Best Of Luck To Our Neighbours Punchestown Ahead Of The 2024 Festival Handicap (Div I)

Naas

19:50

Date 2024-04-29

Distance 1m

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Winning Time 1m 47.18s (slow by 11.98s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Calamint (IRE) David Egan · Adrian Murray	33/1	Won
2nd	Stormy Jenn (IRE) Colin Keane · P Cluskey	9/1	4.5
3rd	Naisiun (IRE) Declan McDonogh · J S Bolger	13/2	1.75
4th	Captured (IRE) Leigh Roche · Luke Comer	33/1	1.75
5th	Atbay (IRE) Shane Foley · Mark Fahey	7/2F	0.2
6th	More Profit (IRE) Gary Carroll · Gavin Cromwell	11/1	1.5
7th	Hale Bopp (IRE) Adam Caffrey · R Donohoe	8/1	0.3
8th	So Messi (IRE) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Patrick Martin	6/1	.75
9th	Epaulawn (IRE) Killian Leonard · Noel G Hynds	13/2	0.1
10th	Adhuil (IRE) Rebecca Parsons · Aidan Anthony Howard	7/1	3.25
11th	Skontonovski (GB) Cian MacRedmond · Adrian McGuinness	33/1	0.3
12th	My Birthday Girl (IRE) Jamie Powell · Noel Meade	28/1	0.3
13th	Wayne R Walker (GB) Robbie Colgan · Donal Kinsella	33/1	2.5
14th	Xquise (FR) James Ryan · Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	125/1	2
15th	Hastily (GB) Gary Halpin · Tom McGuinness	80/1	2.5
16th	Sapristi (IRE) Jack Cleary · Thomas Dowling	80/1	1.25
17th	Fleetfootsoldier (IRE) Donagh O'Connor · John C McConnell	25/1	2.25
18th	Judicial Reward (IRE) Chris Hayes · Gavin Cromwell	18/1	4.25
19th	Esticky End (IRE) Luke McAteer · Tom McGuinness	80/1	3.25

Runners (21)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
16 (19)	Atbay Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:Mark Fahey	J:Shane Foley T:Mark Fahey	125	b	47-454	47	73	32	19d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Okay efforts on all three starts since March return but more needed
12 (8)	Adhuil Bay J:Rebecca Parsons(10) T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J:Rebecca Parsons(10) T:Aidan Anthony Howard	128	b	0924-2	50	63	50	5d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Last week's Gowran second under today's rider; respected off same mark
13 (21)	So Messi Chestnut J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Patrick Martin	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Patrick Martin	127	tp	0320-3	49	70	52	19d	—	—	-7	7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Promising recent Leopardstown comeback run; cheekpieces now added to usual tongue tie
19 (13)	Naisiun Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:J S Bolger	J:Declan McDonogh T:J S Bolger	122	—	405-10	58	73	43	8d	—	—	-4	4.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Winner here last month over 7f, drop in trip didn't suit since; up in trip here
6 (1)	Hale Bopp Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:R Donohoe	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:R Donohoe	139	p	-42373	61	72	51	24d	—	—	+2	11.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Generally consistent of late on AW but won't want too much rain back on turf
1 (6)	Stormy Jenn Bay J:Colin Keane T:P Cluskey	J:Colin Keane T:P Cluskey	142	—	42630-	64	72	65	157d	—	—	+2	9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ideally would prefer further but Colin Keane booking can't be ignored on seasonal return
14 (7)	More Profit Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	126	—	9553-	62	64	41	150d	—	—	+2	7.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Lightly raced 3yo with scope for improvement on handicap debut; market interesting
15 (5)	My Birthday Girl Chestnut J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Noel Meade	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Noel Meade	126	p	0058-5	48	71	22	19d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Comeback run at Leopardstown mildly promising but lots more required; cheekpieces tried
3 (17)	Fleetfootsoldier Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	140	—	16-474	62	74	44	73d	—	—	-1	4.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three-time winner claimed out of Kevin Coleman's at Dundalk in February
18 (2)	Epaulawn b/br J:Killian Leonard T:Noel G Hynds	J:Killian Leonard T:Noel G Hynds	125	t	8/80-5	47	65	32	80d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Okay yard debut at Dundalk in February but hard to see him being major player back on turf
17 (12)	Captured Chestnut J:Leigh Roche T:Luke Comer	J:Leigh Roche T:Luke Comer	125	p	7000-5	47	72	33	19d	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Struggling off basement mark both on AW and on recent turf return; hard to fancy
11 (11)	Calamint Bay J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	131	—	/5658-	53	72	50	213d	—	—	-2	2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Down to a career-low mark on first start for new yard so not one to entirely rule out
5 (4)	Skontonovski Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	140	v	2-0400	62	69	-	22d	—	—	+4	7.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Heavy ground against him on recent turf return, this better ground should suit
10 (14)	Wayne R Walker Grey J:Robbie Colgan T:Donal Kinsella	J:Robbie Colgan T:Donal Kinsella	133	tb	00-683	55	65	-	17d	—	—	-1	2.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
A 27-race maiden; recent Dundalk third one of his better efforts but remains opposable
20 (10)	Judicial Reward Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Chris Hayes T:Gavin Cromwell	119	—	00-9	55	59	29	22d	—	—	-1	2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Very lightly raced 3yo a potential improver on handicap debut on better ground
4 (18)	Sapristi Chestnut J:Jack Cleary(7) T:Thomas Dowling	J:Jack Cleary(7) T:Thomas Dowling	140	—	41P25-	62	68	51	228d	—	—	+7	9.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Fairyhouse claiming winner in the past; yard debut and won't want too much rain
7 (3)	Esticky End Bay J:Luke McAteer T:Tom McGuinness	J:Luke McAteer T:Tom McGuinness	138	h	/90R4-	60	64	24	202d	—	—	+1	3.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Three-time winner in Britain for the Barron's but below best last year; best watched
8 (16)	Hastily Bay J:Gary Halpin T:Tom McGuinness	J:Gary Halpin T:Tom McGuinness	138	—	19000-	60	71	47	181d	—	—	+3	5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Predicted rain a negative and seems best watched on seasonal return
9 (20)	Xquise Grey J:James Ryan(5) T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	J:James Ryan(5) T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	135	—	7798/0	57	-	-	22d	—	—	+1	2.1	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Former French-trained filly; beaten a long way on recent Irish debut at Leopardstown
NR (15)	Eyeshadow Bay J:TBC T:M C Grassick	J: T:M C Grassick	141	—	5437-0	63	66	53	19d	—	—	—	3.3	—	—
Poor yard debut at Leopardstown earlier this month none too encouraging
NR (9)	Knockmore Prince Bay J:TBC T:John C McConnell	J: T:John C McConnell	126	—	350-70	48	68	-	5d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Placed form for Noel Meade but poor Gowran run last week doesn't augur well; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Atbay	3/1	7/2	7/2	10/3	3/1
Adhuil	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
So Messi	7/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	9/2
Naisiun	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Hale Bopp	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Stormy Jenn	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
More Profit	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
My Birthday Girl	14/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Fleetfootsoldier	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Epaulawn	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Captured	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Calamint	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Skontonovski	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Wayne R Walker	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Judicial Reward	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Sapristi	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Esticky End	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Hastily	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Xquise	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hale Bopp

11.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 6 Odds: 2.5

9/1

2nd

Adhuil

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Sapristi

9.3

OR: 3 Form: 5.8 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Stormy Jenn

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

More Profit

7.6

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Skontonovski

7.5

OR: 3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1

33/1

So Messi

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4

7/1

Atbay

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Hastily

OR: 2.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Fleetfootsoldier

4.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Naisiun

4.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Eyeshadow

3.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Esticky End

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Wayne R Walker

2.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Xquise

2.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Calamint

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Judicial Reward

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

My Birthday Girl

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Epaulawn

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Captured

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Knockmore Prince

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stormy Jenn	64	72	65
Eyeshadow	63	66	53
More Profit	62	64	41
Fleetfootsoldier	62	74	44
Skontonovski	62	69	—
Sapristi	62	68	51
Hale Bopp	61	72	51
Esticky End	60	64	24
Hastily	60	71	47
Naisiun	58	73	43
Xquise	57	—	—
Wayne R Walker	55	65	—
Judicial Reward	55	59	29
Calamint	53	72	50
Adhuil	50	63	50
So Messi	49	70	52
My Birthday Girl	48	71	22
Knockmore Prince	48	68	—
Atbay	47	73	32
Epaulawn	47	65	32
Captured	47	72	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Adhuil	5d ago	Quick return
Knockmore Prince	5d ago	Quick return
Naisiun	8d ago	Quick return
Wayne R Walker	17d ago	Fit
Atbay	19d ago	Fit
So Messi	19d ago	Fit
My Birthday Girl	19d ago	Fit
Captured	19d ago	Fit
Eyeshadow	19d ago	Fit
Skontonovski	22d ago	Fit
Judicial Reward	22d ago	Fit
Xquise	22d ago	Fit
Hale Bopp	24d ago	Fit
Fleetfootsoldier	73d ago	Fresh
Epaulawn	80d ago	Fresh
More Profit	150d ago	Long break
Stormy Jenn	157d ago	Long break
Hastily	181d ago	Long break
Esticky End	202d ago	Long break
Calamint	213d ago	Long break
Sapristi	228d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Naas over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Based on 3 draws with historical results at this course and distance.