Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) – Ascot

Ascot

18:15

Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2024-06-19

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £62,381

Runners (28)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
22 (6)	Shadow Army Bay J:James Doyle T:Richard Fahey	J:James Doyle T:Richard Fahey	131	—	1	-	101	88	35d	—	—	-2	15	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Won at York on debut and that form reads well; highly likeable prospect; on the shortlist
1 (27)	Ain't Nobody Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Kevin Ryan	J:Jamie Spencer T:Kevin Ryan	131	—	1	-	94	88	19d	—	—	0	14	1.50/1	6/1 14%
8-1 win at Carlisle on debut and Jamie Spencer excels on this straight course; a possible
24 (15)	Treasure Isle Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	131	—	21	-	102	72	31d	—	—	+3	17.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Made all at Naas on second start; O'Brien/Moore have won 3 of last 9 runnings; respected
7 (12)	Celtic Chieftain Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	131	—	1	-	100	85	11d	—	—	0	14	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Looked green when winning on recent debut at Navan; open to considerable improvement
12 (18)	Hawaiian Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	131	—	16	-	97	81	27d	—	—	+2	8.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Newbury debut win worked out extremely well; reportedly unsuited by soft ground at Sandown
16 (23)	Pont Neuf Chestnut J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	131	—	11	-	97	68	34d	—	—	+12	18.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
2-2 after wins at Kempton and Salisbury; latest form has worked out well; chance
8 (1)	Cheval de Guerre Grey Roan J:Oisin Murphy T:Eddie Kenneally	J:Oisin Murphy T:Eddie Kenneally	131	t	2	-	94	-	55d	—	—	0	6.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Showed blistering speed on sole run in US (5.5f); could be tough to catch down to bare 5f
11 (26)	Gabaldon Grey Roan J:Emisael Jaramillo T:Jose Francisco D'Angelo	J:Emisael Jaramillo T:Jose Francisco D'Angelo	131	tb	1	-	95	-	39d	—	—	+6	11.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Displayed bundles of pace and clung on at Gulfstream on debut; no surprise to see bold bid
3 (5)	Artagnan Bay J:William Buick T:K R Burke	J:William Buick T:K R Burke	131	—	2	-	88	73	14d	—	—	+2	6.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Runner-up on recent debut but this half-brother to Marshman could have lots more to offer
28 (22)	Aviation Time Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Hughes	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Hughes	126	—	13	-	96	70	11d	—	—	+7	11.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Had to wait for a clear run when third in Hilary Needler; each-way possible
23 (25)	Sir Yoshi Bay J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	131	—	231	-	94	82	21d	—	—	+11	15.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Won Tipperary maiden on third start; others have better form but he's worth a second look
25 (17)	Vingegaard Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	131	—	1	-	85	77	36d	—	—	+8	10.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Cosy win at Chepstow on debut but others have a lot more substance to their form
13 (4)	Honorary American Bay J:Joel Rosario T:Wesley A Ward	J:Joel Rosario T:Wesley A Ward	131	b	3	-	83	-	56d	—	—	+1	3.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Only third on debut but that was on dirt; US trainer won this in 2009 and 2014
21 (14)	Sex On Fire Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Spencer	J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Spencer	131	—	13	-	92	80	49d	—	—	+8	10.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Third over C&D last month and that form has been franked, but further improvement needed
9 (2)	End Of Story Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Kevin Ryan	J:Kevin Stott T:Kevin Ryan	131	—	15	-	88	76	19d	—	—	+6	7.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won at Thirsk on debut then fair fifth in the Woodcote at Epsom; others appeal more
18 (19)	Rock N Roll Rocket Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	131	—	15	-	90	46	22d	—	—	+6	7.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Form of debut win at Cork has worked out well; soft ground maybe didn't suit at Tipperary
19 (28)	Rudi's Apple Chestnut J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	131	—	3	-	83	71	21d	—	—	+2	3.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Promising third on debut at Tipperary; likely improver, but it's very much needed
15 (11)	Karl Carlston Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Raphael E Freire	J:Rossa Ryan T:Raphael E Freire	131	—	3	-	74	69	35d	—	—	+2	3.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Inexperience evident when third on debut at Bath; may be best watched in this hot race
17 (13)	Reposado Bay J:David Egan T:Raphael E Freire	J:David Egan T:Raphael E Freire	131	—	724	-	93	87	27d	—	—	+2	3.9	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Has shown considerable ability (including over C&D) but now 0-3; vulnerable once more
6 (9)	Calyxoh Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Billy Loughnane T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	131	—	24	-	85	75	15d	—	—	+2	3.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Went close on debut at Newmarket; fourth at Leicester since; others have stronger claims
27 (10)	Zabeel Road Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	14	-	84	78	35d	—	—	+6	7.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Won at Ayr on debut before solid fourth at York; others probably possess greater potential
26 (16)	Weissmuller Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	131	—	3	-	79	72	17d	—	—	+2	3.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Encouraging third on debut at Nottingham but needs to find a chunk of improvement here
4 (24)	Bretton Wood Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:James Owen	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:James Owen	131	b	555	-	79	50	23d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Has shown ability when fifth on all three starts but he'd be a surprise winner today
20 (8)	Sensorium Grey J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	131	—	3	-	75	67	25d	—	—	+2	3.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Encouraging third on debut at Windsor but unlikely to be good enough to threaten today
10 (3)	Fuji Mountain Grey J:Callum Shepherd T:Declan Carroll	J:Callum Shepherd T:Declan Carroll	131	—	72	-	85	79	17d	—	—	+4	5.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Runner-up at Nottingham on second run; no match for winner; needs another big step forward
2 (20)	Arabian Cobra Grey J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	131	—	625	-	88	83	13d	—	—	+2	4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Has shown promise but he's 0-3 and up against it today
5 (7)	Brosay Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Diego Dias	J:Gavin Ryan T:Diego Dias	131	—	5313	-	89	75	22d	—	—	+11	11.7	37.50/1	150/1 1%
One win from his four starts, in a heavy-ground Goodwood novice; improvement is needed
NR (21)	Jm Jhingree Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	131	—	5137	-	87	70	1d	—	—	—	7.1	—	—
Redcar maiden winner; only seventh at Catterick yesterday and he'd be a shock winner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Shadow Army	4/1	7/2	5/1	7/2	4/1
Ain't Nobody	5/1	6/1	11/2	5/1	5/1
Treasure Isle	11/2	9/2	5/1	9/2	11/2
Celtic Chieftain	6/1	6/1	7/1	9/2	6/1
Hawaiian	14/1	16/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Pont Neuf	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Cheval de Guerre	14/1	14/1	16/1	12/1	14/1
Gabaldon	22/1	20/1	16/1	14/1	22/1
Artagnan	25/1	25/1	25/1	16/1	25/1
Aviation Time	22/1	20/1	20/1	16/1	22/1
Sir Yoshi	25/1	25/1	28/1	16/1	22/1
Vingegaard	25/1	28/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Honorary American	40/1	40/1	33/1	28/1	40/1
Sex On Fire	40/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
End Of Story	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Rock N Roll Rocket	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
Rudi's Apple	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1
Karl Carlston	80/1	100/1	80/1	66/1	80/1
Reposado	100/1	80/1	50/1	66/1	100/1
Calyxoh	80/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	80/1
Zabeel Road	100/1	100/1	80/1	66/1	100/1
Weissmuller	100/1	125/1	80/1	100/1	100/1
Bretton Wood	125/1	80/1	125/1	50/1	100/1
Sensorium	100/1	100/1	80/1	66/1	100/1
Fuji Mountain	125/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	100/1
Arabian Cobra	150/1	100/1	100/1	40/1	125/1
Brosay	150/1	125/1	80/1	100/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pont Neuf

18.9

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 1.9

12/1

2nd

Treasure Isle

17.9

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

Sir Yoshi

15.8

OR: 0 Form: 14.6 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Shadow Army

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5

5/1

Ain't Nobody

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4

6/1

Celtic Chieftain

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4

7/1

Brosay

11.7

OR: 0 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Gabaldon

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Aviation Time

11.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Vingegaard

10.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Sex On Fire

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Hawaiian

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

16/1

End Of Story

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Rock N Roll Rocket

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Zabeel Road

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Jm Jhingree

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0

—

Cheval de Guerre

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Artagnan

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Fuji Mountain

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Arabian Cobra

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Reposado

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Calyxoh

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Honorary American

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Rudi's Apple

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Karl Carlston

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Sensorium

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Weissmuller

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Bretton Wood

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Shadow Army	—	101	88
Ain't Nobody	—	94	88
Treasure Isle	—	102	72
Celtic Chieftain	—	100	85
Hawaiian	—	97	81
Pont Neuf	—	97	68
Cheval de Guerre	—	94	—
Gabaldon	—	95	—
Artagnan	—	88	73
Aviation Time	—	96	70
Sir Yoshi	—	94	82
Vingegaard	—	85	77
Honorary American	—	83	—
Sex On Fire	—	92	80
End Of Story	—	88	76
Rock N Roll Rocket	—	90	46
Rudi's Apple	—	83	71
Karl Carlston	—	74	69
Reposado	—	93	87
Calyxoh	—	85	75
Zabeel Road	—	84	78
Weissmuller	—	79	72
Bretton Wood	—	79	50
Sensorium	—	75	67
Fuji Mountain	—	85	79
Arabian Cobra	—	88	83
Brosay	—	89	75
Jm Jhingree	—	87	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jm Jhingree	1d ago	Quick return
Celtic Chieftain	11d ago	Quick return
Aviation Time	11d ago	Quick return
Arabian Cobra	13d ago	Quick return
Artagnan	14d ago	Fit
Calyxoh	15d ago	Fit
Weissmuller	17d ago	Fit
Fuji Mountain	17d ago	Fit
Ain't Nobody	19d ago	Fit
End Of Story	19d ago	Fit
Sir Yoshi	21d ago	Fit
Rudi's Apple	21d ago	Fit
Rock N Roll Rocket	22d ago	Fit
Brosay	22d ago	Fit
Bretton Wood	23d ago	Fit
Sensorium	25d ago	Fit
Hawaiian	27d ago	Fit
Reposado	27d ago	Fit
Treasure Isle	31d ago	Fit
Pont Neuf	34d ago	Fit
Shadow Army	35d ago	Fit
Karl Carlston	35d ago	Fit
Zabeel Road	35d ago	Fit
Vingegaard	36d ago	Fit
Gabaldon	39d ago	Fit
Sex On Fire	49d ago	Fresh
Cheval de Guerre	55d ago	Fresh
Honorary American	56d ago	Fresh