Savills Handicap Hurdle – Worcester

Worcester

17:15

Savills Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-06-19

Distance 2m

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Melton Mossy Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	158	t	4400-1	85	98	87	20d	—	—	-9	32.1	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Improved to win quite comfortably on recent handicap debut; now with new stable
2	Lucky Lover Boy Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	166	tp	853-61	93	96	67	13d	—	—	+1	14.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Won off career-low mark this month and ought to remain competitive after 3lb rise
1	Johnny Boom Chestnut J:Kielan Woods T:Shaun Lycett	J:Kielan Woods T:Shaun Lycett	168	t	59/24-	95	98	82	—	—	—	+3	14.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-6 over hurdles but has good claims of judged on Taunton second in November
3	Well Vicky Bay J:David Bass T:Alastair Ralph	J:David Bass T:Alastair Ralph	161	t	/PP-05	88	95	58	24d	—	—	+4	11.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Generally disappointing since quick hat-trick in February 2023 but ran quite well in May
11	Gorcombe Moonshine Bay J:Harry Kimber T:Robert Walford	J:Harry Kimber T:Robert Walford	151	p	U4F-34	78	95	69	14d	—	—	+1	9.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Winning chaser; twice in the frame since switched back to hurdling his season; in the mix
7	Pittsburg Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Ryan Potter	J:Sean Bowen T:Ryan Potter	156	tp	230-50	83	96	-	12d	—	—	+1	11.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Below form under all codes in recent weeks and needs to up his game
9	Invictus De Brion Bay J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	154	—	695PP/	81	-	-	436d	—	—	+3	9.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Pulled up in first two handicaps and absent since April 2023
10	Ten Ten Twenty Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:D J Jeffreys	J:Tom Bellamy T:D J Jeffreys	151	t	66536-	78	97	81	—	—	—	+5	10.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Very inconsistent since C&D novice win in summer 2022 but can't be ruled out
8	Razzo Italiano Brown J:Robert Dunne T:Gary Hanmer	J:Robert Dunne T:Gary Hanmer	155	tp	105P/9	82	94	46	21d	—	—	+6	8.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well beaten in plating company last month, after a long absence; not the obvious answer
4	Pour Me A Drink Chestnut J:Nick Scholfield T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Nick Scholfield T:Jim & Suzi Best	159	—	F/97/	86	96	-	—	—	—	+7	9.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Fair on the Flat; not seen over hurdles since 2020 but very unexposed in this sphere
NR	Eloso b/br J:NON-RUNNER T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jim & Suzi Best	157	—	880-	84	88	56	—	—	—	—	8.5	—	—
Struggled in three novice/maiden hurdles last season but his Flat ability offers hope

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Melton Mossy	11/10	11/8	evn	6/5	11/10
Lucky Lover Boy	6/1	5/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Johnny Boom	17/2	15/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Well Vicky	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Gorcombe Moonshine	11/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Pittsburg	16/1	12/1	14/1	11/1	16/1
Invictus De Brion	14/1	12/1	14/1	11/1	14/1
Ten Ten Twenty	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Razzo Italiano	28/1	25/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Pour Me A Drink	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Melton Mossy

32.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 10 Odds: 13.3

11/8

2nd

Lucky Lover Boy

14.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Johnny Boom

14.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Well Vicky

11.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Pittsburg

11.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

16/1

Ten Ten Twenty

10.8

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Pour Me A Drink

9.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Invictus De Brion

9.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Gorcombe Moonshine

9.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Razzo Italiano

8.9

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Eloso

8.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Johnny Boom	95	98	82
Lucky Lover Boy	93	96	67
Well Vicky	88	95	58
Pour Me A Drink	86	96	—
Melton Mossy	85	98	87
Eloso	84	88	56
Pittsburg	83	96	—
Razzo Italiano	82	94	46
Invictus De Brion	81	—	—
Gorcombe Moonshine	78	95	69
Ten Ten Twenty	78	97	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pittsburg	12d ago	Quick return
Lucky Lover Boy	13d ago	Quick return
Gorcombe Moonshine	14d ago	Fit
Melton Mossy	20d ago	Fit
Razzo Italiano	21d ago	Fit
Well Vicky	24d ago	Fit
Invictus De Brion	436d ago	Long break
Johnny Boom	—	—
Ten Ten Twenty	—	—
Pour Me A Drink	—	—
Eloso	—	—