Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:17

Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-05-12

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,468

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Sea Legend Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	137	h	32/43-	80	91	-	372d	—	—	-13	16.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Makes stable debut after a year off; has shown considerable promise in light Irish career
7 (10)	My Little Queens Grey J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	130	—	906051	73	93	46	7d	—	—	+2	21.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Smooth win at Hamilton last Sunday and effective over C&D; key player under 5lb penalty
2 (7)	Jean Baptiste Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	136	p	3459-2	79	92	-	13d	—	—	+6	14.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
On a long losing run but good second at Ayr on reappearance and also effective here
4 (9)	Fearless Bay Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Dunlop	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Dunlop	132	—	1071/7	75	91	49	17d	—	—	-1	8.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Good AW strike-rate (including C&D win); could build upon recent positive comeback run
6 (8)	Bohemian Breeze Grey J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	3-0347	74	86	64	21d	—	—	+2	10.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has dropped below his last winning mark but he needs to raise his game
8 (3)	Percy Willis Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	128	p	431325	71	89	67	14d	—	—	+8	16	3.50/1	14/1 7%
His wins have come over further but he likes it here and might not be far away
3 (6)	Roll It In Glitter Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	134	—	/131-0	77	89	-	13d	—	—	+2	8.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
2-3 during truncated campaign last season; disappointing on return but not written off
10 (2)	Molinari Grey J:Mark Winn(3) T:Martin Todhunter	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Martin Todhunter	126	—	0459-7	69	88	-	13d	—	—	+1	6.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Continues to drop down the weights but this 7yo has a regressive profile
5 (1)	Abbey Gardens Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Stuart Williams	J:Oisin Murphy T:Stuart Williams	131	—	413-	74	88	54	170d	—	—	+12	17.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Lightly raced 1m course novice winner; has potential now up in trip on h'cap/stable debut
9 (5)	Sense Of Worth Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	128	—	932227	71	87	50	33d	—	—	+10	14.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
In good form on Tapeta (including C&D) before last month's turf flop; can be in the mix

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sea Legend	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	7/4
My Little Queens	3/1	7/2	10/3	7/2	3/1
Jean Baptiste	9/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
Fearless Bay	10/1	17/2	9/1	17/2	8/1
Bohemian Breeze	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Percy Willis	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Roll It In Glitter	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Molinari	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Abbey Gardens	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Sense Of Worth	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

My Little Queens

21.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Abbey Gardens

17.6

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Sea Legend

16.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

Percy Willis

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Jean Baptiste

14.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Sense Of Worth

14.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.1 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Bohemian Breeze

10.5

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Fearless Bay

8.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Roll It In Glitter

8.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Molinari

6.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sea Legend	80	91	—
Jean Baptiste	79	92	—
Roll It In Glitter	77	89	—
Fearless Bay	75	91	49
Bohemian Breeze	74	86	64
Abbey Gardens	74	88	54
My Little Queens	73	93	46
Percy Willis	71	89	67
Sense Of Worth	71	87	50
Molinari	69	88	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
My Little Queens	7d ago	Quick return
Jean Baptiste	13d ago	Quick return
Roll It In Glitter	13d ago	Quick return
Molinari	13d ago	Quick return
Percy Willis	14d ago	Fit
Fearless Bay	17d ago	Fit
Bohemian Breeze	21d ago	Fit
Sense Of Worth	33d ago	Fit
Abbey Gardens	170d ago	Long break
Sea Legend	372d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.