CAA Stellar Earl Grosvenor Handicap – Chester

Chester

13:30

CAA Stellar Earl Grosvenor Handicap

Date 2024-05-10

Distance 7f127y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £22,932

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Dancing Magic Bay J:William Buick T:Roger Teal	J:William Buick T:Roger Teal	136	—	8540-6	94	108	84	20d	—	—	-2	16.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Useful maiden who is well treated on a few pieces of Group form; first win is plausible
3 (13)	Percy's Lad Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	137	—	0203-2	95	107	95	22d	—	—	+4	21.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Respectable third (off 3lb higher from wide draw) in this race last year
8 (2)	Liamarty Dreams Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	134	—	389-11	92	105	89	19d	—	—	-1	14.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won over C&D in 2022; two from two this term, looking better than ever; respected
4 (7)	Revich Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Richard Spencer	J:Jim Crowley T:Richard Spencer	137	v	310-00	95	107	35	20d	—	—	+6	13.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has form figures of 431 in this contest, winning readily off 3lb lower 12 months ago
6 (10)	Boardman Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Tim Easterby	J:Phil Dennis T:Tim Easterby	136	—	7008-6	94	110	89	13d	—	—	+7	12.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Normally does well in May but he was beaten in this race in 2022 and 2023
12 (1)	Victoria Falls Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Hugo Palmer	J:Hayley Turner T:Hugo Palmer	116	v	21128-	74	106	90	189d	—	—	+15	20	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has done her winning in Class 5; something to prove in this much higher grade
1 (9)	Finn's Charm Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	138	—	20049-	96	106	99	259d	—	—	+10	13.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Quite interesting on seasonal debut, having won easily on reappearance last term
9 (12)	Master Zoffany Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	128	p	1-6070	86	106	99	42d	—	—	+13	17.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three wins at Chester; not in top form lately but may prove resurgent back here
11 (4)	Fools Rush In Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ruth Carr	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ruth Carr	119	tp	4445-0	77	108	91	22d	—	—	+4	7.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Three-time winner at Chester (in summer months); however, losing run is mounting up
13 (6)	Island Native Grey J:Franny Norton T:Michael Appleby	J:Franny Norton T:Michael Appleby	114	v	612632	72	104	67	20d	—	—	+14	17	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Could go well off bottom weight, with leading Chester rider Franny Norton on board
2 (8)	Alzahir Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:David O'Meara	J:Oisin Murphy T:David O'Meara	138	ht	12505-	96	102	60	232d	—	—	+13	15.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Made a winning reappearance last year; possibilities on 2024 seasonal debut
7 (11)	Documenting Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Kevin Frost	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Kevin Frost	136	—	632-61	94	105	86	27d	—	—	+9	11.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Recent AW win shows he retains plenty of ability; not solid on 2023 turf form
10 (5)	Trip To Rome Bay J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	122	p	-36758	80	103	-	12d	—	—	+6	8.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Fairly useful on AW; still has something to prove on turf; headgear enlisted

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Dancing Magic	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Percy's Lad	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Liamarty Dreams	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Revich	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Boardman	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Victoria Falls	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Finn's Charm	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Master Zoffany	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Fools Rush In	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Island Native	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Alzahir	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Documenting	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Trip To Rome	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Percy's Lad

21.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Victoria Falls

OR: 6 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.5

14/1

3rd

Master Zoffany

17.2

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Island Native

OR: 5.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Dancing Magic

16.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Alzahir

15.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Liamarty Dreams

14.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Finn's Charm

13.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Revich

13.2

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Boardman

12.6

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Documenting

11.6

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Trip To Rome

8.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Fools Rush In

7.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Finn's Charm	96	106	99
Alzahir	96	102	60
Percy's Lad	95	107	95
Revich	95	107	35
Dancing Magic	94	108	84
Boardman	94	110	89
Documenting	94	105	86
Liamarty Dreams	92	105	89
Master Zoffany	86	106	99
Trip To Rome	80	103	—
Fools Rush In	77	108	91
Victoria Falls	74	106	90
Island Native	72	104	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Trip To Rome	12d ago	Quick return
Boardman	13d ago	Quick return
Liamarty Dreams	19d ago	Fit
Dancing Magic	20d ago	Fit
Revich	20d ago	Fit
Island Native	20d ago	Fit
Percy's Lad	22d ago	Fit
Fools Rush In	22d ago	Fit
Documenting	27d ago	Fit
Master Zoffany	42d ago	Fit
Victoria Falls	189d ago	Long break
Alzahir	232d ago	Long break
Finn's Charm	259d ago	Long break