Read Harry Cobden's Blog At Planet Sport Bet Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:50

Read Harry Cobden's Blog At Planet Sport Bet Handicap

Date 2024-04-28

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £14,850

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (7)	Al Barez Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Tom Clover	J:Oisin Murphy T:Tom Clover	128	—	46-361	88	110	100	27d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-6	16.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Lightly raced, but the ability remains as he showed when winning at Kempton last time
3 (3)	Billyjoh Grey J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	130	—	411247	90	109	90	9d	—	—	+4	23.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Has been successful in his last two appearances over C&D; not disgraced on turf last time
7 (9)	Ingra Tor Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Jack Channon	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Jack Channon	128	—	3/420-	88	107	-	240d	—	—	+4	14.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner but returns from another eight-month absence; comes with risks attached
11 (2)	Shalaa Asker Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Adrian Paul Keatley	118	p	736-45	78	107	98	12d	—	—	0	9.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
2-5 over C&D and is 1lb below his last winning mark; no surprise if he again runs well
9 (4)	Billboa Bay J:J F Egan T:W P Browne	J:J F Egan T:W P Browne	123	—	021-11	83	104	81	44d	—	—	+2	10.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Up another 5lb in his bid for the four-timer, but he is half-brother to a Tapeta winner
2 (6)	Intervention Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	132	p	644822	92	108	93	22d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+14	20.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Holds his form remarkably well given his busy schedule; has won twice here; should go well
1 (10)	Tiger Crusade Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	135	—	1273-0	95	108	79	72d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+7	12.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Off last winning AW mark, but a suspicion that he needs an extra furlong on the AW now
4 (1)	Rhythm N Hooves Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	130	—	1748-7	90	111	79	21d	—	—	+7	11.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Three wins over 5f last year; has something to prove on his first attempt at 6f
8 (5)	Rock Of England Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Paul Midgley	J:Jason Hart T:Paul Midgley	127	—	22619-	87	108	-	218d	—	—	+17	19.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Makes debut for his new yard after seven months off; market may indicate what is expected
5 (11)	Paws For Thought Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Donald McCain	J:Richard Kingscote T:Donald McCain	129	—	15807-	89	109	-	205d	—	—	+10	12.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Half-brother to two AW winners, but stiff task from outside stall after seven months off
10 (8)	Strong Power Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Brian Ellison	J:Cam Hardie T:Brian Ellison	122	—	98-968	82	104	77	22d	—	—	+7	8.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Losing run up to 19 and nothing lately to suggest that is about to change

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Al Barez	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Billyjoh	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Ingra Tor	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Shalaa Asker	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Billboa	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Intervention	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Tiger Crusade	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Rhythm N Hooves	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Rock Of England	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Paws For Thought	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Strong Power	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Billyjoh

23.2

OR: 10 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5.7

3/1

2nd

Intervention

20.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

10/1

3rd

Rock Of England

19.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Al Barez

16.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Ingra Tor

14.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Tiger Crusade

12.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Paws For Thought

12.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 2 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Rhythm N Hooves

11.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Billboa

10.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Shalaa Asker

9.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Strong Power

8.3

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tiger Crusade	95	108	79
Intervention	92	108	93
Billyjoh	90	109	90
Rhythm N Hooves	90	111	79
Paws For Thought	89	109	—
Al Barez	88	110	100
Ingra Tor	88	107	—
Rock Of England	87	108	—
Billboa	83	104	81
Strong Power	82	104	77
Shalaa Asker	78	107	98

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Billyjoh	9d ago	Quick return
Shalaa Asker	12d ago	Quick return
Rhythm N Hooves	21d ago	Fit
Intervention	22d ago	Fit
Strong Power	22d ago	Fit
Al Barez	27d ago	Fit
Billboa	44d ago	Fit
Tiger Crusade	72d ago	Fresh
Paws For Thought	205d ago	Long break
Rock Of England	218d ago	Long break
Ingra Tor	240d ago	Long break