Murray Kerr Memorial Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:25

Murray Kerr Memorial Handicap

Date 2024-05-02

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,051

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Nikovo Bay J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	137	—	4000-1	74	87	38	45d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-1	23.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Back on track after wind surgery, with smooth win on stable debut at Newcastle; respected
7 (6)	Red Hat Eagle Bay J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	132	—	72113-	69	81	70	162d	—	—	+9	26.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two AW wins in the autumn but this is competitive on his return and he needs more progress
4 (3)	Smart Deal Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	134	p	505214	71	83	75	26d	—	—	+4	19.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two C&D wins since November and close up over 7f here last time; should go well again
5 (2)	Boasty Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	133	v	661772	70	85	69	7d	—	—	+2	17.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Went very close off the same mark here (1m2f) last week and he's respected back in trip
8 (4)	David's Diva Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rod Millman	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rod Millman	132	—	1-1165	69	86	63	43d	—	—	+5	14.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Three wins during the winter but he's been held at Southwell last twice; down the list
6 (8)	Wadacre Grace Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	414422	70	83	76	17d	—	—	+9	18.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Six-time AW winner who went close at Kempton last time and is only 1lb higher here
9 (9)	Egoiste Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	130	—	222411	67	84	65	33d	—	—	+19	25.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Hat-trick seeker who won by 4l at Wolverhampton last time; up 8lb but he's respected
2 (10)	The Mouse King Grey J:Sam Feilden(7) T:Julia Feilden	J:Sam Feilden(7) T:Julia Feilden	136	—	369/4-	73	82	-	392d	—	—	+3	6.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Just four runs since his last win in 2022 and has some work to do after 392 days off
10 (5)	Handel Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	119	b	382638	56	83	62	14d	—	—	+3	6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Record of 1-32 and he was beaten 12l here last time; others preferred
NR (1)	War Of Words Bay J:TBC T:Alex French	J: T:Alex French	135	—	1266/8	72	84	29	43d	—	—	—	5.5	—	—
Still lightly raced but has something to prove and he's untried on Polytrack

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Nikovo	11/4	11/4	5/2	9/4	5/2
Red Hat Eagle	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Smart Deal	5/1	5/1	5/1	4/1	9/2
Boasty	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
David's Diva	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2
Wadacre Grace	15/2	9/1	17/2	17/2	7/1
Egoiste	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
The Mouse King	33/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Handel	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Red Hat Eagle

26.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 16.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Egoiste

25.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 19.5 Odds: 1.9

11/1

3rd

Nikovo

23.3

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Smart Deal

19.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Wadacre Grace

18.2

OR: 5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Boasty

17.4

OR: 5 Form: 8 Odds: 4.4

11/2

David's Diva

14.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

8/1

The Mouse King

6.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Handel

OR: 1.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.9

28/1

War Of Words

5.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nikovo	74	87	38
The Mouse King	73	82	—
War Of Words	72	84	29
Smart Deal	71	83	75
Boasty	70	85	69
Wadacre Grace	70	83	76
Red Hat Eagle	69	81	70
David's Diva	69	86	63
Egoiste	67	84	65
Handel	56	83	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Boasty	7d ago	Quick return
Handel	14d ago	Fit
Wadacre Grace	17d ago	Fit
Smart Deal	26d ago	Fit
Egoiste	33d ago	Fit
David's Diva	43d ago	Fit
War Of Words	43d ago	Fit
Nikovo	45d ago	Fit
Red Hat Eagle	162d ago	Long break
The Mouse King	392d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Smart Deal	Front Runner
Wadacre Grace	Front Runner
Boasty	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 10 runners classified.