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Tees Douge

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Exponential

4.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Miss Rainbow

4.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Notion In Motion

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Socialise

1.8

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Royal City

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gloves	66	71	65
Miners Gamble	64	77	41
Exponential	61	73	63
Cuban Storm	60	73	—
Tees Douge	60	76	65
Miss Rainbow	57	72	54
Notion In Motion	57	71	29
Socialise	54	72	48
Royal City	50	71	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miss Rainbow	13d ago	Quick return
Tees Douge	24d ago	Fit
Miners Gamble	29d ago	Fit
Exponential	33d ago	Fit
Notion In Motion	63d ago	Fresh
Gloves	125d ago	Long break
Royal City	129d ago	Long break
Cuban Storm	179d ago	Long break
Socialise	179d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.