Lodge At Ashford Castle (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle – Ballinrobe

Ballinrobe

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Lodge At Ashford Castle (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-04-19

Distance 2m6f91y

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,785

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Onlyamatteroftime b J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	172	—	13OO60	109	112	82	69d	—	—	-15	30.7	11/10 48%
Good run behind Luccia at Ascot 2 starts ago and big player from reduced mark up in trip
13	The Lucky Lobster b J:Mr T Walsh(7) T:Declan Queally	J:Mr T Walsh(7) T:Declan Queally	153	ht	P68890	90	96	78	40d	—	—	-4	15.7	7/2 22%
0-8; hard to fancy on anything he's shown so far; needs to improve for further now
8	Oneforgonzo b J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:Sean Aherne	J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:Sean Aherne	162	—	888F1	99	109	84	15d	—	—	+14	23.9	17/2 11%
Still going okay when coming down on h'cap debut and bolted up since; 12lb rise fine
2	King Of Cong b J:Mr D Allen(7) T:Terence O'Brien	J:Mr D Allen(7) T:Terence O'Brien	172	—	36971	109	102	-	8d	—	—	+20	27.5	11/1 8%
Left form behind with winning h'cap bow last week; up 16lb but maybe more to come at 2m6f
1	Cave Court b J:Mr O McGill(7) T:Noel C Kelly	J:Mr O McGill(7) T:Noel C Kelly	172	—	1112B0	109	106	98	18d	—	—	+16	24.6	14/1 7%
Won 4 on spin in 2023; 2nd from higher chase mark in November; poor latest but respected
5	Shotgun Jack b J:Ms E C Costello(7) T:Patrick G Kelly	J:Ms E C Costello(7) T:Patrick G Kelly	172	t	0511P6	109	105	71	29d	—	—	+19	22.8	25/1 4%
Won back-to-back h'cap hurdles at the start of the winter but his mark has suffered
10	Sea Road Fill b J:Mr E P O'Brien(5) T:Darren Collins	J:Mr E P O'Brien(5) T:Darren Collins	161	—	230554	98	111	69	19d	—	—	+10	13.6	33/1 3%
0-10 but good run over fences last time and interesting back over timber
9	Nephin Beg b J:Mr J L Scallan(7) T:Sean Thomas Doyle	J:Mr J L Scallan(7) T:Sean Thomas Doyle	161	p	563F4P	98	104	25	64d	—	—	+9	13.1	25/1 4%
Won h'cap bow in 2022 but generally struggled since; pulled up back over timber latest
3	Noble Talent b J:Mr J C Barry(3) T:T J Nagle Jr	J:Mr J C Barry(3) T:T J Nagle Jr	172	—	3P01U0	109	109	62	29d	—	—	+16	19.2	33/1 3%
Disappointing last twice but bolted up on h'cap debut previously; back up in trip
11	My Friend The Wind b J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:E McNamara	J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:E McNamara	160	—	0-134P	97	110	47	150d	—	—	+9	12.7	33/1 3%
Won on return (C&D) and 2 good runs in defeat before poor run latest; best form on quicker
7	See A Stride b J:Mr F D Brickley(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Mr F D Brickley(7) T:Gordon Elliott	167	t	/9-037	104	104	-	46d	—	—	+12	14.2	40/1 2%
Missed 2023 but improved from h'cap bow when placed 2 starts ago; lesser effort latest
14	Not May b J:Mr Finn Tegetmeier(7) T:Hugh Paul Finegan	J:Mr Finn Tegetmeier(7) T:Hugh Paul Finegan	148	t	-50246	85	110	55	29d	—	—	+9	12.2	40/1 2%
Promising in January but disappointed twice since, including back over timber latest
12	Trackman Tommy b J:Miss L Costello(7) T:Patrick G Kelly	J:Miss L Costello(7) T:Patrick G Kelly	159	—	-0097U	96	95	16	29d	—	—	+10	12.2	40/1 2%
Unplaced in 10 runs; made error when unseating latest; must leave this term's form behind
NR	Mister Twist b J:TBC T:Philip Fenton	J: T:Philip Fenton	170	—	-43106	107	111	84	203d	—	—	—	20.2	—
Won Downpatrick maiden hurdle in 2023; struggled since; off 203 days; best form on quicker

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Onlyamatteroftime	evn	11/10	10/11	10/11	5/6
The Lucky Lobster	3/1	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1
Oneforgonzo	8/1	17/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
King Of Cong	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Cave Court	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	8/1
Shotgun Jack	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Sea Road Fill	33/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	22/1
Nephin Beg	20/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
Noble Talent	33/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
My Friend The Wind	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	20/1
See A Stride	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Not May	33/1	33/1	40/1	28/1	20/1
Trackman Tommy	40/1	28/1	40/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Onlyamatteroftime

30.7

OR: 14.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 15.4

11/10

2nd

King Of Cong

27.5

OR: 14.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

Cave Court

24.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.4

14/1

Oneforgonzo

23.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 9 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Shotgun Jack

22.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Mister Twist

20.2

OR: 14.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0

—

Noble Talent

19.2

OR: 14.8 Form: 3.7 Odds: 0.8

33/1

The Lucky Lobster

15.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

See A Stride

14.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Sea Road Fill

13.6

OR: 12 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1

33/1

Nephin Beg

13.1

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

My Friend The Wind

12.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Not May

12.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

40/1

Trackman Tommy

12.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Onlyamatteroftime Top Rated	109	112	82
King Of Cong	109	102	—
Cave Court	109	106	98
Shotgun Jack	109	105	71
Noble Talent	109	109	62
Mister Twist	107	111	84
See A Stride	104	104	—
Oneforgonzo	99	109	84
Sea Road Fill	98	111	69
Nephin Beg	98	104	25
My Friend The Wind	97	110	47
Trackman Tommy	96	95	16
The Lucky Lobster	90	96	78
Not May	85	110	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King Of Cong	8d ago	Quick return
Oneforgonzo	15d ago	Fit
Cave Court	18d ago	Fit
Sea Road Fill	19d ago	Fit
Shotgun Jack	29d ago	Fit
Noble Talent	29d ago	Fit
Not May	29d ago	Fit
Trackman Tommy	29d ago	Fit
The Lucky Lobster	40d ago	Fit
See A Stride	46d ago	Fresh
Nephin Beg	64d ago	Fresh
Onlyamatteroftime	69d ago	Fresh
My Friend The Wind	150d ago	Long break
Mister Twist	203d ago	Long break