Braceys Handicap Hurdle – Chepstow

Chepstow

20:15

Braceys Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-04-26

Distance 2m7f131y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,066

Runners (16)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
14	Pipers Cross Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	147	p	222131	99	124	104	13d	—	—	+17	38	11/4 27%
Has form figures of 222131 for current yard and she's open to more progress; respected
5	Florencethemachine Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	159	—	-23173	111	119	111	25d	—	—	+15	29.2	9/2 18%
Unexposed 6yo who could find more progress on this switch to a staying trip; shortlisted
11	Saunton Surf Bay J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	154	—	1-1255	106	116	77	85d	—	—	+14	23.7	7/1 13%
Unexposed over hurdles and looks a possible improver upped in trip on her handicap debut
1	Up For Parol Bay J:Will Featherstone(10) T:Jamie Snowden	J:Will Featherstone(10) T:Jamie Snowden	169	—	-42032	121	126	110	25d	—	—	+21	28.6	17/2 11%
Close second at Fakenham latest; now goes up to 2m7f but has claims if stamina holds out
9	Sporting Mike Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	156	tp	2-6064	108	122	103	35d	—	—	+12	20.4	8/1 11%
No impact back over hurdles last twice and sole win was in 2022; cheekpieces added
13	Danton Bay J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Harry Fry	J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Harry Fry	151	t	3-21PP	103	125	104	93d	—	—	+11	17.1	11/1 8%
Won at Exeter in November but he's been pulled up in both runs since; needs major revival
8	Jersey Lady Chestnut J:Miss Victoria Malzard(5) T:Harry Derham	J:Miss Victoria Malzard(5) T:Harry Derham	157	t	-11457	109	119	106	121d	—	—	+16	21.4	12/1 8%
Five hurdle wins but she's been held in last three runs and looks weighted near best
12	Hurricane Danny Chestnut J:Angus Cheleda(5) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Angus Cheleda(5) T:Paul Nicholls	154	—	5-5248	106	116	90	77d	—	—	+11	15.2	16/1 6%
Tailed off on handicap debut at Kempton and has something to prove after another break
16	John W Creasy Chestnut J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	142	p	-50477	94	122	99	86d	—	—	+8	12.1	18/1 5%
Well held in his four handicaps and he needs a transformation after wind surgery
6	Halifax Bay J:Conor Ring T:Grace Harris	J:Conor Ring T:Grace Harris	158	tp	142554	110	122	117	37d	—	—	+14	17.3	25/1 4%
Three hurdle wins last year but well held in last three runs; needs a major upturn in form
2	Midnightreflection Bay J:Mr Charlie Case(7) T:Ben Case	J:Mr Charlie Case(7) T:Ben Case	169	p	U21685	121	124	115	57d	—	—	+20	22.5	25/1 4%
Now 1lb lower than for last win and she could revive back in quicker conditions; dangerous
4	Galloping Pride Bay J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Emma Lavelle	J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Emma Lavelle	159	—	2/63P	111	125	78	86d	—	—	+17	19.5	28/1 3%
Unexposed handicap newcomer and he needs watching in market back up in trip
3	Gaelic Park Brown J:Gavin Sheehan T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Charlie Longsdon	160	—	P1-5P8	112	125	-	25d	—	—	+14	16.1	33/1 3%
Has struggled in three chase runs this term and needs a major revival back over hurdles
15	San Fermin Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Joe Ponting	J:Charlie Hammond T:Joe Ponting	145	t	44-41P	97	125	62	46d	—	—	+11	12	80/1 1%
Pulled up at a big price on his handicap/stable debut at Taunton last month; opposable
NR	A Definite Getaway Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Peter Bowen	J:NON-RUNNER T:Peter Bowen	157	p	22-22P	109	120	-	35d	—	—	—	14.8	—
Nine-race maiden who was pulled up on handicap/stable debut last month; something to prove
NR	Sister Michael Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	156	t	22-283	108	128	98	37d	—	—	—	14.5	—
Close third when upped to 2m7f at Market Rasen and he's only 1lb higher here; respected

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Pipers Cross	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Florencethemachine	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Saunton Surf	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Up For Parol	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Sporting Mike	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Danton	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Jersey Lady	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Hurricane Danny	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
John W Creasy	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Halifax	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Midnightreflection	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Galloping Pride	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Gaelic Park	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
San Fermin	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pipers Cross

OR: 12.3 Form: 19.6 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Florencethemachine

29.2

OR: 15.3 Form: 9.9 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Up For Parol

28.6

OR: 17.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Saunton Surf

23.7

OR: 14 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Midnightreflection

22.5

OR: 17.8 Form: 4 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Jersey Lady

21.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Sporting Mike

20.4

OR: 14.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Galloping Pride

19.5

OR: 15.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Halifax

17.3

OR: 15 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Danton

17.1

OR: 13.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Gaelic Park

16.1

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Hurricane Danny

15.2

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

A Definite Getaway

14.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sister Michael

14.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

John W Creasy

12.1

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

San Fermin

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Up For Parol	121	126	110
Midnightreflection	121	124	115
Gaelic Park	112	125	—
Florencethemachine	111	119	111
Galloping Pride	111	125	78
Halifax	110	122	117
Jersey Lady	109	119	106
A Definite Getaway	109	120	—
Sporting Mike	108	122	103
Sister Michael	108	128	98
Saunton Surf	106	116	77
Hurricane Danny	106	116	90
Danton	103	125	104
Pipers Cross	99	124	104
San Fermin	97	125	62
John W Creasy	94	122	99

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pipers Cross	13d ago	Quick return
Florencethemachine	25d ago	Fit
Up For Parol	25d ago	Fit
Gaelic Park	25d ago	Fit
Sporting Mike	35d ago	Fit
A Definite Getaway	35d ago	Fit
Halifax	37d ago	Fit
Sister Michael	37d ago	Fit
San Fermin	46d ago	Fresh
Midnightreflection	57d ago	Fresh
Hurricane Danny	77d ago	Fresh
Saunton Surf	85d ago	Fresh
John W Creasy	86d ago	Fresh
Galloping Pride	86d ago	Fresh
Danton	93d ago	Long break
Jersey Lady	121d ago	Long break