Bet At racingtv.com Handicap – Catterick

Catterick

15:17

Bet At racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2024-05-13

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 58.63s (slow by 1.53s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Keldeo (GB) Cam Hardie · Ollie Pears	7/2	Won
2nd	Secret Command (IRE) Paddy Mathers · Adrian Nicholls	12/1	.5
3rd	Willolarupi (IRE) Harrison Shaw · Declan Carroll	7/4F	.75
4th	Alfa Moonstone (GB) Shane Gray · Craig Lidster	9/2	0.3
5th	Northern Prince (GB) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	40/1	1.5
6th	Lady Bouquet (GB) Connor Beasley · Philip Kirby	15/2	1.75
7th	Emerald Army (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll	28/1	1.5
8th	Desert Master (GB) Harry Russell · Antony Brittain	22/1	.75
9th	Zaphea (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	10/1	1
10th	Koji (IRE) Jason Hart · Ivan Furtado	66/1	6.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	Willolarupi Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	135	b	538-42	69	82	73	7d	—	—	-18	15.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Ran well in first-time blinkers last week; should go well again despite poor draw
2 (1)	Keldeo Grey J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	135	—	136-52	69	81	54	10d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	-4	8.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Novice win in 2023; clear second to Zaphea last time; should go well from plum draw
3 (3)	Alfa Moonstone Grey J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	133	—	46573-	67	77	54	193d	—	—	-1	10.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D maiden winner on good to firm last May; disappointing until fair AW third in November
9 (5)	Lady Bouquet Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Philip Kirby	J:Connor Beasley T:Philip Kirby	124	—	1262-2	58	78	53	30d	—	—	0	9.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Improved on AW last autumn, winning at Wolverhampton; sound AW run latest
4 (6)	Zaphea Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	130	—	288-31	64	81	58	10d	—	—	-2	5.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Beat Keldeo at Musselburgh 10 days ago but not sure to confirm the form on these terms
6 (2)	Desert Master Bay J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	127	—	0-4120	61	77	74	60d	—	—	0	4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ex-James Tate; AW winner for this yard in Feb; seems to handle most surfaces
7 (4)	Secret Command Grey J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	127	—	00016-	61	76	55	240d	—	—	+7	10.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won handicap debut at Carlisle in September (good to firm); off since later that month
8 (7)	Emerald Army Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	125	—	478-5	59	78	62	23d	—	—	0	3.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Modest form in novices last term; no better on handicap debut last month; others stronger
5 (8)	Koji Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	128	—	98-150	62	77	-	16d	—	—	+2	3.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Best form on AW, winning on stable debut (7f) in March; modest since; others stronger
10 (10)	Northern Prince Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	116	—	490-	50	68	62	350d	—	—	-2	0.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Modest last term; gelded since; makes handicap debut after a break; has worst draw

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Willolarupi	11/8	11/8	11/8
Keldeo	5/1	5/1	5/1
Alfa Moonstone	11/2	11/2	11/2
Lady Bouquet	13/2	13/2	13/2
Zaphea	10/1	10/1	10/1
Desert Master	16/1	16/1	16/1
Secret Command	20/1	20/1	20/1
Emerald Army	20/1	20/1	20/1
Koji	40/1	40/1	40/1
Northern Prince	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Willolarupi

15.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

11/8

2nd

Secret Command

10.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1

20/1

3rd

Alfa Moonstone

10.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Lady Bouquet

9.9

OR: 2 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Keldeo

8.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Zaphea

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Desert Master

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Koji

3.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Emerald Army

3.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Northern Prince

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Willolarupi	69	82	73
Keldeo	69	81	54
Alfa Moonstone	67	77	54
Zaphea	64	81	58
Koji	62	77	—
Desert Master	61	77	74
Secret Command	61	76	55
Emerald Army	59	78	62
Lady Bouquet	58	78	53
Northern Prince	50	68	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Willolarupi	7d ago	Quick return
Keldeo	10d ago	Quick return
Zaphea	10d ago	Quick return
Koji	16d ago	Fit
Emerald Army	23d ago	Fit
Lady Bouquet	30d ago	Fit
Desert Master	60d ago	Fresh
Alfa Moonstone	193d ago	Long break
Secret Command	240d ago	Long break
Northern Prince	350d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Catterick over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 10 draws with historical results at this course and distance.