Luxury Breaks At Western House Hotel Handicap

Ayr

19:00

Date 2024-05-14

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Reel Prospect Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	130	—	-64904	59	77	-	18d	—	—	-13	8.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
0-7 in handicaps from 1m to 1m2f; forecast rain wouldn't help matters
2 (11)	Bearaway Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	134	p	58-777	63	72	10	18d	—	—	-9	8.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Well handicapped if going back far enough but he has a regressive profile
6 (7)	Shifter Bay J:Paula Muir(3) T:Wilf Storey	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Wilf Storey	128	—	7614-7	57	74	55	11d	—	—	-9	6.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Questions to answer on ground softer than good but she's a course winner on a fair mark
3 (6)	Busby Bay J:Jason Hart T:Philip Kirby	J:Jason Hart T:Philip Kirby	134	p	09-323	63	79	-	36d	—	—	-7	7.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ten-time winner but only on the AW and he's 0-10 on turf; arrives in good form, though
4 (2)	Jumeira Vision Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Katie Scott	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Katie Scott	132	p	40-435	61	76	33	92d	—	—	-2	4.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Wolverhampton winner but only fifth of seven back there on debut for this yard
8 (4)	Loom Large Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	124	t	805009	53	78	29	11d	—	—	-3	2.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
A fair 1m2f winner at his best but he arrives here in the doldrums
7 (5)	Epona Pas Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	125	—	65548-	54	71	58	336d	—	—	-2	2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Eight-race maiden last seen finishing well beaten over C&D last June
11 (10)	Royal Countess Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:R Mike Smith	116	p	65860-	45	76	58	215d	—	—	-2	0.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Mark has bottomed out after an uninspiring run of form and she lacks a recent run
1 (8)	Farhhfromforgotten Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	135	—	257-56	64	76	9	12d	—	—	+2	4.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Regressed badly since his best run when second in a 1m1f handicap
9 (1)	Moondial Bay J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	123	t	00-698	52	73	37	11d	—	—	-1	1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Well beaten in four starts for this yard and there are stamina doubts over this far
10 (9)	Hawkes Bay Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Maurice Barnes	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Maurice Barnes	116	—	/500-7	45	61	25	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Tailed-off last on debut for Maurice Barnes and he's unraced beyond a mile

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Reel Prospect	5/2	5/2	5/2
Bearaway	7/2	7/2	7/2
Shifter	4/1	4/1	4/1
Busby	9/2	9/2	9/2
Jumeira Vision	11/1	11/1	11/1
Loom Large	12/1	12/1	12/1
Epona Pas	20/1	20/1	20/1
Royal Countess	22/1	22/1	22/1
Farhhfromforgotten	33/1	33/1	33/1
Moondial	40/1	40/1	40/1
Hawkes Bay	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Reel Prospect

8.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

2nd

Bearaway

8.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Busby

7.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Shifter

6.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Jumeira Vision

4.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Farhhfromforgotten

4.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Loom Large

2.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Epona Pas

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Moondial

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Royal Countess

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Hawkes Bay

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Farhhfromforgotten	64	76	9
Bearaway	63	72	10
Busby	63	79	—
Jumeira Vision	61	76	33
Reel Prospect	59	77	—
Shifter	57	74	55
Epona Pas	54	71	58
Loom Large	53	78	29
Moondial	52	73	37
Royal Countess	45	76	58
Hawkes Bay	45	61	25

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shifter	11d ago	Quick return
Loom Large	11d ago	Quick return
Moondial	11d ago	Quick return
Farhhfromforgotten	12d ago	Quick return
Hawkes Bay	12d ago	Quick return
Reel Prospect	18d ago	Fit
Bearaway	18d ago	Fit
Busby	36d ago	Fit
Jumeira Vision	92d ago	Long break
Royal Countess	215d ago	Long break
Epona Pas	336d ago	Long break