Leicester City FC Handicap – Leicester

Leicester

16:15

Leicester City FC Handicap

Date 2024-05-27

Distance 1m53y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,281

Winning Time 1m 46.10s (slow by 5.30s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Azahara Palace (GB) Billy Loughnane · Hughie Morrison	9/1	Won
2nd	Indemnity (IRE) James Doyle · Roger Varian	9/4F	1
3rd	Law Supreme (FR) Richard Kingscote · Ian Williams	6/1	4.5
4th	Prophet's Dream (GB) Charles Bishop · Henrietta C Knight	28/1	1
5th	Simpson's Paradox (IRE) Gina Mangan · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	66/1	1.25
6th	Youarenotforgiven (GB) Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	9/1	.5
7th	Mudskipper (GB) David Egan · David Menuisier	11/1	2.5
8th	Hakuna Babe (GB) Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	6/1	.5
9th	Harswell Duke (IRE) Harry Russell · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	15/2	1
10th	Where's Freddy (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	7/1	4.5
11th	Green Power (GB) Rhys Clutterbuck · John Gallagher	50/1	5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Indemnity Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	135	—	222-5	80	88	55	23d	—	—	-8	14.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Respectable fifth in stronger race than this on recent seasonal/handicap debut
8 (3)	Hakuna Babe Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	129	—	231-92	74	92	44	22d	—	—	-3	9.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Bounced back from disappointing stable debut when second on heavy ground this month
5 (1)	Law Supreme Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	130	—	270912	75	91	68	16d	—	—	+10	21.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Won at Bath on last month's seasonal debut and has gone close over C&D since; respected
6 (10)	Harswell Duke Bay J:Harry Russell T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Harry Russell T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	130	—	603225	75	93	67	3d	—	—	+6	15.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Placed three times on slow ground last month and sure to be favoured by the recent rain
4 (4)	Youarenotforgiven Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	133	—	1177-4	78	93	69	29d	—	—	+2	9.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won this on fast ground in 2023; contender if he copes with today's conditions
11 (7)	Where's Freddy Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	122	t	8120-3	67	94	82	27d	—	—	+1	9.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Inconsistent last season but ran well on reappearance; a possible if in the right mood
3 (9)	Mudskipper Bay J:David Egan T:David Menuisier	J:David Egan T:David Menuisier	134	p	5581-7	79	93	74	42d	—	—	+2	9.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Made satisfactory seasonal debut at Windsor last month; this stiffer track ought to suit
7 (5)	Azahara Palace Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Hughie Morrison	J:Billy Loughnane T:Hughie Morrison	129	—	12156-	74	93	80	231d	—	—	+10	16.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Three wins last season; off since October, though, and untested on ground slower than good
1 (8)	Prophet's Dream Grey J:Charles Bishop T:Henrietta C Knight	J:Charles Bishop T:Henrietta C Knight	135	—	/1190-	80	93	81	305d	—	—	+13	16.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Dual 1m2f winner last May; absent since poor run in July; stable debut
10 (11)	Simpson's Paradox Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	127	b	751-07	72	89	32	26d	—	—	+4	6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has struggled in two 1m2f handicaps for new stable this spring; has a lot to prove
9 (6)	Green Power Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:John Gallagher	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:John Gallagher	128	—	3-2110	73	91	-	56d	—	—	+7	8.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Three-time AW winner since October; has a point to prove after duff effort last month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Indemnity	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Hakuna Babe	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Law Supreme	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Harswell Duke	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Youarenotforgiven	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Where's Freddy	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Mudskipper	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Azahara Palace	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Prophet's Dream	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Simpson's Paradox	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Green Power	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Law Supreme

21.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 12 Odds: 3.1

6/1

2nd

Prophet's Dream

16.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 8 Odds: 0.8

25/1

3rd

Azahara Palace

16.2

OR: 6 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Harswell Duke

15.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 6.9 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Indemnity

14.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Hakuna Babe

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Where's Freddy

9.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Mudskipper

9.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Youarenotforgiven

9.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Green Power

8.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Simpson's Paradox

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Indemnity	80	88	55
Prophet's Dream	80	93	81
Mudskipper	79	93	74
Youarenotforgiven	78	93	69
Law Supreme	75	91	68
Harswell Duke	75	93	67
Hakuna Babe	74	92	44
Azahara Palace	74	93	80
Green Power	73	91	—
Simpson's Paradox	72	89	32
Where's Freddy	67	94	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Harswell Duke	3d ago	Quick return
Law Supreme	16d ago	Fit
Hakuna Babe	22d ago	Fit
Indemnity	23d ago	Fit
Simpson's Paradox	26d ago	Fit
Where's Freddy	27d ago	Fit
Youarenotforgiven	29d ago	Fit
Mudskipper	42d ago	Fit
Green Power	56d ago	Fresh
Azahara Palace	231d ago	Long break
Prophet's Dream	305d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Prophet's Dream	Front Runner
Mudskipper	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.