GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap – Cork

Cork

15:25

GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap

Date 2024-04-26

Distance 1m4f25y

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €8,850

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Natural Ruler Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	138	—	97-26	69	86	56	35d	—	—	-11	11.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Flopped at Dundalk last time; steps up in trip here and capable of much better if he stays
6 (1)	La Juliana Bay J:Colin Keane T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Colin Keane T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	130	—	8902-	61	72	50	193d	—	—	-2	11.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Gowran runner-up is another one likely to stay well and looks likely to keep improving
10 (8)	Solar Drive Grey J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Paul W Flynn	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Paul W Flynn	119	—	000	50	72	-	35d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Well beaten in three Dundalk maidens; 3lb out of the handicap and doesn't make much appeal
4 (7)	Killeaney Bear Bay J:W J Lee T:Andrew Slattery	J:W J Lee T:Andrew Slattery	131	—	008-	62	66	48	197d	—	—	-4	5.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Gelded since his last run and looks potentially interesting here on his handicap bow
8 (4)	Small Fry Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Kieran Purcell	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Kieran Purcell	128	—	930-	59	81	48	196d	—	—	-3	7.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ran okay in a Roscommon conditions race and might not be badly handicapped on that run
7 (5)	Dont Do Dramas Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	129	—	817-56	60	71	70	33d	—	—	-3	4.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Gowran winner soundly beaten off a higher mark three times since; taking on a new trip
5 (6)	Expecto Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:J S Bolger	J:Declan McDonogh T:J S Bolger	130	p	84319-	61	69	47	178d	—	—	+7	12.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Gowran winner likely to stay well and no surprise if she was good enough to go close here
9 (2)	Gregorina Grey J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	127	v	-38882	58	74	14	14d	—	—	+4	9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Dundalk runner-up more certain than most to get this trip and should not be far away
1 (10)	Jurality Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:D J Bunyan	J:Chris Hayes T:D J Bunyan	138	b	7-86	69	65	19	86d	—	—	+3	5.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Blinkers tried and hard to dismiss his chance in a weak contest
NR (9)	Zenato Chestnut J:TBC T:Henry De Bromhead	J: T:Henry De Bromhead	136	—	079-80	67	76	-	14d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Minimal promise from three maidens and two handicaps at Dundalk over the winter

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Natural Ruler	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
La Juliana	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Solar Drive	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Killeaney Bear	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Small Fry	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Dont Do Dramas	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Expecto	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Gregorina	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Jurality	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Expecto

12.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

2nd

La Juliana

11.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Natural Ruler

11.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Gregorina

OR: 2 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Small Fry

7.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Killeaney Bear

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Jurality

5.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Dont Do Dramas

4.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Zenato

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Solar Drive

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Natural Ruler	69	86	56
Jurality	69	65	19
Zenato	67	76	—
Killeaney Bear	62	66	48
La Juliana	61	72	50
Expecto	61	69	47
Dont Do Dramas	60	71	70
Small Fry	59	81	48
Gregorina	58	74	14
Solar Drive	50	72	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gregorina	14d ago	Fit
Zenato	14d ago	Fit
Dont Do Dramas	33d ago	Fit
Natural Ruler	35d ago	Fit
Solar Drive	35d ago	Fit
Jurality	86d ago	Fresh
Expecto	178d ago	Long break
La Juliana	193d ago	Long break
Small Fry	196d ago	Long break
Killeaney Bear	197d ago	Long break