Welcome Racing TV Members Handicap Chase – Cartmel

Cartmel

19:50

Welcome Racing TV Members Handicap Chase

Date 2024-05-29

Distance 2m1f61y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £5,073

Winning Time 4m 41.87s (slow by 35.87s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Melvich Bay (GB) Joe Williamson · Danny Brooke	10/1	Won
2nd	Robins Field (IRE) Ben Poste · Harriet Dickin	9/2	5.5
3rd	Contre Ordre (FR) Brian Hughes · Micky Hammond	5/1	5.5
4th	Fathers Advice (IRE) Bruce Lynn · R Mike Smith	4/1	3.5
5th	Methusalar (IRE) Sean Bowen · Peter & Michael Bowen	11/4F	0.3
6th	Barley Breeze (GB) Ross Chapman · Stuart Coltherd	28/1	1.75
7th	Libby (IRE) Jamie Hamilton · Rebecca Menzies	7/1	8.5
8th	Grand Soufle (FR) Charlotte Jones · James Moffatt	10/1	3.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Methusalar Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	142	p	U6PP-6	77	111	93	17d	—	—	-5	11.6	0.90/1	18/5 22%
Recent hurdle run was a step back in the right direction; still makes only limited appeal
9	Fathers Advice Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:R Mike Smith	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:R Mike Smith	142	p	66326-	77	110	91	104d	—	—	+1	16.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
25-race maiden; not easy to enthuse over but went close over hurdles here last summer
7	Contre Ordre Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	150	tb	6P26-5	85	112	105	13d	—	—	-1	12.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has very mixed record since Sedgefield win in November but is 4lb lower now
3	Libby Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Rebecca Menzies	158	v	344-33	93	109	95	14d	—	—	+2	14.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
0-5 over fences and 0-24 overall but seems to have been aided by a visor lately
12	Robins Field Bay J:Ben Poste T:Harriet Dickin	J:Ben Poste T:Harriet Dickin	142	tp	2226-6	77	107	90	22d	—	—	-2	10.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Second in three chases at start of this year but form has dipped lately
1	Grand Soufle Bay J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	168	—	21/40-	103	-	-	114d	—	—	+7	15.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Seen only twice again since winning maiden hurdle here in August 2022; chase debut today
11	Melvich Bay Bay J:Joe Williamson(3) T:Danny Brooke	J:Joe Williamson(3) T:Danny Brooke	142	p	B33U5-	77	109	91	76d	—	—	+3	10	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Stayed on for third on chase debut in February but needs more from out of the weights here
10	Barley Breeze Grey J:Ross Chapman T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Ross Chapman T:Stuart Coltherd	142	—	P/PP-U	77	-	-	10d	—	—	+4	7.8	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Has failed to complete his last four races; big leap of faith required to support him
NR	Sword Of Fate Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Leonard Kerr	J:NON-RUNNER T:Leonard Kerr	163	—	345-92	98	111	87	13d	—	—	—	12	—	—
Long in the tooth now but ran well at Perth a fortnight ago and is also suited by this C&D
NR	Guillaume Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Donald McCain	J:NON-RUNNER T:Donald McCain	157	tp	44164-	92	111	103	38d	—	—	—	15.5	—	—
Has plausible excuses for both defeats since Catterick win in December; cheekpieces on
NR	Augharue Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Stuart Coltherd	J:NON-RUNNER T:Stuart Coltherd	153	—	FP5P-2	88	108	96	19d	—	—	—	14.5	—	—
Ran game race from the front when very close second at Sedgefield this month
NR	Gouet Des Bruyeres Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Joanne Foster	J:NON-RUNNER T:Joanne Foster	150	t	46567-	85	107	84	162d	—	—	—	8.8	—	—
Ran okay on stable debut in November but absent since lesser effort in December

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Methusalar	18/5	18/5	18/5	18/5	18/5
Fathers Advice	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Contre Ordre	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Libby	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Robins Field	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Grand Soufle	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Melvich Bay	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Barley Breeze	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fathers Advice

16.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

Grand Soufle

15.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

3rd

Guillaume

15.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Augharue

14.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Libby

14.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Contre Ordre

12.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Sword Of Fate

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Methusalar

11.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.9

18/5

Robins Field

10.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Melvich Bay

OR: 6.8 Form: 1.4 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Gouet Des Bruyeres

8.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Barley Breeze

7.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Grand Soufle	103	—	—
Sword Of Fate	98	111	87
Libby	93	109	95
Guillaume	92	111	103
Augharue	88	108	96
Contre Ordre	85	112	105
Gouet Des Bruyeres	85	107	84
Methusalar	77	111	93
Fathers Advice	77	110	91
Robins Field	77	107	90
Melvich Bay	77	109	91
Barley Breeze	77	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Barley Breeze	10d ago	Quick return
Contre Ordre	13d ago	Quick return
Sword Of Fate	13d ago	Quick return
Libby	14d ago	Fit
Methusalar	17d ago	Fit
Augharue	19d ago	Fit
Robins Field	22d ago	Fit
Guillaume	38d ago	Fit
Melvich Bay	76d ago	Fresh
Fathers Advice	104d ago	Long break
Grand Soufle	114d ago	Long break
Gouet Des Bruyeres	162d ago	Long break