Stephen Roscoe Amateur Jockeys' Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

13:45

Stephen Roscoe Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

Date 2024-06-13

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,464

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (13)	Expert Witness Bay J:Mr Ned Sangster(7) T:Sir Mark Todd	J:Mr Ned Sangster(7) T:Sir Mark Todd	156	t	545-22	70	62	48	22d	—	—	-11	11.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Back from break with two creditablre seconds this spring; commands respect
9 (4)	Artavian Bay J:Mr Frederick Tett T:Patrick Chamings	J:Mr Frederick Tett T:Patrick Chamings	147	—	684-35	61	60	-	22d	—	—	-7	6.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Close third on seasonal/handicap debut (1m3f, AW); may still have potential
14 (3)	Albus Anne Bay J:Miss Megan Fox(5) T:Jimmy Fox	J:Miss Megan Fox(5) T:Jimmy Fox	138	—	4124-3	52	63	53	30d	—	—	-5	6.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Consistent mare; placed on last month's seasonal debut; probably won't be far away
3 (8)	Lenny's Spirit b/br J:Miss Sophie Smith T:Ed Dunlop	J:Miss Sophie Smith T:Ed Dunlop	156	t	76-940	70	62	20	30d	—	—	-3	8.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won three times (including dead-heat in this race) under Sophie Smith last year
10 (9)	Fiftyshadesaresdev Grey J:Miss Becky Smith T:Micky Hammond	J:Miss Becky Smith T:Micky Hammond	146	—	/7-337	60	63	40	20d	—	—	-3	4.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Placed twice this spring but didn't fire last time and is now 0-20
5 (1)	Anglo Saxson Chestnut J:Mr Lewis Kent(5) T:Patrick Owens	J:Mr Lewis Kent(5) T:Patrick Owens	151	—	4314-3	65	58	46	51d	—	—	+2	8.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Made pleasing seasonal debut but holds no secrets from the handicapper
1 (5)	Blue Yonder Grey J:Miss Brodie Hampson T:Archie Watson	J:Miss Brodie Hampson T:Archie Watson	156	—	-15009	70	64	-	49d	—	—	+2	8.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Safely held over 7f on first four stable starts but today's trip ought to suit much better
4 (15)	Finn Russell Brown J:Miss Katie Martin(7) T:Ian Williams	J:Miss Katie Martin(7) T:Ian Williams	153	—	1-4483	67	61	54	10d	—	—	+7	13	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Belied 33-1 odds when third over 1m last week; tendency to race too freely remains a worry
6 (7)	Gert Lush Bay J:Miss Megan Jordan(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Miss Megan Jordan(3) T:Roger Teal	150	—	280-05	64	64	24	20d	—	—	-2	5.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Will be suited by today's move back up in trip and goes well for Megan Jordan
13 (6)	Change Of Fortune Chestnut J:Miss Jessica Llewellyn(5) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Miss Jessica Llewellyn(5) T:Bernard Llewellyn	142	—	2486-0	56	64	60	20d	—	—	-1	2.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Regressive maiden who finished well down the field on last month's seasonal debut
12 (2)	Champagne City Chestnut J:Miss Margot Scudamore(7) T:B F Brookhouse	J:Miss Margot Scudamore(7) T:B F Brookhouse	145	p	-89664	59	61	-	43d	—	—	0	3.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Dual-purpose veteran; this year's AW form has been very underwhelming
7 (11)	Royal Observatory Chestnut J:Miss Lauren Frost(5) T:Kevin Frost	J:Miss Lauren Frost(5) T:Kevin Frost	148	—	05600	62	61	12	29d	—	—	+1	3.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Struggled at triple-digit odds in first two handicaps (both 1m4f)
8 (14)	Flame Of Kodiac Bay J:Miss Amy Tucker(7) T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Miss Amy Tucker(7) T:John & Rhys Flint	148	p	79-106	62	60	32	13d	—	—	+1	3.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Shock 1m winner last month but soundly beaten twice since (1m2f/1m4f)
NR (12)	Sea Of Charm Bay J:Mr William Dunlop(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Mr William Dunlop(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	146	v	234570	60	63	-	36d	—	—	—	3.1	—	—
Well handicapped on winter AW form but recent efforts have been disappointing
NR (10)	Stormingin Grey J:Mr Jude Fernandes(7) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Mr Jude Fernandes(7) T:Gary & Josh Moore	137	b	75-812	51	62	35	56d	—	—	—	0.3	—	—
Veteran; won off basement mark on AW in February; may find this race too competitive

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Expert Witness	3/1	11/4	11/4	3/1	3/1
Artavian	5/1	11/2	5/1	6/1	5/1
Albus Anne	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Lenny's Spirit	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1	13/2
Fiftyshadesaresdev	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Anglo Saxson	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Blue Yonder	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	14/1
Finn Russell	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Gert Lush	12/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Change Of Fortune	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Champagne City	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Royal Observatory	40/1	28/1	33/1	22/1	33/1
Flame Of Kodiac	66/1	33/1	40/1	25/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Finn Russell

OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

12/1

2nd

Expert Witness

11.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.9

3/1

3rd

Blue Yonder

8.9

OR: 5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Anglo Saxson

8.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Lenny's Spirit

8.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Artavian

6.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Albus Anne

6.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Gert Lush

5.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Fiftyshadesaresdev

4.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Royal Observatory

3.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Flame Of Kodiac

3.8

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Champagne City

3.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Sea Of Charm

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Change Of Fortune

2.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Stormingin

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Expert Witness	70	62	48
Lenny's Spirit	70	62	20
Blue Yonder	70	64	—
Finn Russell	67	61	54
Anglo Saxson	65	58	46
Gert Lush	64	64	24
Royal Observatory	62	61	12
Flame Of Kodiac	62	60	32
Artavian	61	60	—
Fiftyshadesaresdev	60	63	40
Sea Of Charm	60	63	—
Champagne City	59	61	—
Change Of Fortune	56	64	60
Albus Anne	52	63	53
Stormingin	51	62	35

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Finn Russell	10d ago	Quick return
Flame Of Kodiac	13d ago	Quick return
Fiftyshadesaresdev	20d ago	Fit
Gert Lush	20d ago	Fit
Change Of Fortune	20d ago	Fit
Expert Witness	22d ago	Fit
Artavian	22d ago	Fit
Royal Observatory	29d ago	Fit
Albus Anne	30d ago	Fit
Lenny's Spirit	30d ago	Fit
Sea Of Charm	36d ago	Fit
Champagne City	43d ago	Fit
Blue Yonder	49d ago	Fresh
Anglo Saxson	51d ago	Fresh
Stormingin	56d ago	Fresh