Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap

Date 2024-05-12

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £38,655

Winning Time 1m 9.62s (fast by 0.78s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Misty Grey (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	4/1J	Won
2nd	Prince Of Zenda (GB) Jason Hart · Hugo Palmer	15/2	1.25
3rd	King's Lynn (GB) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	4/1J	2
4th	Batal Dubai (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Harry Charlton	6/1	2
5th	First Folio (GB) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	33/1	2.25
6th	Tiger Crusade (FR) Cieren Fallon · David Simcock	25/1	0.3
7th	Juan Les Pins (GB) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	28/1	0.05
8th	Bosh (IRE) Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon	8/1	.5
9th	Just A Spark (GB) Gina Mangan · Rod Millman	18/1	0.2
10th	Tacarib Bay (GB) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	11/1	.5
11th	Strike Red (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	20/1	1.25
12th	Dare To Hope (IRE) Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	11/1	.75
13th	Rocket Rodney (GB) Callum Shepherd · George Scott	18/1	3.25
14th	It Just Takes Time (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Mark Walford	28/1	1.25

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (4)	King's Lynn Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	129	—	609-92	94	116	-	9d	—	—	-2	16.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Dangerous mark now; good 2nd at Goodwood latest; O Murphy replaces apprentice; AW debut
4 (1)	Misty Grey Grey J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	133	—	-74223	98	112	86	24d	—	—	+8	26.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Series of good runs for new yard, including C&D; more appealing than most
9 (3)	Batal Dubai Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Harry Charlton	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Harry Charlton	127	—	1-3230	92	114	102	44d	—	—	+11	20.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
C&D winner; had excuse last time and he's a contender on this year's best; has been gelded
7 (8)	Bosh Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	129	—	215313	94	114	97	23d	—	—	+18	26.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
In fine form since December and latest close 3rd at Newbury looks strong form; key player
3 (14)	Tacarib Bay Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	136	—	16-597	101	115	100	15d	—	—	+8	14.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Listed C&D win in November; also ran well here in January; capable if this is a good day
13 (10)	Dare To Hope Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	121	—	2183-1	86	113	101	17d	—	—	+14	20.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Pleasing display at Beverley latest; up 4lb but there's a fair bit more to come from him
11 (2)	Prince Of Zenda Bay J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	124	v	06-110	89	113	97	44d	—	—	+6	11.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Flopped at Lingfield on Good Friday but remains unexposed as a sprinter
6 (9)	Tiger Crusade Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	129	—	273-04	94	114	85	14d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+8	12	5.00/1	20/1 5%
On a fair mark but might need a pace collapse to win, even over this stiff 6f
14 (12)	It Just Takes Time Brown J:Andrew Mullen T:Mark Walford	J:Andrew Mullen T:Mark Walford	119	—	0067-2	84	115	76	15d	—	—	+11	14.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Down in the weights and made a good start to the year at Doncaster; this may be too tough
5 (7)	Strike Red Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	133	—	/6721-	98	113	-	295d	—	—	+23	26.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Conditions to suit & last seen beating big field in Ireland last July; absence the worry
12 (6)	Just A Spark Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rod Millman	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rod Millman	121	—	111520	86	111	91	25d	—	—	+15	18.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Fine AW record, including a 2nd here (7f) on Good Friday; high in the weights now though
2 (11)	Rocket Rodney Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	137	—	6601-3D	102	106	67	100d	—	—	+11	13.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Showed 6f was fine in Bahrain this winter; looks on a tough mark back in Britain though
1 (13)	Juan Les Pins Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	138	—	43-289	103	112	85	44d	1W/1P 2 runs	1W/1P 2 runs	+12	13.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Has earned his lofty mark; not at his best over C&D last time; needs a full revival to win
10 (5)	First Folio Grey J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	125	p	08337-	90	114	82	218d	—	—	+12	14.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Powers on the wane last year; starts off for new yard off a reduced mark; others safer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
King's Lynn	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Misty Grey	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Batal Dubai	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Bosh	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Tacarib Bay	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Dare To Hope	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Prince Of Zenda	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Tiger Crusade	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
It Just Takes Time	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Strike Red	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Just A Spark	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Rocket Rodney	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Juan Les Pins	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
First Folio	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bosh

26.9

OR: 11 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.4

8/1

2nd

Strike Red

26.5

OR: 12 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1

20/1

3rd

Misty Grey

26.2

OR: 12 Form: 9 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Dare To Hope

20.7

OR: 9 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Batal Dubai

20.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Just A Spark

18.4

OR: 9 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.9

22/1

King's Lynn

16.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Tacarib Bay

14.7

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

It Just Takes Time

14.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

18/1

First Folio

14.3

OR: 10 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Juan Les Pins

13.8

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Rocket Rodney

13.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Tiger Crusade

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Prince Of Zenda

11.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Juan Les Pins	103	112	85
Rocket Rodney	102	106	67
Tacarib Bay	101	115	100
Misty Grey	98	112	86
Strike Red	98	113	—
King's Lynn	94	116	—
Bosh	94	114	97
Tiger Crusade	94	114	85
Batal Dubai	92	114	102
First Folio	90	114	82
Prince Of Zenda	89	113	97
Dare To Hope	86	113	101
Just A Spark	86	111	91
It Just Takes Time	84	115	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King's Lynn	9d ago	Quick return
Tiger Crusade	14d ago	Fit
Tacarib Bay	15d ago	Fit
It Just Takes Time	15d ago	Fit
Dare To Hope	17d ago	Fit
Bosh	23d ago	Fit
Misty Grey	24d ago	Fit
Just A Spark	25d ago	Fit
Batal Dubai	44d ago	Fit
Prince Of Zenda	44d ago	Fit
Juan Les Pins	44d ago	Fit
Rocket Rodney	100d ago	Long break
First Folio	218d ago	Long break
Strike Red	295d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.