Unibet Zero% Mission Fillies' Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:00

Unibet Zero% Mission Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-05-08

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (6)	Salamanca City Bay J:James Doyle T:James Fanshawe	J:James Doyle T:James Fanshawe	127	—	47-4	68	75	30	35d	—	—	-9	10.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Nothing wrong with her C&D comeback; likely she has improvement in her now handicapping
6 (8)	Tayala Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	129	—	3536-1	70	74	50	21d	—	—	+4	19.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Trainer enjoying good spring; no complaints about a 2lb rise; return to 1m should be fine
10 (7)	Midnight Drive Bay J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	123	—	6-541	64	76	70	21d	—	—	-9	8.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Still signs of inexperience latest and a 2lb rise seems fair, so she goes on the shortlist
7 (3)	Carpathian Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	128	h	965-	69	70	31	166d	—	—	-3	7.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Extra furlong should suit on return and looks to start handicap life on a workable mark
5 (9)	Dancingwithmyself Grey J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Bell	J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Bell	130	—	61-	71	73	22	207d	—	—	+8	18.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Closing win over this trip reads well enough; remains open to improvement after a break
2 (1)	Granary Queen Chestnut J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	142	p	314-87	70	74	61	28d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Winner off this mark over 6f here in the winter; is consistent but she'll need to settle
3 (10)	Pearly Star Bay J:George Wood T:James Horton	J:George Wood T:James Horton	135	—	62544-	63	73	39	169d	—	—	-1	7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Picked up from Hugo Palmer last autumn for 18,000gns; resumes 2lb above sole winning mark
1 (5)	Red Treasure Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	143	p	8429-5	71	76	50	96d	—	—	+2	6.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Didn't run well in one prior try in headgear but is capable off this mark if in the mood
4 (4)	Dotties Moon Brown J:Paddy Bradley T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley T:Pat Phelan	132	—	600-	60	68	33	172d	—	—	-1	3.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Possible she'll do better now handicapping but would want to see some market interest
11 (11)	Guns And Flowers Bay J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	J:Luke Morris T:Laura Mongan	122	—	60-566	63	74	44	70d	—	—	+2	3.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Didn't look to see out this trip in one try for Alice Haynes; would be a surprise winner
NR (2)	Mamora Bay Bay J:TBC T:Roger Teal	J: T:Roger Teal	126	—	960-	67	68	5	182d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Needs to have improved for the absence and is some way down the pecking order

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Salamanca City	7/2	7/2	SP
Tayala	4/1	4/1	SP
Midnight Drive	9/2	7/2	SP
Carpathian	13/2	13/2	SP
Dancingwithmyself	15/2	8/1	SP
Granary Queen	8/1	17/2	SP
Pearly Star	10/1	10/1	SP
Red Treasure	20/1	25/1	SP
Dotties Moon	25/1	16/1	SP
Guns And Flowers	40/1	40/1	SP

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tayala

19.4

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

Dancingwithmyself

18.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

8/1

3rd

Salamanca City

10.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Midnight Drive

8.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Carpathian

7.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Granary Queen

7.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Pearly Star

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Red Treasure

6.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Mamora Bay

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dotties Moon

3.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Guns And Flowers

3.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dancingwithmyself	71	73	22
Red Treasure	71	76	50
Tayala	70	74	50
Granary Queen	70	74	61
Carpathian	69	70	31
Salamanca City	68	75	30
Mamora Bay	67	68	5
Midnight Drive	64	76	70
Pearly Star	63	73	39
Guns And Flowers	63	74	44
Dotties Moon	60	68	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tayala	21d ago	Fit
Midnight Drive	21d ago	Fit
Granary Queen	28d ago	Fit
Salamanca City	35d ago	Fit
Guns And Flowers	70d ago	Fresh
Red Treasure	96d ago	Long break
Carpathian	166d ago	Long break
Pearly Star	169d ago	Long break
Dotties Moon	172d ago	Long break
Mamora Bay	182d ago	Long break
Dancingwithmyself	207d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.