Unibet Support Safe Gambling Restricted Novice Stakes (Horses In Bands B, C & D) (GBB Race) (Div I)

Kempton (AW)

19:00

Date 2024-05-22

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-4yo

Prize £3,780

Winning Time 1m 27.09s (slow by 2.49s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bengurion (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Charlie Johnston	9/4	Won
2nd	Harvard Sound (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Tom Clover	6/1	.5
3rd	Eternal Spring (GB) Neil Callan · James Tate	9/1	2.5
4th	Lizzie Lovett (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	22/1	2.25
5th	Pipes And Drums (GB) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	5/4F	1
6th	Guildford (GB) Hector Crouch · Jamie Osborne	28/1	1.5
7th	Appeal To Glory (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	16/1	3.75
8th	Agent Mayfair (GB) William Carson · Tony Carroll	33/1	1.5
9th	Combustion (GB) Joey Haynes · Chelsea Banham	125/1	2
10th	Invincible Royale (IRE) Ray Dawson · David Loughnane	100/1	0.3
11th	Highland Lil (IRE) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Tom Dascombe	100/1	.5

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (4)	Pipes And Drums Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-20	8.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Smart pedigree and represents top yard; refused to enter stalls this month; heed betting
2 (2)	Bengurion Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	132	—	1-	-	74	45	208d	—	—	-8	18	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Easy to back but found plenty when making winning 6f AW debut in October; should stay 7f
10 (1)	Eternal Spring Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	125	—	63	-	79	56	14d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Definite signs of ability in two C&D starts this spring; place prospects
4 (9)	Harvard Sound Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Tom Clover	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Tom Clover	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
62,000gns yearling; trainer has healthy strike-rate with older newcomers; market can guide
3 (11)	Appeal To Glory Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
60,000gns yearling; yard has a low strike-rate with older beginners
13 (10)	Lizzie Lovett Brown J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	123	—	5	-	68	38	76d	—	—	-3	1.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
6-1 for Lingfield AW debut (1m) where prominent for a long way before fading
9 (6)	Guildford Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Jamie Osborne	J:Hector Crouch T:Jamie Osborne	126	h	9	-	49	13	27d	—	—	-2	0.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Couldn't sustain effort on AW debut (7f); not very likely until handicapping
1 (5)	Agent Mayfair Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	141	—	2-6	-	67	44	94d	—	—	+1	4.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Creditable 2nd on 6f AW debut in early 2023; faded over C&D in February; handicaps soon
12 (7)	Highland Lil Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	123	—	57	-	73	-	13d	—	—	-3	0.9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Minor form over 7f (turf) and 1m (Polytrack); unlikely to play part at this level
5 (3)	Invincible Royale Bay J:Ray Dawson T:David Loughnane	J:Ray Dawson T:David Loughnane	130	—	5-0	-	59	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Slowly away and well held in both starts, over 5f last summer and 6f 11 days ago
7 (8)	Combustion Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	128	—	8-	-	47	-	224d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
200-1, started slowly and never in contention over C&D on debut in October
NR (12)	Killarney Lake Chestnut J:William Cox T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Cox T:Simon Hodgson	128	p	9	-	41	-	16d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Cheekpieces on debut; fought losing battle on 1m debut at Windsor; lots more needed
NR (13)	Cordelin Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:James Ferguson	J:Hollie Doyle T:James Ferguson	123	—	0-	-	64	48	193d	—	—	—	0	—	—
80-1, never involved on 7f AW debut in November; too soon to be of interest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Pipes And Drums	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Bengurion	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Eternal Spring	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Harvard Sound	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Appeal To Glory	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Lizzie Lovett	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Guildford	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Agent Mayfair	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Highland Lil	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Invincible Royale	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Combustion	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bengurion

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8

2/1

2nd

Pipes And Drums

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

7/4

3rd

Eternal Spring

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Agent Mayfair

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Harvard Sound

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Lizzie Lovett

1.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

25/1

Appeal To Glory

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Guildford

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Highland Lil

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

66/1

Invincible Royale

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Combustion

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Killarney Lake

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Cordelin

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pipes And Drums	—	—	—
Bengurion	—	74	45
Eternal Spring	—	79	56
Harvard Sound	—	—	—
Appeal To Glory	—	—	—
Lizzie Lovett	—	68	38
Guildford	—	49	13
Agent Mayfair	—	67	44
Highland Lil	—	73	—
Invincible Royale	—	59	—
Combustion	—	47	—
Killarney Lake	—	41	—
Cordelin	—	64	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Invincible Royale	11d ago	Quick return
Highland Lil	13d ago	Quick return
Eternal Spring	14d ago	Fit
Killarney Lake	16d ago	Fit
Guildford	27d ago	Fit
Lizzie Lovett	76d ago	Fresh
Agent Mayfair	94d ago	Long break
Cordelin	193d ago	Long break
Bengurion	208d ago	Long break
Combustion	224d ago	Long break
Pipes And Drums	—	—
Harvard Sound	—	—
Appeal To Glory	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.