Laura Nicholas Memorial Handicap – Down Royal

Down Royal

20:10

Laura Nicholas Memorial Handicap

Date 2024-06-21

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Hijo De La Luna Bay J:Killian Leonard T:Stephen McConville	J:Killian Leonard T:Stephen McConville	138	—	-08603	61	71	53	21d	—	—	-13	14.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
14-1 when just failing to get up in a C&D handicap last month; should be involved
6 (16)	Saffredi Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	130	h	6-089	62	64	31	8d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Remains capable of much better than she has shown; could contend here despite a bad draw
9 (3)	Clarinbridge Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Leanne Breen	J:J M Sheridan T:Leanne Breen	127	—	9-4452	50	74	63	9d	—	—	-10	4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Fine run in defeat over this trip at Limerick two weeks ago; contender off the same mark
12 (6)	Sadiqaa Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:H D McGuigan	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:H D McGuigan	126	v	0-942d	49	72	43	37d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Winless since September 2021; near miss over 5.5f last month; runs Down Royal 8.10 Friday
13 (10)	Blue Wood Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Kevin Michael Smith	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Kevin Michael Smith	124	t	005-37	47	55	43	87d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Only win came at Dundalk last year and a marginally better performer on that surface
10 (12)	The Stray Sod Grey J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	127	—	0-0704	50	71	51	9d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Not far off Clarinbridge at Limerick two weeks ago when hampered; respected
4 (4)	Luxury Island Bay J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	133	—	6650	65	63	6	7d	—	—	-1	5.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Hampered on her handicap debut over 6f at Fairyhouse last Friday; could do much better
3 (14)	Mulgrave Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	137	ht	109000	60	73	35	5d	—	—	-3	4.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
No trace of his best form since Feb despite being 20lb well in on turf; others preferred
8 (17)	Perfect Curves Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Gordon Elliott	128	p	0/0059	51	63	23	19d	—	—	-4	2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Failed to step up in first time cheekpieces (retained) at Listowel; others preferred
1 (9)	Mullacash Buzz Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Thomas Dowling	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Thomas Dowling	140	t	41-200	63	68	56	8d	—	—	-1	4.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Runner-up in a Dundalk handicap in January but well beaten twice since
R17 (1)	Rock Dandy Chestnut J:Jamie Powell(3) T:P J F Murphy	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:P J F Murphy	136	b	61100-	59	69	62	245d	—	—	+7	11.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Third reserve; well beaten twice after winning a Roscommon handicap in September
14 (15)	Silver Nemo Grey J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:Lee Smyth	J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:Lee Smyth	124	tb	-00070	47	67	29	13d	—	—	-2	0.8	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Both wins have been on polytrack; makes no appeal on any of his form this year
R16 (13)	Tartaraghan Bay J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:John C McConnell	129	—	45500-	61	69	46	252d	—	—	0	3.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Second reserve; juvenile form tailed off badly last year; best watched after 8 months off
NR (11)	Navorrosse Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:G A Kingston	J:NON-RUNNER T:G A Kingston	130	—	80-782	53	72	-	8d	—	—	—	0.8	—	—
N/R
NR (2)	The Bog Bank Bay J:Alyse Clarke(10) T:T G McCourt	J:Alyse Clarke(10) T:T G McCourt	130	tp	9-0674	53	68	41	44d	—	—	—	0.8	—	—
Okay run at Gowran; down now to a mark of 53 and a definite contender on her best form
NR (8)	Hope And Innocence Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	126	—	-76470	49	69	40	22d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Bits and pieces of ability in 15 starts but not enough to suggest she can be a factor
NR (7)	Rebecca's Girl Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Andrew Kinirons	J:Robbie Colgan T:Andrew Kinirons	131	v	-50650	54	64	45	7d	—	—	—	1	—	—
First reserve; a little unlucky in the first-time visor at Fairyhouse last month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Hijo De La Luna	9/4	5/2	9/4	85/40	2/1
Saffredi	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Clarinbridge	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Sadiqaa	15/2	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Blue Wood	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1	9/1
The Stray Sod	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Luxury Island	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Mulgrave	12/1	12/1	11/1	10/1	14/1
Perfect Curves	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Mullacash Buzz	16/1	16/1	14/1	12/1	20/1
Rock Dandy	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	25/1
Silver Nemo	80/1	33/1	40/1	28/1	66/1
Tartaraghan	80/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hijo De La Luna

14.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 8.4

5/2

2nd

Rock Dandy

11.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 8 Odds: 1.1

25/1

3rd

Saffredi

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Luxury Island

5.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Mullacash Buzz

4.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Mulgrave

4.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Clarinbridge

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Tartaraghan

3.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

80/1

Sadiqaa

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Blue Wood

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

The Stray Sod

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Perfect Curves

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Rebecca's Girl

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Silver Nemo

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

80/1

Navorrosse

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

The Bog Bank

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Hope And Innocence

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Luxury Island	65	63	6
Mullacash Buzz	63	68	56
Saffredi	62	64	31
Hijo De La Luna	61	71	53
Tartaraghan	61	69	46
Mulgrave	60	73	35
Rock Dandy	59	69	62
Rebecca's Girl	54	64	45
Navorrosse	53	72	—
The Bog Bank	53	68	41
Perfect Curves	51	63	23
Clarinbridge	50	74	63
The Stray Sod	50	71	51
Sadiqaa	49	72	43
Hope And Innocence	49	69	40
Blue Wood	47	55	43
Silver Nemo	47	67	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mulgrave	5d ago	Quick return
Luxury Island	7d ago	Quick return
Rebecca's Girl	7d ago	Quick return
Saffredi	8d ago	Quick return
Mullacash Buzz	8d ago	Quick return
Navorrosse	8d ago	Quick return
Clarinbridge	9d ago	Quick return
The Stray Sod	9d ago	Quick return
Silver Nemo	13d ago	Quick return
Perfect Curves	19d ago	Fit
Hijo De La Luna	21d ago	Fit
Hope And Innocence	22d ago	Fit
Sadiqaa	37d ago	Fit
The Bog Bank	44d ago	Fit
Blue Wood	87d ago	Fresh
Rock Dandy	245d ago	Long break
Tartaraghan	252d ago	Long break