Junction Handicap – Tipperary

Tipperary

16:03

Junction Handicap

Date 2024-05-29

Distance 1m1f

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (1)	Venetian Bay J:Colin Keane T:Sean Davis	J:Colin Keane T:Sean Davis	135	—	000-76	58	82	81	90d	—	—	-18	10.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Turf/AW winner in 2022; stuck on a losing run now and slow starts have become a habit
13 (4)	Lisamaria Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Paul W Flynn	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Paul W Flynn	124	t	730-07	47	71	46	9d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Form claims on peak efforts but the good days are becoming harder to predict
8 (7)	Angel On Fire Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:P F McEnery	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:P F McEnery	129	t	5-0424	52	72	60	24d	—	—	-7	3.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Solid efforts of late in 7f-1m2f handicaps and slow ground seems ideal for him
9 (9)	So Messi Chestnut J:James Ryan(5) T:Patrick Martin	J:James Ryan(5) T:Patrick Martin	129	t	20-383	52	70	61	8d	—	—	-6	2.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Solid form claims on two of his last three efforts; has no ground concerns
3 (11)	Magic Charm Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Martin Hassett	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Martin Hassett	138	b	050-37	61	70	53	33d	—	—	-4	5.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Curragh winner who has shown he can cope with this higher mark; respected
7 (6)	Status Green Grey J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	131	p	69-002	54	80	46	15d	—	—	-4	2.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
First-time cheekpieces when bumping into one at Killarney (1m, soft)
6 (16)	Rock Basher Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Luke Comer	J:Declan McDonogh T:Luke Comer	132	—	90-283	55	77	49	47d	—	—	-3	2.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Unraced on ground this slow but hasn't been far away in two AW handicaps this year
11 (19)	Adhuil Bay J:Rebecca Parsons(10) T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J:Rebecca Parsons(10) T:Aidan Anthony Howard	127	b	24-205	50	71	38	20d	—	—	-3	1.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Now 0-22 but was runner-up for a third time at Gowran in April; must have some chance
12 (13)	Deuteronomy Bay J:Killian Leonard T:R P Burns	J:Killian Leonard T:R P Burns	124	t	407-08	47	73	44	9d	—	—	-3	0.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Fourth has been as good as it's got in his 19 career starts
14 (2)	Reckless Quality Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Patrick Martin	J:Robbie Colgan T:Patrick Martin	124	t	087-05	47	59	41	16d	—	—	-2	0.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Lightly raced and she was keeping on over 7.5f on handicap debut at Roscommon
16 (15)	Wonder Spirit Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:G A Kingston	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:G A Kingston	124	—	8-2828	47	74	29	16d	—	—	-1	0.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
AW winner who is 0-10 on turf after finishing eighth of 12 at Roscommon
4 (5)	Dazzling Spirit Bay J:Ben Coen T:Mrs Denise Foster	J:Ben Coen T:Mrs Denise Foster	135	b	7-0000	58	79	29	16d	—	—	0	2.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Four-time winner who goes on the ground but has lost her way and now tries blinkers
15 (8)	Talking Tough Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:S M Duffy	J:Nathan Crosse T:S M Duffy	124	tp	000-96	47	72	-	15d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Rarely wins at the best of times (2-67) and he was behind Status Green at Killarney
NR (10)	Bear Profit Bay J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Gerard O'Leary	142	—	706-07	65	77	49	22d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
Both wins over shorter but was seventh of 17 over 1m2f at Navan latest
NR (3)	Bobby K Brown J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael William O'Meara	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael William O'Meara	139	—	1504-9	62	73	-	30d	—	—	—	3	—	—
May strip fitter for his comeback run but these conditions are a concern
NR (12)	Genuine Jim Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:R P Burns	J:NON-RUNNER T:R P Burns	128	—	0/0-70	51	69	-	47d	—	—	—	0.3	—	—
Confined to the AW since debut run at Listowel and well held in both his handicaps
NR (14)	Bride Tree Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Sarah Dawson	J:Ronan Whelan T:Sarah Dawson	133	—	401-60	56	72	30	12d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Reserve; AW winner off 6lb lower; well held since and perhaps on a tough mark
NR (17)	Approach The Land Bay J:TBC T:Shane Crawley	J: T:Shane Crawley	127	t	690/	50	75	-	565d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Reserve; three defeats include a claimer; makes handicap debut after an absence
NR (18)	Girl Crush Grey J:TBC T:Garry Caldwell	J: T:Garry Caldwell	133	p	500/0-	56	70	-	373d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Reserve; maiden winner who has offered little in handicaps; tries cheekpieces

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Venetian	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Lisamaria	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Angel On Fire	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
So Messi	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Magic Charm	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Status Green	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Rock Basher	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Adhuil	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Deuteronomy	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Reckless Quality	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Wonder Spirit	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Dazzling Spirit	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Talking Tough	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Venetian

10.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

7/4

2nd

Magic Charm

5.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

3rd

Bear Profit

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Angel On Fire

3.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Lisamaria

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Bobby K

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

So Messi

2.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Status Green

2.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Rock Basher

2.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Dazzling Spirit

2.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Bride Tree

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Girl Crush

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Adhuil

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Deuteronomy

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Reckless Quality

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Wonder Spirit

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Talking Tough

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Genuine Jim

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Approach The Land

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bear Profit	65	77	49
Bobby K	62	73	—
Magic Charm	61	70	53
Venetian	58	82	81
Dazzling Spirit	58	79	29
Bride Tree	56	72	30
Girl Crush	56	70	—
Rock Basher	55	77	49
Status Green	54	80	46
Angel On Fire	52	72	60
So Messi	52	70	61
Genuine Jim	51	69	—
Adhuil	50	71	38
Approach The Land	50	75	—
Lisamaria	47	71	46
Deuteronomy	47	73	44
Reckless Quality	47	59	41
Wonder Spirit	47	74	29
Talking Tough	47	72	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
So Messi	8d ago	Quick return
Lisamaria	9d ago	Quick return
Deuteronomy	9d ago	Quick return
Bride Tree	12d ago	Quick return
Status Green	15d ago	Fit
Talking Tough	15d ago	Fit
Reckless Quality	16d ago	Fit
Wonder Spirit	16d ago	Fit
Dazzling Spirit	16d ago	Fit
Adhuil	20d ago	Fit
Bear Profit	22d ago	Fit
Angel On Fire	24d ago	Fit
Bobby K	30d ago	Fit
Magic Charm	33d ago	Fit
Rock Basher	47d ago	Fresh
Genuine Jim	47d ago	Fresh
Venetian	90d ago	Fresh
Girl Crush	373d ago	Long break
Approach The Land	565d ago	Long break