Fakenham Next Racing Friday 18th October Female Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Fakenham

16:45

Date 2024-06-02

Distance 2m4f1y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,922

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Star Legend Bay J:Lilly Pinchin T:James Owen	J:Lilly Pinchin T:James Owen	167	—	44213-	99	98	80	—	—	—	+6	32.8	0.50/1	2/1 33%
C&D winner in November; back over hurdles after creditable Flat run last month; big player
1	Nickelforce Bay J:Miss Gina Andrews T:Ben Case	J:Miss Gina Andrews T:Ben Case	168	—	24134-	100	101	92	40d	—	—	+8	25.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Consistent 5yo who has twice performed well since his breakthrough win in January
7	State Of Bliss Bay J:Ms Laura Ward(7) T:Neil King	J:Ms Laura Ward(7) T:Neil King	157	t	6054-4	89	105	96	15d	—	—	+1	13.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Has gone the wrong way since his small-field maiden win here a year ago; others preferred
9	Baby Sham Bay J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:Seamus Mullins	J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:Seamus Mullins	142	—	4409-5	74	105	94	24d	—	—	-1	8.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won twice last spring (once over C&D) but has looked out of sorts this year
6	Into The Sunset Bay J:Abbie McCain(5) T:Donald McCain	J:Abbie McCain(5) T:Donald McCain	158	—	51/74-	90	99	64	68d	—	—	+5	12.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Safely held on last two appearances but today's much quicker ground will suit much better
2	Beholden Bay J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Jamie Snowden	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Jamie Snowden	168	v	3/05-3	100	101	88	20d	—	—	+13	18.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Lightly raced in recent years but back from latest layoff with two decent runs this spring
8	Rafferty Bay J:Miss Ellie Callwood(7) T:L J Morgan	J:Miss Ellie Callwood(7) T:L J Morgan	146	—	64694-	78	99	98	90d	—	—	+4	8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Regressive 10yo who was badly out of form over hurdles and fences last season
4	Complete Fantasy Bay J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Chris Honour	J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Chris Honour	163	—	6/502-	95	93	-	—	—	—	+9	12.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
0-25 under all codes when trained in Ireland and not easy to weigh up on this stable debut
5	Fine By Her Bay J:Miss Jessica Milly Smith(7) T:Julian Smith	J:Miss Jessica Milly Smith(7) T:Julian Smith	160	—	/1VPR-	92	100	96	139d	—	—	+9	11.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Course winner over hurdles; not seen since two non-completions over fences in the winter

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Star Legend	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Nickelforce	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
State Of Bliss	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Baby Sham	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Into The Sunset	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Beholden	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Rafferty	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Complete Fantasy	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Fine By Her	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Star Legend

32.8

OR: 12.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 8

2/1

2nd

Nickelforce

25.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Beholden

18.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

State Of Bliss

13.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Into The Sunset

12.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Complete Fantasy

12.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Fine By Her

11.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 0.5 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Baby Sham

8.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Rafferty

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nickelforce	100	101	92
Beholden	100	101	88
Star Legend	99	98	80
Complete Fantasy	95	93	—
Fine By Her	92	100	96
Into The Sunset	90	99	64
State Of Bliss	89	105	96
Rafferty	78	99	98
Baby Sham	74	105	94

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
State Of Bliss	15d ago	Fit
Beholden	20d ago	Fit
Baby Sham	24d ago	Fit
Nickelforce	40d ago	Fit
Into The Sunset	68d ago	Fresh
Rafferty	90d ago	Fresh
Fine By Her	139d ago	Long break
Star Legend	—	—
Complete Fantasy	—	—