Sha Tin

20:25

FWD Insurance NCB Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Date 2024-04-28
Distance 7f
Class
Going Good To Yielding
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £104,789

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R15 (15)
Lovero
Bay
J:TBC
T:A S Cruz
J:
T:A S Cruz
125 t -21220
69
91
-
18d
14.8
1m Happy Valley winner; first exposure of the turf here and probably best watched
R16 (16)
Snaffles
Bay
J:TBC
T:David A Hayes
J:
T:David A Hayes
128 53227-
72
94
-
175d
12.4
0-12 in Hong Kong but has been unlucky not to strike on a number of starts this season
1 (10)
Beauty Crescent
Bay
J:Hugh Bowman
T:A S Cruz
J:Hugh Bowman
T:A S Cruz
135 t 2-2550
79
102
-
35d
10.8
Eased in class and placed three times over C&D this term; wouldn't be winning out of turn
2 (11)
Rocket Spade
Bay
J:Blake Shinn
T:C Fownes
J:Blake Shinn
T:C Fownes
130 t 722-99
74
100
-
53d
6
18-race local maiden; workable mark but others have more pressing claims
3 (14)
Top Gun
Bay
J:Karis Teetan
T:F C Lor
J:Karis Teetan
T:F C Lor
129 1112-
73
118
-
211d
25.8
Useful form when trained in Australia; note for market support on local debut
4 (13)
Turin Starspangled
Chestnut
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:P C Ng
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:P C Ng
128 1682-0
72
99
-
28d
5.5
Never sighted on last month's local debut and may need more time to acclimatise
5 (9)
Hyper Dragon Ball
Chestnut
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:T P Yung
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:T P Yung
126 t 07306-
70
92
-
189d
6.5
C&D winner; returns to action after a spell on the sidelines and others preferred
6 (7)
Harmony Galaxy
Chestnut
J:James McDonald
T:C S Shum
J:James McDonald
T:C S Shum
124 t 33533-
68
-
-
267d
11.1
Showed plenty of promise in trials and should not be long in opening local account
7 (6)
Northern Beaches
Bay
J:Damian Lane
T:W Y So
J:Damian Lane
T:W Y So
124 p -70344
68
93
-
14d
6
Consistent sort over shorter trips; likely to run his race but vulnerable close home
8 (3)
Beauty Fit
Bay
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:J Size
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:J Size
123 e/s 866031
67
99
-
14d
16.4
Scored narrowly over C&D 14 days ago; up 5lb but still well treated on best form
9 (8)
Oriental Smoke
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:David A Hayes
J:Luke Morris
T:David A Hayes
120 tb 561093
64
107
-
14d
9.5
Struggled at this higher level since scoring over 6f here last month
10 (2)
Second To None
Bay
J:L Hewitson
T:K W Lui
J:L Hewitson
T:K W Lui
120 4-1341
64
91
-
35d
3.5
Two wins from five local starts including over C&D; up in class but more to offer
11 (12)
Ka Ying Victory
Bay
J:Zac Purton
T:D J Hall
J:Zac Purton
T:D J Hall
119 118-83
63
96
-
21d
3.3
Much more like it three weeks ago; looks sure to have a say reunited with Zac Purton
12 (1)
Principled
Bay
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Jamie Richards
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Jamie Richards
119 t 1-
63
91
-
256d
13.3
Makes Hong Kong debut after a long absence but does have the plum inside draw
13 (4)
Sunlight Power
Chestnut
J:Harry Bentley
T:P F Yiu
J:Harry Bentley
T:P F Yiu
119 hp 05-211
63
90
-
43d
3.3
Bids for a hat-trick after two C&D wins; up in class but could have more in the locker
14 (5)
Lost Child
Bay
J:Ben E Thompson
T:C W Chang
J:Ben E Thompson
T:C W Chang
116 0-3790
60
95
-
49d
2.5
Class 4 C&D win in November but safely held at this level since

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Top Gun
25.8
OR: 5.8 Form: 20 Odds: 0
2nd Beauty Fit
16.4
OR: 4.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 0
3rd Lovero
14.8
OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0
4 Principled
13.3
OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0
5 Snaffles
12.4
OR: 5.5 Form: 6.9 Odds: 0
6 Harmony Galaxy
11.1
OR: 4.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 0
7 Beauty Crescent
10.8
OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0
8 Oriental Smoke
9.5
OR: 3.5 Form: 6 Odds: 0
9 Hyper Dragon Ball
6.5
OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
10 Rocket Spade
6
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Northern Beaches
6
OR: 4.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
12 Turin Starspangled
5.5
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Second To None
3.5
OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Ka Ying Victory
3.3
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
15 Sunlight Power
3.3
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
16 Lost Child
2.5
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Beauty Crescent
79
102
Rocket Spade
74
100
Top Gun
73
118
Snaffles
72
94
Turin Starspangled
72
99
Hyper Dragon Ball
70
92
Lovero
69
91
Harmony Galaxy
68
Northern Beaches
68
93
Beauty Fit
67
99
Oriental Smoke
64
107
Second To None
64
91
Ka Ying Victory
63
96
Principled
63
91
Sunlight Power
63
90
Lost Child
60
95

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Northern Beaches 14d ago Fit
Beauty Fit 14d ago Fit
Oriental Smoke 14d ago Fit
Lovero 18d ago Fit
Ka Ying Victory 21d ago Fit
Turin Starspangled 28d ago Fit
Beauty Crescent 35d ago Fit
Second To None 35d ago Fit
Sunlight Power 43d ago Fit
Lost Child 49d ago Fresh
Rocket Spade 53d ago Fresh
Snaffles 175d ago Long break
Hyper Dragon Ball 189d ago Long break
Top Gun 211d ago Long break
Principled 256d ago Long break
Harmony Galaxy 267d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Sha Tin over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Based on 14 draws with historical results at this course and distance.