3B Crane Hire 10th Anniversary Handicap (Div II)

Ayr

19:25

Date 2024-06-22

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,574

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Sacred Falls Bay J:Archie Young(7) T:Katie Scott	J:Archie Young(7) T:Katie Scott	138	p	-59213	71	83	62	10d	—	—	-1	26.2	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Two good runs since cheekpieces went on, winning at Carlisle then third at Hamilton; solid
5 (9)	Lord Abama Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Michael Dods	J:David Nolan T:Michael Dods	135	b	7-9811	68	81	74	15d	—	—	-7	8.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
2-2 since blinkers went on, both over 6f on fast ground at Thirsk; leading contender
2 (6)	Winemaker Bay J:Danny Sheehy T:Diego Dias	J:Danny Sheehy T:Diego Dias	142	—	411602	75	80	64	20d	—	—	+9	19.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Four wins in Ireland; ran near his best when second at Listowel last time; not discounted
1 (5)	Sibyl Charm Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	144	—	221147	77	82	34	17d	—	—	+8	18.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Three AW wins in 2024; low-key return to turf 17 days ago; can do better dropped in class
7 (1)	Rory Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	133	—	618382	66	79	75	51d	—	—	+5	15.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Two 6f AW wins this winter; second to Zebra Star here (7f) last month; one to consider
4 (7)	Pop Star Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	136	tp	9-4803	69	80	65	15d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Dropped down the weights but latest third at Brighton needs bettering if he's to feature
6 (3)	Rainwater Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Richard Fahey	J:Ryan Sexton T:Richard Fahey	133	—	2-44	73	73	52	26d	—	—	+4	11.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has shown some promise in maidens but fast ground a query now making his handicap debut
9 (2)	Zebra Star Grey J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:R Mike Smith	125	h	954-17	58	78	52	39d	—	—	-2	3.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
7f win here last month but less good 12 days later; first 6f run since her debut
8 (8)	Henery Hawk Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	130	—	845558	63	80	55	10d	—	—	+2	3.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Of interest on this winter's AW form but quiet since returned to turf this summer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sacred Falls	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1	2/1
Lord Abama	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2
Winemaker	15/2	7/1	7/1	8/1	15/2
Sibyl Charm	15/2	7/1	15/2	13/2	15/2
Rory	7/1	8/1	7/1	8/1	7/1
Pop Star	9/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	17/2
Rainwater	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Zebra Star	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Henery Hawk	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sacred Falls

26.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 8.4

2/1

2nd

Winemaker

19.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

8/1

3rd

Sibyl Charm

18.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 9 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Rory

15.4

OR: 4 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Rainwater

11.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Lord Abama

8.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Pop Star

7.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Zebra Star

3.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Henery Hawk

3.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sibyl Charm	77	82	34
Winemaker	75	80	64
Rainwater	73	73	52
Sacred Falls	71	83	62
Pop Star	69	80	65
Lord Abama	68	81	74
Rory	66	79	75
Henery Hawk	63	80	55
Zebra Star	58	78	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sacred Falls	10d ago	Quick return
Henery Hawk	10d ago	Quick return
Lord Abama	15d ago	Fit
Pop Star	15d ago	Fit
Sibyl Charm	17d ago	Fit
Winemaker	20d ago	Fit
Rainwater	26d ago	Fit
Zebra Star	39d ago	Fit
Rory	51d ago	Fresh