Fleetwood Paints Handicap – Curragh

Curragh

17:25

Fleetwood Paints Handicap

Date 2024-05-26

Distance 1m6f

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (15)	Bay Of Sanibel Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	131	p	01-21	81	89	33	19d	—	—	-4	12.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won 2 of last 3 starts, both at 1m6f at Navan and good value for winning margin latest
8 (3)	Harsh Grey J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	129	p	2/553-	79	94	57	—	—	—	+2	14.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
0-5 on Flat but shown promise in this sphere and improving over timber since; new trip
10 (2)	The Banger Doyle Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:John Queally	J:Oisin Murphy T:John Queally	127	h	2474-2	77	95	52	12d	—	—	+4	14.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Okay 2nd at Killarnye last week and fair mark; drop in trip may be against him though
17 (18)	Valleyoftheeagles Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Martin Hassett	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Martin Hassett	119	tb	7/7-22	69	95	87	17d	—	—	-2	7.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
0-9 on Flat; hit crossbar last twice but creeping up the weights; up 3lb for latest
7 (14)	Squire Danagher Bay J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	131	v	-31104	81	93	47	14d	—	—	+11	18.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won twice on AW this winter but has stamina to prove at this sort of trip; visor on
13 (19)	The Mediator Brown J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gordon Elliott	123	—	334-	73	96	73	221d	—	—	+4	11.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won bumper on 2021 debut; no wins since but running well in maidens when last seen
14 (1)	Grappa Nonino Bay J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	122	—	08164-	72	96	88	—	—	—	+6	12.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner last summer; didn't manage to build on that at 2m; needs to be back to best
19 (10)	Rain Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:James M Barcoe	J:Nathan Crosse T:James M Barcoe	119	—	5036-4	69	92	72	29d	—	—	+1	6.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Running well in defeat of late but 5lb wrong for this tough assignment
9 (7)	Nostra Casa Bay J:Colin Keane T:Paul W Flynn	J:Colin Keane T:Paul W Flynn	129	tp	310-16	79	89	34	12d	—	—	+4	8.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won 3 of last 7 starts in last 13 months but well held latest; needs career best
4 (11)	Last Ammo Chestnut J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Richard John O'Brien	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Richard John O'Brien	136	—	48-753	86	97	44	12d	—	—	+6	10.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Bit below form in 3 runs this year; distant 3rd latest and same mark; others preferred
11 (17)	Fairytale Princess Bay J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	126	—	2110-5	76	93	74	6d	—	—	+3	7.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won 3 on AW at end of last year; 0-8 on turf; respectable return but stamina to prove
16 (9)	Bold Approach Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	120	tp	600-73	70	97	60	9d	—	—	+3	5.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Only Flat win came in Feb' 2021; hit the frame at Leopardstown last week but this is tough
3 (6)	Cougar b/br J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Padraig Roche	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Padraig Roche	138	—	321/0-	88	91	-	300d	—	—	+7	10.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Interrupted career since leaving Aidan O'Brien; tailed off latest and off another 300 days
15 (12)	Queenie St Clair Bay J:J M Sheridan T:E D Delany	J:J M Sheridan T:E D Delany	121	h	-07054	71	101	58	9d	—	—	+4	5.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
7f winner last season; hasn't kicked on this campaign and tough ask over this new trip
18 (5)	Spanish John Chestnut J:Cian Horgan(7) T:P A Fahy	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:P A Fahy	119	t	05-80	69	88	24	17d	—	—	+4	5.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Struggled for form in both sphere since winning over hurdles last summer; 4lb wrong
12 (13)	Snapius Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:J A Nash	J:Mikey Sheehy T:J A Nash	126	b	1/39-9	76	93	67	—	—	—	+11	11.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
9th in this last year and out of form in recent times
1 (16)	Mt Leinster Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	146	—	2/20-7	96	95	36	19d	—	—	+13	14.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Struggled back on the Flat last time and seems on a stiff enough mark at this point
NR (4)	Esquiline Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	141	p	25-569	91	91	37	18d	—	—	—	10.3	—	—
Won Bellewstown maiden last year; best form at 1m4f and others on better marks
NR (8)	Glan Chestnut J:Declan McDonogh T:Gordon Elliott	J:Declan McDonogh T:Gordon Elliott	132	—	1-	82	88	23	—	—	—	—	18	—	—
Struggled over hurdles recently but won a maiden when last seen on Flat; decent mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bay Of Sanibel	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Harsh	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
The Banger Doyle	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Valleyoftheeagles	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Squire Danagher	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
The Mediator	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Grappa Nonino	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Rain	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Nostra Casa	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Last Ammo	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Fairytale Princess	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Bold Approach	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Cougar	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Queenie St Clair	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Spanish John	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Snapius	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Mt Leinster	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Squire Danagher

18.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.2

17/2

2nd

Glan

OR: 8 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

3rd

The Banger Doyle

14.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Harsh

14.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Mt Leinster

14.3

OR: 11.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Bay Of Sanibel

12.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Grappa Nonino

12.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Snapius

11.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.3

66/1

The Mediator

11.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Cougar

10.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Esquiline

10.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Last Ammo

10.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Nostra Casa

8.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Fairytale Princess

7.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Valleyoftheeagles

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Rain

6.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Bold Approach

5.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Queenie St Clair

5.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Spanish John

5.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mt Leinster	96	95	36
Esquiline	91	91	37
Cougar	88	91	—
Last Ammo	86	97	44
Glan	82	88	23
Bay Of Sanibel	81	89	33
Squire Danagher	81	93	47
Harsh	79	94	57
Nostra Casa	79	89	34
The Banger Doyle	77	95	52
Fairytale Princess	76	93	74
Snapius	76	93	67
The Mediator	73	96	73
Grappa Nonino	72	96	88
Queenie St Clair	71	101	58
Bold Approach	70	97	60
Valleyoftheeagles	69	95	87
Rain	69	92	72
Spanish John	69	88	24

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fairytale Princess	6d ago	Quick return
Bold Approach	9d ago	Quick return
Queenie St Clair	9d ago	Quick return
The Banger Doyle	12d ago	Quick return
Nostra Casa	12d ago	Quick return
Last Ammo	12d ago	Quick return
Squire Danagher	14d ago	Fit
Valleyoftheeagles	17d ago	Fit
Spanish John	17d ago	Fit
Esquiline	18d ago	Fit
Bay Of Sanibel	19d ago	Fit
Mt Leinster	19d ago	Fit
Rain	29d ago	Fit
The Mediator	221d ago	Long break
Cougar	300d ago	Long break
Harsh	—	—
Grappa Nonino	—	—
Snapius	—	—
Glan	—	—