Pravha Handicap – Down Royal

Down Royal

19:35

Pravha Handicap

Date 2024-06-21

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,785

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (7)	Giuseppe Cassioli Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	141	—	240-31	77	84	66	8d	—	—	-15	16.8	15/8 35%
Ended long losing run with a first turf success at Leopardstown, up 9lb for last two runs
1 (1)	Volatile Analyst Bay J:W J Lee T:Jack W Davison	J:W J Lee T:Jack W Davison	142	v	270898	78	82	73	15d	—	—	-8	13.2	7/2 22%
Listed winner in 2022, below his best in four starts on turf this season, change of stable
5 (4)	Red Heel Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	132	—	-40025	68	86	58	5d	—	—	-4	12.7	5/1 17%
Went close over C&D late last month, failed to reproduce that form at Gowran last Sunday
7 (6)	Boadicea Belle Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Matthew J Smith	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Matthew J Smith	126	p	-14801	62	81	66	8d	—	—	+6	18.6	15/2 12%
Made turf breakthrough at Leopardstown last week, 7lb higher but useful 5lb claimed
4 (3)	Distillate Chestnut J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	133	t	000169	69	88	75	16d	—	—	+3	12.4	10/1 9%
Won over this trip at Cork last month, finished behind Red Heel over C&D on next start
8 (5)	Wild Mountain Bay J:Killian Leonard T:Patrick J McKenna	J:Killian Leonard T:Patrick J McKenna	119	tb	400-06	55	81	51	22d	—	—	-4	3.2	14/1 7%
Encouraging run at Fairyhouse last time, 0-12 on turf, others preferred on that account
6 (2)	Not Just Yet Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Daniel James Murphy	130	—	52999-	66	87	76	182d	—	—	+2	6.7	18/1 5%
Lost form after second at Dundalk last November, lacks a recent run and has changed stable
3 (8)	Ransom Bay J:J M Sheridan T:H D McGuigan	J:J M Sheridan T:H D McGuigan	141	—	-33100	77	84	44	105d	—	—	+11	14	33/1 3%
Three-time Dundalk 1m winner, in rear in two AW runs for this stable, 0-12 record on turf

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Giuseppe Cassioli	7/4	15/8	7/4	6/4	7/4
Volatile Analyst	3/1	7/2	7/2	3/1	7/2
Red Heel	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Boadicea Belle	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Distillate	9/1	9/1	8/1	10/1	17/2
Wild Mountain	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Not Just Yet	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Ransom	28/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Boadicea Belle

18.6

OR: 3 Form: 12 Odds: 3.6

15/2

2nd

Giuseppe Cassioli

16.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10

15/8

3rd

Ransom

OR: 6.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Volatile Analyst

13.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Red Heel

12.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.7

5/1

Distillate

12.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Not Just Yet

6.7

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Wild Mountain

3.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Volatile Analyst	78	82	73
Giuseppe Cassioli	77	84	66
Ransom	77	84	44
Distillate	69	88	75
Red Heel	68	86	58
Not Just Yet	66	87	76
Boadicea Belle	62	81	66
Wild Mountain	55	81	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Red Heel	5d ago	Quick return
Giuseppe Cassioli	8d ago	Quick return
Boadicea Belle	8d ago	Quick return
Volatile Analyst	15d ago	Fit
Distillate	16d ago	Fit
Wild Mountain	22d ago	Fit
Ransom	105d ago	Long break
Not Just Yet	182d ago	Long break