Betfred "Nifty 50" Handicap – Epsom

Epsom

17:05

Betfred "Nifty 50" Handicap

Date 2024-04-23

Distance 1m113y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £6,281

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (10)	Mr Baloo b J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	136	—	9113-1	81	91	79	13d	—	—	+1	25	3/1 25%
Three 7f wins from his last four starts and he's a half-brother to a 1m2f winner
9 (11)	Portsmouth b J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	129	—	454-	74	89	-	132d	—	—	-5	10.4	5/1 17%
Handicap newcomer whose attractive pedigree indicates he has potential
6 (7)	Show Biz Kid b J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	131	—	436-	76	87	66	182d	—	—	+2	11.1	8/1 11%
Three runs last year and Salisbury third suggests he has potential off his opening mark
7 (1)	Gone Rogue b J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	2110-5	76	87	70	18d	—	—	-2	9.8	13/2 13%
Below par the last twice but may improve for recent reappearance; two wins last year
3 (9)	Invincible Aura b J:Harry Davies T:Marco Botti	J:Harry Davies T:Marco Botti	135	—	203-14	80	86	56	22d	—	—	+1	10	9/1 10%
His run was slightly checked when fourth back in handicap last time; might not be far away
11 (4)	Great Chieftain b J:Clifford Lee T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Clifford Lee T:Paul & Oliver Cole	126	b	5-36	71	85	33	20d	—	—	-1	7.6	9/1 10%
Improvement needed on h'cap debut but useful pedigree & first-time blinkers may be a plus
5 (2)	I Love Paris b J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	133	—	3535-	78	84	58	155d	—	—	+5	12.1	10/1 9%
Promise in turf novices last season and reappears with yard in fine form; chance
10 (6)	Dashinwhitesargent gr/ro J:Hector Crouch T:Hughie Morrison	J:Hector Crouch T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	652-	73	82	-	140d	—	—	+7	12.4	16/1 6%
Improved with each of his first 3 runs and could continue to progress; on the shortlist
2 (3)	Galloping On b J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	135	p	422-26	80	86	-	16d	—	—	+3	9.1	18/1 5%
Tailed off on recent turf debut, but on heavy ground; progressive on AW previously
4 (8)	Commander Crouch b J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	133	—	1427-6	78	85	70	27d	—	—	+4	8.1	20/1 5%
May have needed last month's stable debut and has hinted he'll stay further than 7f
8 (5)	Whathappensinvegas b J:Jim Crowley T:Ian Williams	J:Jim Crowley T:Ian Williams	129	—	84-585	74	88	35	52d	—	—	+4	6.7	50/1 2%
Has shown ability in Dubai but he's 0-8 and others are more compelling

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mr Baloo	9/4	5/2	3/1	9/4	9/4
Portsmouth	9/2	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2
Show Biz Kid	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Gone Rogue	6/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Invincible Aura	9/1	9/1	15/2	17/2	8/1
Great Chieftain	9/1	9/1	8/1	17/2	8/1
I Love Paris	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Dashinwhitesargent	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Galloping On	16/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Commander Crouch	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Whathappensinvegas	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mr Baloo

OR: 7.8 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

3/1

2nd

Dashinwhitesargent

12.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

I Love Paris

12.1

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Show Biz Kid

11.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Portsmouth

10.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Invincible Aura

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Gone Rogue

9.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Galloping On

9.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Commander Crouch

8.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Great Chieftain

7.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Whathappensinvegas

6.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mr Baloo Top Rated	81	91	79
Invincible Aura	80	86	56
Galloping On	80	86	—
I Love Paris	78	84	58
Commander Crouch	78	85	70
Show Biz Kid	76	87	66
Gone Rogue	76	87	70
Portsmouth	74	89	—
Whathappensinvegas	74	88	35
Dashinwhitesargent	73	82	—
Great Chieftain	71	85	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mr Baloo	13d ago	Quick return
Galloping On	16d ago	Fit
Gone Rogue	18d ago	Fit
Great Chieftain	20d ago	Fit
Invincible Aura	22d ago	Fit
Commander Crouch	27d ago	Fit
Whathappensinvegas	52d ago	Fresh
Portsmouth	132d ago	Long break
Dashinwhitesargent	140d ago	Long break
I Love Paris	155d ago	Long break
Show Biz Kid	182d ago	Long break