Queen's Vase (Group 2) – Ascot

Ascot

15:05

Queen's Vase (Group 2)

Date 2024-06-19

Distance 1m6f34y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £150,282

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (5)	Illinois Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	128	—	13-32	106	117	107	39d	—	—	-7	23.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Second in the Lingfield Derby Trial and looks sure to be suited by this extra yardage
3 (2)	Highbury Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	128	—	31	98	110	96	38d	—	—	+9	30.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Looks sure to make further progress after his 1m4f maiden win at Leopardstown (good)
7 (8)	Meydaan Bay J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	1-531	104	114	100	25d	—	—	+11	24.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Held by Illinois at Lingfield; lucky 1m3f Listed winner at Goodwood but 1m6f makes appeal
1 (7)	Birdman Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	11	101	110	24	32d	—	—	+19	34.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Too strong late on for his rivals in a 1m4f maiden at Cork and 1m5f Listed race at Navan
12 (10)	The Equator Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:A P O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:A P O'Brien	128	—	4-14	101	107	83	24d	—	—	+6	15.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Lowest rated of the four O'Brien runners but should improve for the extra half mile
8 (12)	Mina Rashid Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	h	36-1	89	104	96	40d	—	—	+16	21.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Late bid won 1m4f Chester maiden; others have achieved more but this trip will surely suit
5 (9)	Imperial Sovereign Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	128	—	1-26	95	106	91	39d	—	—	+16	19	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Beaten nearly 12l in the Lingfield Derby Trial (11.6f, good) latest, behind two of these
6 (4)	Lavender Hill Mob Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	128	—	133914	96	106	78	25d	—	—	+19	20.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
1m3f Goodwood Listed race developed as he waited for room but Meydaan beat him nearly 4l
10 (11)	Pappano Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	3-165	90	101	79	25d	—	—	+11	12.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
While he should stay 1m6f in time, others look far more ready for this Group 2 test
11 (3)	See The Green Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	128	—	421	74	90	78	27d	—	—	+18	20.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Scrambled win at 4-9 in a Catterick maiden (1m4f, soft) is no recommendation for this race
9 (1)	Mr Hampstead Bay J:David Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:David Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	2-430	86	101	92	18d	—	—	+12	12.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Outgunned by Mina Rashid in 1m4f Chester maiden; 80-1 when remote in the Derby 18 days ago
NR (6)	Grosvenor Square Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:A P O'Brien	J:NON-RUNNER T:A P O'Brien	128	—	131-3	106	117	103	42d	—	—	—	17	—	—
Favourite, Chester Vase 3rd; may have come on markedly and could prove well suited by 1m6f

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Illinois	2/1	15/8	15/8
Highbury	3/1	11/4	3/1
Meydaan	11/2	11/2	5/1
Birdman	13/2	13/2	13/2
The Equator	8/1	9/1	17/2
Mina Rashid	18/1	20/1	18/1
Imperial Sovereign	28/1	28/1	28/1
Lavender Hill Mob	50/1	50/1	50/1
Pappano	66/1	66/1	66/1
See The Green	66/1	66/1	66/1
Mr Hampstead	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Birdman

34.2

OR: 12.8 Form: 17 Odds: 4.4

13/2

2nd

Highbury

30.3

OR: 12 Form: 12.1 Odds: 6.2

3/1

3rd

Meydaan

24.1

OR: 13.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Illinois

23.4

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

2/1

Mina Rashid

21.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Lavender Hill Mob

20.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.5

50/1

See The Green

20.2

OR: 6 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Imperial Sovereign

OR: 11.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Grosvenor Square

OR: 14 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

The Equator

15.3

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Mr Hampstead

12.8

OR: 9 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Pappano

12.5

OR: 10 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Illinois	106	117	107
Grosvenor Square	106	117	103
Meydaan	104	114	100
Birdman	101	110	24
The Equator	101	107	83
Highbury	98	110	96
Lavender Hill Mob	96	106	78
Imperial Sovereign	95	106	91
Pappano	90	101	79
Mina Rashid	89	104	96
Mr Hampstead	86	101	92
See The Green	74	90	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mr Hampstead	18d ago	Fit
The Equator	24d ago	Fit
Meydaan	25d ago	Fit
Lavender Hill Mob	25d ago	Fit
Pappano	25d ago	Fit
See The Green	27d ago	Fit
Birdman	32d ago	Fit
Highbury	38d ago	Fit
Illinois	39d ago	Fit
Imperial Sovereign	39d ago	Fit
Mina Rashid	40d ago	Fit
Grosvenor Square	42d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Highbury	Prominent
Pappano	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.