Commonwealth Cup Trial Stakes (Group 3) (Registered As The Pavilion Stakes)

Ascot

14:50

Date 2024-05-01

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £45,368

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (1)	Purosangue Brown J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	129	—	52221-	104	114	105	200d	—	—	+17	36.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
6f Listed win at York last October, when clear with recent Group 3 Greenham winner Esquire
10 (10)	Adaay In Devon Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Rod Millman	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Rod Millman	126	—	12-411	100	118	101	12d	—	—	0	17.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Readily won Listed fillies' race at Bath recently and she's a leading form contender
2 (4)	El Bodon Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Tom Marquand T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	129	—	21-2	104	116	82	11d	—	—	+9	22.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Runner-up in Group 3 Greenham over 7f; unexposed and respected now back down in trip
9 (7)	Starlust b/br J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	129	—	153-23	107	115	101	82d	—	—	+4	18.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Third at Breeders' Cup; very solid form at Meydan earlier this year; could be thereabouts
11 (6)	Got To Love A Grey Grey J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	126	—	115-16	100	117	99	16d	—	—	+5	15.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two Listed wins from first four starts; below par last time but not written off
5 (9)	Jasour Grey J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	129	—	21189-	108	113	95	214d	—	—	+19	25.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Disappointing end to campaign but the break may have helped; Group 2 winner last July
8 (5)	Rosario Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Roger Teal	J:Rossa Ryan T:Roger Teal	129	—	132-0	102	111	104	61d	—	—	+8	14.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Disappointing on reappearance but placed in 5f Group races last autumn; retains potential
1 (11)	Blue Prince Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:David Evans	J:Richard Kingscote T:David Evans	129	—	-13230	90	107	82	13d	—	—	+15	18.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Did well on AW after joining this yard last autumn but up against it in today's company
3 (3)	Inishfallen Bay J:William Buick T:Brian Meehan	J:William Buick T:Brian Meehan	129	—	53264-	99	105	85	207d	—	—	+13	16.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ran well in Group races last season but needs to produce something new on reappearance
4 (8)	Jakajaro Bay J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	129	—	2427-1	93	101	95	47d	—	—	+18	21.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Solid 2yo campaign; reappeared with conditions race win but has something to find today
NR (2)	Malc Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Fahey	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Fahey	129	—	1264-	103	110	-	229d	—	—	—	18.8	—	—
Royal Ascot runner-up last June; didn't kick on from that but not ruled out on return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Purosangue	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	3/1
Adaay In Devon	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
El Bodon	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	9/2
Starlust	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2
Got To Love A Grey	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Jasour	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Rosario	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Blue Prince	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Inishfallen	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Jakajaro	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Purosangue

36.7

OR: 13.5 Form: 17.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Jasour

25.2

OR: 14.5 Form: 9 Odds: 1.7

12/1

3rd

El Bodon

22.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Jakajaro

21.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

40/1

Malc

18.8

OR: 13.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0

—

Blue Prince

18.6

OR: 10 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Starlust

18.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Adaay In Devon

17.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Inishfallen

16.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 3.4 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Got To Love A Grey

15.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Rosario

14.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jasour	108	113	95
Starlust	107	115	101
Purosangue	104	114	105
El Bodon	104	116	82
Malc	103	110	—
Rosario	102	111	104
Adaay In Devon	100	118	101
Got To Love A Grey	100	117	99
Inishfallen	99	105	85
Jakajaro	93	101	95
Blue Prince	90	107	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
El Bodon	11d ago	Quick return
Adaay In Devon	12d ago	Quick return
Blue Prince	13d ago	Quick return
Got To Love A Grey	16d ago	Fit
Jakajaro	47d ago	Fresh
Rosario	61d ago	Fresh
Starlust	82d ago	Fresh
Purosangue	200d ago	Long break
Inishfallen	207d ago	Long break
Jasour	214d ago	Long break
Malc	229d ago	Long break