William Hill Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies)

Newmarket

13:50

Date 2024-05-05

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £34,026

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Kalpana Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	121	94	114	72	18d	—	—	-1	44.9	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Plenty of promise on AW before routing her rivals in C&D handicap; the best form in this
8 (6)	Winter Snowfall Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	21	-	92	-	22d	—	—	+3	17.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Two AW runs last month, scoring last time (1m2f) from a filly who has looked useful since
2 (4)	Friendly Soul Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	1-	-	95	-	137d	—	—	+5	12.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Late foal with fine pedigree; tenacious winner of a maiden at Kempton (1m, AW) in December
6 (1)	Lunar Eclipse Grey J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	128	—	1-	-	96	33	183d	—	—	+6	11.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Novice win from the back here (7f, heavy) in November augured well for stamina/potential
7 (8)	Strutting Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	621-	80	93	43	166d	—	—	+17	22.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
2nd here as 2yo before winning on AW; looks sure to be well suited by this extra distance
1 (5)	Carolina Reaper Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	61516-	95	109	91	219d	—	—	+18	22.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
2-6 as 2yo but well held in her two British Group races; useful form at her best
5 (7)	Kitteridge Bay J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	21	-	95	-	73d	—	—	+11	14.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
2nd and 1st in two 1m2f AW races early this year; much more required but she's promising
3 (3)	Gray's Inn Grey J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	128	—	14349-	93	100	81	183d	—	—	+13	14.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Some fairly useful form among her eight 2yo races; needs something of a higher order

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Kalpana	4/5	4/5	4/5	4/5	4/5
Winter Snowfall	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Friendly Soul	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Lunar Eclipse	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Strutting	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Carolina Reaper	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Kitteridge	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Gray's Inn	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kalpana

44.9

OR: 11 Form: 18.5 Odds: 15.4

4/5

2nd

Strutting

22.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

3rd

Carolina Reaper

22.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Winter Snowfall

17.9

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Gray's Inn

14.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Kitteridge

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Friendly Soul

12.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Lunar Eclipse

11.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Carolina Reaper	95	109	91
Kalpana	94	114	72
Gray's Inn	93	100	81
Strutting	80	93	43
Winter Snowfall	—	92	—
Friendly Soul	—	95	—
Lunar Eclipse	—	96	33
Kitteridge	—	95	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kalpana	18d ago	Fit
Winter Snowfall	22d ago	Fit
Kitteridge	73d ago	Fresh
Friendly Soul	137d ago	Long break
Strutting	166d ago	Long break
Lunar Eclipse	183d ago	Long break
Gray's Inn	183d ago	Long break
Carolina Reaper	219d ago	Long break