AK Bets Sports Betting & Casino Handicap Hurdle

Perth

17:20

Date 2024-04-25

Distance 2m47y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	Don't Look Back Grey J:Danny McMenamin T:William Young Jnr	J:Danny McMenamin T:William Young Jnr	150	—	-96543	78	101	86	26d	—	—	-1	14.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
1m2f Flat winner in 2023; two decent efforts in h'cap hurdles last month; one to consider
1	Serious Ego Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Nicky Richards	J:Brian Hughes T:Nicky Richards	168	—	168338	96	101	92	20d	—	—	+5	19.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two wins at Hexham in November; some fair runs since, but below-par latest; a possible
11	Lifetime Adventure Bay J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Andrew Hamilton	J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Andrew Hamilton	148	b	P26U40	76	100	65	48d	—	—	-2	10.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-10 over hurdles; behind a few of these at Ayr last month; blinkers now tried
4	Just Dottie b/br J:Ben Smith(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Ben Smith(7) T:R Mike Smith	166	h	-15387	94	100	94	227d	—	—	+6	17.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner in 2023; below par last 2 starts; back after a break on going softer than ideal
7	Northern Cardinal b/br J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	157	—	-97859	85	98	69	48d	—	—	+1	11.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Third in a bumper last April; modest efforts over hurdles, including on h'cap debut
2	Kellie's Dream Bay J:Callum Bewley T:Daragh Bourke	J:Callum Bewley T:Daragh Bourke	168	—	956447	96	94	83	48d	—	—	+5	14.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Ex-Irish; won over 2m2f last July; below-par for current yard; bit to prove now
3	Agilulf Chestnut J:Derek Fox T:Adam Nicol	J:Derek Fox T:Adam Nicol	166	—	44-U63	94	96	63	20d	—	—	+5	13.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
0-8 over jumps; fair third over 2m4f at Musselburgh last time; chance on that form
6	Broadford Publican Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Ross Chapman T:Stuart Coltherd	159	—	-5877P	87	93	86	57d	—	—	+5	10.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ex-Irish; best form at 2m on soft back in 2022; below form for this yard; on a good mark
12	Iolani Bay J:William Maggs(7) T:Miss A M Slack	J:William Maggs(7) T:Miss A M Slack	147	p	735P00	75	100	83	48d	—	—	+2	7.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Veteran; has won six times over hurdles but below-par last few runs; a bit to prove
8	Fourth Of July Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:R Mike Smith	J:Gavin Sheehan T:R Mike Smith	155	t	5732-0	83	95	-	345d	—	—	+4	9.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Winning chaser but 0-14 over hurdles; conditions fine but may need the run after a break
9	Barley Breeze Grey J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	152	—	PP4P-P	80	-	69	161d	—	—	+3	9.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Ex-Phil Kirby; not consistent but has a good chance on his best novice run last year
13	Coeur Aimant Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Lizzie Quinlan	J:Sean Quinlan T:Lizzie Quinlan	144	tp	244P5P	72	99	89	83d	—	—	+3	6.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Second on return from a break last July, but hasn't run as well since, mainly over fences
5	Road To Rosley Bay J:Mr John Dixon(7) T:John Dixon	J:Mr John Dixon(7) T:John Dixon	160	t	665-5P	88	64	16	42d	—	—	+7	10.4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Unexposed 7yo; handicap debut; bit to prove having run moderately on both starts in 2024.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Don't Look Back	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Serious Ego	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Lifetime Adventure	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2
Just Dottie	6/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Northern Cardinal	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Kellie's Dream	8/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Agilulf	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Broadford Publican	12/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	12/1
Iolani	22/1	18/1	20/1	16/1	20/1
Fourth Of July	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Barley Breeze	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Coeur Aimant	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Road To Rosley	33/1	33/1	40/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Serious Ego

19.1

OR: 11.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Just Dottie

17.8

OR: 11 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Don't Look Back

14.4

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Kellie's Dream

14.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Agilulf

13.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Northern Cardinal

11.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Broadford Publican

10.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Road To Rosley

10.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Lifetime Adventure

10.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0.3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Fourth Of July

9.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Barley Breeze

9.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Iolani

7.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Coeur Aimant

6.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Serious Ego	96	101	92
Kellie's Dream	96	94	83
Just Dottie	94	100	94
Agilulf	94	96	63
Road To Rosley	88	64	16
Broadford Publican	87	93	86
Northern Cardinal	85	98	69
Fourth Of July	83	95	—
Barley Breeze	80	—	69
Don't Look Back	78	101	86
Lifetime Adventure	76	100	65
Iolani	75	100	83
Coeur Aimant	72	99	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Serious Ego	20d ago	Fit
Agilulf	20d ago	Fit
Don't Look Back	26d ago	Fit
Road To Rosley	42d ago	Fit
Lifetime Adventure	48d ago	Fresh
Northern Cardinal	48d ago	Fresh
Kellie's Dream	48d ago	Fresh
Iolani	48d ago	Fresh
Broadford Publican	57d ago	Fresh
Coeur Aimant	83d ago	Fresh
Barley Breeze	161d ago	Long break
Just Dottie	227d ago	Long break
Fourth Of July	345d ago	Long break