Sky Bet Match5 Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Thirsk

Thirsk

15:45

Sky Bet Match5 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-05-18

Distance 1m4f8y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,234

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (2)	Los Toldos Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	136	—	21	-	87	-	87d	—	—	-9	23.5	6/4 40%
Still looked green but dug deep to win Kempton novice; may follow up under a penalty
2 (7)	Ghostlore Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	p	543	79	88	48	33d	—	—	-7	17.5	9/4 31%
Good third at Windsor last time; should stay this longer trip and may progress further
4 (5)	Night Horn Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Andrew Balding	J:Joshua Bryan T:Andrew Balding	130	t	76-	-	81	-	150d	—	—	-9	3.6	5/1 17%
Unplaced twice towards the end of 2023; improvement possible but necessary
7 (1)	Valued Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Edward Bethell	J:Connor Beasley T:Edward Bethell	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	17/2 11%
Classy pedigree; worth a market check for yard that had high-profile York winner this week
6 (4)	Tryfan Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	130	—	3-5	-	84	51	23d	—	—	-4	4.3	17/2 11%
Should be suited by this trip judged on 1m2f efforts; doesn't have much to find on form
5 (8)	Normandy Vista Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	64	-	64	-	21d	—	—	-1	0.5	40/1 2%
Folded tamely at Ripon on second start; too early to be writing him off
3 (3)	Greenlightforgo Brown J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	130	—	9	-	34	-	30d	—	—	-1	0.5	40/1 2%
Bred to have a future but little immediate promise when tailed off at Ripon
NR (6)	Epidavros Bay J:Jason Hart T:David Loughnane	J:Jason Hart T:David Loughnane	125	—	4	-	71	41	29d	—	—	—	0	—
Showed a bit when fourth in maiden at Bath, keeping on; open to improvement

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Los Toldos	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Ghostlore	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Night Horn	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Valued	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Tryfan	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Normandy Vista	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Greenlightforgo	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Los Toldos

23.5

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 10

6/4

2nd

Ghostlore

17.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

9/4

3rd

Tryfan

4.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Night Horn

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Valued

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Normandy Vista

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Greenlightforgo

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Epidavros

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ghostlore	79	88	48
Los Toldos	—	87	—
Night Horn	—	81	—
Valued	—	—	—
Tryfan	—	84	51
Normandy Vista	—	64	—
Greenlightforgo	—	34	—
Epidavros	—	71	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Normandy Vista	21d ago	Fit
Tryfan	23d ago	Fit
Epidavros	29d ago	Fit
Greenlightforgo	30d ago	Fit
Ghostlore	33d ago	Fit
Los Toldos	87d ago	Fresh
Night Horn	150d ago	Long break
Valued	—	—