Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (Div II) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:52

Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-05-12

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,468

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (10)	Yeoman Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	134	—	7219-4	77	92	79	38d	—	—	-6	12	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Three wins on Wolverhampton Tapeta last year; could play leading role
7 (1)	Natzor Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	129	—	070-22	72	91	81	7d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-8	11.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has kept on well when going close over 1m on first two starts for this yard
5 (2)	Jack Sparowe Bay J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	131	h	5135-5	74	91	44	27d	—	—	-2	9.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two wins last year; promising reappearance & could be set for another productive campaign
8 (6)	Ludo's Landing Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	8-4334	71	89	56	17d	—	—	-3	8.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Has made the frame on all four runs this year; every chance he'll be thereabouts once more
10 (5)	Prince Achille Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Connor Beasley T:Jedd O'Keeffe	124	—	19-611	67	88	68	50d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-2	6.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Did it a shade cosily when completing C&D double last time and he holds solid claims
6 (7)	Chantico Bay J:Kyle McHugh(7) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Kyle McHugh(7) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	131	v	984429	74	89	74	11d	—	—	+3	11.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Flopped just 11 days ago but went close prior to that and is unexposed at today's trip
4 (4)	Furzig Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	132	—	-29304	75	91	61	21d	—	—	+4	10.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
On a reduced mark but on a losing sequence and the drop back in trip isn't an obvious plus
3 (3)	Real Terms Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Grant Tuer	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Grant Tuer	133	—	873146	76	91	79	33d	—	—	+8	14.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won at Southwell in March and excuses the next twice; could come back with a big run
1 (9)	Anjo Bonita Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Billy Garritty T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	136	—	63113-	79	90	-	223d	—	—	+20	24.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Did very well after joining this yard last summer; could go well on AW/seasonal debut
9 (8)	No Recollection Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Sam England	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Sam England	127	t	0/00/2	70	88	40	16d	—	—	+7	11.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Second of four here recently when back from break; not guaranteed to back that up

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Yeoman	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Natzor	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Jack Sparowe	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1
Ludo's Landing	7/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1
Prince Achille	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1	8/1
Chantico	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Furzig	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Real Terms	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Anjo Bonita	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
No Recollection	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Anjo Bonita

24.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 15.9 Odds: 1.1

18/1

2nd

Real Terms

14.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.7

14/1

3rd

Yeoman

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Chantico

11.9

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Natzor

11.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

No Recollection

11.2

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Furzig

10.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Jack Sparowe

9.3

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Ludo's Landing

8.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Prince Achille

6.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Anjo Bonita	79	90	—
Yeoman	77	92	79
Real Terms	76	91	79
Furzig	75	91	61
Jack Sparowe	74	91	44
Chantico	74	89	74
Natzor	72	91	81
Ludo's Landing	71	89	56
No Recollection	70	88	40
Prince Achille	67	88	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Natzor	7d ago	Quick return
Chantico	11d ago	Quick return
No Recollection	16d ago	Fit
Ludo's Landing	17d ago	Fit
Furzig	21d ago	Fit
Jack Sparowe	27d ago	Fit
Real Terms	33d ago	Fit
Yeoman	38d ago	Fit
Prince Achille	50d ago	Fresh
Anjo Bonita	223d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.