Duke Of Westminster Supporting The Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap)

Chester

15:40

Date 2024-05-10

Distance 2m2f140y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £86,632

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (4)	Aztec Empire Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	121	—	63320-	92	119	105	244d	—	—	+4	21.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Two places in hot 2m races on good or good to firm last summer; neck 2nd to Forza Orta
17 (12)	Grand Providence Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	118	—	2210-3	90	115	101	21d	—	—	+6	15.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Good record in 1m6f-2m2f handicaps bar the Cesarewitch; a big run looks on its way
12 (1)	Zoffee Bay J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	119	—	26080-	90	125	100	—	—	—	+4	13.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Well beaten last five runs (last two hurdling) but pipped in this last year off 3lb higher
14 (8)	Too Friendly Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:James Owen	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:James Owen	118	p	1608/1	89	117	-	—	—	—	+14	22.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Lost his way hurdling but smooth 2m AW winner in March on his only Flat start since 2021
2 (2)	Magellan Strait Chestnut J:William Buick T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:William Buick T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	130	b	0301-1	101	111	74	112d	—	—	+17	24.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won last two starts, notably when 150-1 in Irish Cesarewitch at the Curragh (2m1f, soft)
13 (16)	Duke Of Oxford Bay J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	119	t	711-32	91	119	33	42d	—	—	+5	12.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Heavy defeats in his two turf races (latest last June); big shout on latest 2m AW form
15 (3)	Forza Orta Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Kevin Ryan	J:Rowan Scott T:Kevin Ryan	118	—	7218-7	89	118	104	20d	—	—	+4	12	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Upped to 2m to win at York Ebor meeting (good to firm) by a neck from Aztec Empire; player
7 (10)	Zanndabad Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:A J Martin	J:Richard Kingscote T:A J Martin	121	t	13/07-	92	110	96	—	—	—	+7	11.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Yet to get head in front where it matters for this yard but could have a good prize in him
11 (6)	Aqwaam Grey J:Franny Norton T:Ian Williams	J:Franny Norton T:Ian Williams	119	—	-42217	90	117	-	34d	—	—	+17	22.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Reached new heights during a pretty busy AW campaign, before disappointing on latest start
8 (5)	Solent Gateway Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Hugo Palmer	J:Saffie Osborne T:Hugo Palmer	121	tv	943-00	92	122	108	34d	—	—	+8	11.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Scale of defeat in two AW runs this year is a concern; visor replaces usual cheekpieces
1 (15)	Falcon Eight Bay J:Oisin Orr T:D K Weld	J:Oisin Orr T:D K Weld	138	b	0621-6	109	114	75	39d	—	—	+12	15.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
1st, 5th and 15th in last three Chester Cups; 2nd to Magellan Strait in Irish Cesarewitch
5 (17)	Spirit Mixer Chestnut J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	123	p	6/7-89	94	109	69	34d	—	—	+9	11.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Only three runs since 2022; 6lb below peak mark but needs a revival in first headgear
6 (7)	Emiyn Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	121	v	1720-0	92	116	98	20d	—	—	+9	11.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Best known for his front-running exploits at Chester, including three wins; visor enlisted
10 (11)	Zealandia Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Ian Williams	J:Jim Crowley T:Ian Williams	121	p	535-19	92	118	96	97d	—	—	+9	11.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Disappointing on latest start (February) but not out of it on his best AW form (2m)
4 (9)	Citizen General Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Ed Dunlop	J:Clifford Lee T:Ed Dunlop	124	b	74-210	95	116	93	42d	—	—	+10	11.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Looks good on his day and had an easy 2m win on Kempton AW in February
16 (14)	The Grand Visir Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Ian Williams	J:Joe Fanning T:Ian Williams	118	tp	34700-	89	121	107	156d	—	—	+9	10.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
2nd, 9th and 9th in last three Chester Cups; on losing run; fine chance on best 2023 runs
NR (13)	The Shunter Bay J:TBC T:Emmet Mullins	J: T:Emmet Mullins	129	ht	74/41-	100	113	101	—	—	—	—	12.5	—	—
Won Cesarewitch at Newmarket (2m2f, soft) in October off 6lb lower; needs lots of respect

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Aztec Empire	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Grand Providence	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Zoffee	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Too Friendly	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Magellan Strait	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Duke Of Oxford	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Forza Orta	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Zanndabad	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Aqwaam	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Solent Gateway	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Falcon Eight	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Spirit Mixer	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Emiyn	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Zealandia	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Citizen General	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
The Grand Visir	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Magellan Strait

24.9

OR: 12.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

9/1

2nd

Aqwaam

22.6

OR: 10 Form: 11 Odds: 1.6

12/1

3rd

Too Friendly

22.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Aztec Empire

21.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 5

7/2

Grand Providence

15.9

OR: 10 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Falcon Eight

15.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Zoffee

13.7

OR: 10 Form: 1 Odds: 2.7

7/1

The Shunter

12.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Duke Of Oxford

12.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Forza Orta

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Zanndabad

11.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Spirit Mixer

11.8

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Citizen General

11.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Solent Gateway

11.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Emiyn

11.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Zealandia

11.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

The Grand Visir

10.9

OR: 9.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Falcon Eight	109	114	75
Magellan Strait	101	111	74
The Shunter	100	113	101
Citizen General	95	116	93
Spirit Mixer	94	109	69
Aztec Empire	92	119	105
Zanndabad	92	110	96
Solent Gateway	92	122	108
Emiyn	92	116	98
Zealandia	92	118	96
Duke Of Oxford	91	119	33
Grand Providence	90	115	101
Zoffee	90	125	100
Aqwaam	90	117	—
Too Friendly	89	117	—
Forza Orta	89	118	104
The Grand Visir	89	121	107

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Forza Orta	20d ago	Fit
Emiyn	20d ago	Fit
Grand Providence	21d ago	Fit
Aqwaam	34d ago	Fit
Solent Gateway	34d ago	Fit
Spirit Mixer	34d ago	Fit
Falcon Eight	39d ago	Fit
Duke Of Oxford	42d ago	Fit
Citizen General	42d ago	Fit
Zealandia	97d ago	Long break
Magellan Strait	112d ago	Long break
The Grand Visir	156d ago	Long break
Aztec Empire	244d ago	Long break
Zoffee	—	—
Too Friendly	—	—
Zanndabad	—	—
The Shunter	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Duke Of Oxford	Hold Up
Falcon Eight	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 17 runners classified.