Newmarket

15:00 ✓ Result

bet365 Earl Of Sefton Stakes (Group 3)

Date 2024-04-17
Distance 1m1f
Class Class 1
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £48,204
Winning Time 1m 47.51s (fast by 1.39s)

Result

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
4 (9)
Embesto
Chestnut
J:James Doyle
T:Roger Varian
J:James Doyle
T:Roger Varian
128 11214-
110
123
108
200d +9
38.9
0.41/1
13/8
38%
Quickly reached a smart level in 2023 and he's clearly a candidate for improvement as 4yo
7 (8)
Ottoman Fleet
Bay
J:William Buick
T:Charlie Appleby
J:William Buick
T:Charlie Appleby
128 133-28
112
130
101
54d -1
22.8
0.56/1
9/4
31%
6-4 favourite when winning this race last year; not quite so persuasive in 2024 build-up
1 (2)
Astro King
Bay
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
128 2116-8
111
128
112
53d +9
17.5
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Won the Cambridgeshire over C&D (good to firm) in September; worth his place at this level
10 (7)
The Foxes
Bay
J:David Probert
T:Andrew Balding
J:David Probert
T:Andrew Balding
128 524-30
112
126
115
53d +10
17.6
2.25/1
9/1
10%
Didn't improve after Dante win but Saudi Arabia in February saw his only major negative
5 (4)
Hi Royal
Bay
J:Neil Callan
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Neil Callan
T:Kevin Ryan
128 23990-
114
127
104
179d +14
19.5
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Had wind surgery in January; major player if he can recover his Guineas-placed form
8 (10)
Regal Reality
Bay
J:Ryan Moore
T:Sir Michael Stoute
J:Ryan Moore
T:Sir Michael Stoute
128 13324-
112
127
112
151d +20
24.8
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Big shout if returning on song but previous campaigns suggest he will be better for race
6 (3)
Novus
Bay
J:Tom Queally
T:Gary Moore
J:Tom Queally
T:Gary Moore
128 22141-
107
120
85
187d +29
32.6
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Needs to improve again and has much more to prove away from ground softer than good
3 (5)
Claymore
Bay
J:Pat Cosgrave
T:Jane Chapple-Hyam
J:Pat Cosgrave
T:Jane Chapple-Hyam
128 52-647
103
121
65
19d +11
14
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Mixed record since the career highlight of a win at Royal Ascot in 2022
2 (6)
Blanchland
Bay
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Jane Chapple-Hyam
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Jane Chapple-Hyam
128 b 1443-0
104
120
26
19d +12
14
10.00/1
40/1
2%
Back to form on AW last October-December; last month's run was not so good; blinkers now
NR (1)
Royal Rhyme
Bay
J:TBC
T:K R Burke
J:
T:K R Burke
128 t 10115-
113
130
113
179d
29.8
Record on good to soft/soft is the most persuasive; good form chance if okay on this going
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Embesto
13/8 13/8 13/8 13/8 13/8
Ottoman Fleet
9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4
Astro King
17/2 17/2 17/2 17/2 17/2
The Foxes
9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1
Hi Royal
12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
Regal Reality
14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Novus
22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1
Claymore
28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1
Blanchland
40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Embesto
38.9
OR: 15 Form: 14.5 Odds: 9.4
13/8
2nd Novus
32.6
OR: 14.3 Form: 17.5 Odds: 0.9
22/1
3rd Royal Rhyme
29.8
OR: 15.8 Form: 14 Odds: 0
4 Regal Reality
24.8
OR: 15.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.4
14/1
5 Ottoman Fleet
22.8
OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3
9/4
6 Hi Royal
19.5
OR: 16 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.6
12/1
7 The Foxes
17.6
OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
9/1
8 Astro King
17.5
OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2
17/2
9 Claymore
14
OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
28/1
10 Blanchland
14
OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
40/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Hi Royal
114
127
104
Royal Rhyme
113
130
113
Ottoman Fleet
112
130
101
The Foxes
112
126
115
Regal Reality
112
127
112
Astro King
111
128
112
Embesto
110
123
108
Novus
107
120
85
Blanchland
104
120
26
Claymore
103
121
65

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Claymore 19d ago Fit
Blanchland 19d ago Fit
Astro King 53d ago Fresh
The Foxes 53d ago Fresh
Ottoman Fleet 54d ago Fresh
Regal Reality 151d ago Long break
Hi Royal 179d ago Long break
Royal Rhyme 179d ago Long break
Novus 187d ago Long break
Embesto 200d ago Long break